Not the best of weeks last week I am sorry to say but I have been blaming jet lag and consoling myself that overall we are massively in profit much to the BETDAQ layers disgust no doubt, though we need to find a few more to make next year’s holiday exotic as opposed to a week in a caravan somewhere closer to home?
I did land one bet last week but not without adding a few notches to my blood pressure reading when Huddersfield finally got promotion after a nail biting penalty shoot out that had to be seen to be believed. For those not bothering to watch the lowed division action, the live BETDAQ odds were swinging one way then the other as the first five penalties ended up as a draw, moving it all in to sudden death. Naturally, these were not the first choice takers so mistakes were expected, but it wasn’t to be as they stepped up one after the other to coolly slot home from what must seem like a mile out in front of a Wembley crowd and with so much at stake. Finally, it was the turn of the keepers and to cut a long story short, Steve Simonsen missed to see Huddersfield through, and was soon after released after his contract expired, which may be for business reasons, but seems pretty harsh to me!
As for the horses, not a good week with Takar flopping in the Irish 2000 Guineas (won, yet again buy Aiden O’Brien with Power), and worse still, some dreaded “inside information) on Thursday evening for a Godolphin horse that “could not be kept out of the frame”. Now I don’t know about you but when I get so called information I just have to follow it, the greed factor kicks in and I cannot risk it winning and then being asked how much profit I made – if I failed to have a bet. BETDAQ odds of 5.9 and 5.8 to win ended up as a great bit of value as he closed down to 4.6 at the off but no one told the horse or his rivals as they chopped him off when coming for a run (doubt he would have won anyway to be fair), and my money went in to the BETDAQ layers accounts for a change.
Back to the football, and I did not get involved in the England game with the odds failing to tempt me in the slightest, and like most armchair pundits, I am at a loss as to what the new manager is up to? I have always had a lot of time for Roy Hodgson, but to replace an injured midfield (Gareth Barry) with defender Phil Jagielka is beyond my pea brain, closely followed by Jordan Henderson (underperformed for Liverpool, ask any fan) stepping in for an injured Frank Lampard, and I start to feel dizzy? All in all I do not see then as positive moves (does anyone?), and that brings me to my first real look at Euro 2012, and perhaps a couple of bets to start the weekend with. England are priced around the 2.9 mark with BETDAQ to win Group D but patriotic as I am, that surely makes the 2.8 about France and absolute standout bet? They are on the comeback trail, have a team full of hungry youngsters eager to make up for recent disappointments, and goalscorers throughout the team, while we go to war without Wayne Rooney for the first two games, so surely that must be the bet of the tournament so far, and well worth getting on before any other England players pull out through injury (Scott Parker is the current problem allegedly?).
Spain look good to win their Group with Italy their only form rivals but at odds on (1.55 with BETDAQ), the price is less than I hoped but worth a bet none the less. They are favourites to win the tournament outright, and understandably so as thee best team in the Worlds over the last few years, and if Fernando Torres can find his scoring boots gain, anything is possible with the most skilful and entertaining team there will be at the tournament.
Lastly for my early football bets, a small bet on the afore mentioned Fernando Torres to finish top scorer at BETDAQ odds of 7.8 looks pretty tempting as he was one of the most natural finishers I have seen for many a year, and back among his countrymen he may well rekindle all those abilities that have deserted him for a year or more now.
Moving on to the horses and I hope to get to Epsom for the Derby this Saturday though making money is never easy and this year is no exception. Aiden O’Brien looks to have it all tied up with Camelot who is currently priced as low as 1.65 with BETDAQ but is the form horse of the race, while the supporting races are also looking likely to be an O’Brien side show with St Nicholas Abbey 1.8 for the Coronation Cup, so maybe a little double could yet pay dividends? Both animals are reportedly working well at home, but the more interesting question is, just how good is Camelot, and is he the latest in a run of recent superstars? The thought of the 2000 Guineas winner going to either Sandown (Coral Eclipse) or York (Juddmonte International) to take on Frankel over a mile and a quarter is enough to get every racing fan salivating, and if either event should actually happen (we can all dream), imagine the sell out crowd at whichever track was lucky enough to put that on?
This week’s suggested bets (odds correct at the time of writing):
3pts Win FRANCE to win Group D Euro 2012 at BETDAQ odds of 2.8
3pts Win SPAIN to win Group C Euro 2012 at BETDAQ odds of 1.55
1pt Win FERNANDO TORRES to be leading scorer Euro 2012 at BETDAQ odds of 7.4
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