DAQMAN-PRICEWISE PROFITS GAP 213 POINTS: Daqman landed place returns at big BETDAQ value on the first day of the Newmarket July Meeting but only one of the two counts in his challenge to Pricewise of the Racing Post, because he had another losing bet in the other one. The score is now Daqman 49, Pricewise 8, with the profits gap between them 213 points.
2ND 11-1 DESERT SKYLINE
2ND 10-1 US NAVY FLAG (from 13.0 on BETDAQ)
3RD 6-1 SPRAY THE SEA (from17.5 on BETDAQ)
* Today’s value challenge races are the 2.25 and 3.00 Newmarket, 3.15 York and 7.25 Saint-Cloud.
CONSOLATION FOR 17.5 GUNMETAL
1.50 Newmarket (Silver Bunbury Cup) Gates 10 of 10 and 15 in a field of 16 have won the first two runnings of this Bunbury Cup consolation, yet the first five in the BETDAQ market this morning are all in single-figure stalls.
Parfait, favourite at offers of 3.45, represents Jersey Stakes form (fourth) and is 7lb in front of the handicapper but, in his previous race over today’s CD, he won from the front from gate 14 of 14.
He comes out of stall 2 today, and the main threat on form, Fawaareq, is out of 4. I’ll look for a place shot from the grey, Gunmetal, a CD winner, out of 13, and 19.5 on BETDAQ early mouse.
Richard Hannon’s War Glory (stall 19 of 19) has had a break and come back in great form, claims the trainer, yet he’s showing at 27.0 in the orange.
CLEMMIE SET TO OUTSTAY THEM
2.25 Newmarket (Duchess Of Cambridge Stakes) Churchill’s sister Clemmie could follow up for Aidan O’Brien after his success last year with the subsequent Lowther and Cheveley Park runner-up, Roly Poly, who runs later on the card.
Nyaleti drops back a furlong after being outstayed in the Chesham by a stablemate of Clemmie’s, while Out Of The Flames was third in the Queen Mary, Clemmie only seventh in the Albany.
Mistress of Venice was the Albany fourth but was on the stands’ side while Clemmie raced on the far side that day.
She returned to form on better ground at the Curragh and her breeding as a stayer suggests that she has the speed to lie up in this and the stamina to outstay them.
Clemmie is entered in the Lowther and the only other in the race with a Group-1 target is Mamba Noire, third to Clemmie at the Curragh.
WATCH LESHLAA LYING IN WAIT
3.00 Newmarket Not a winning favourite in sight here, with SPs up to 25-1 (twice) and 40-1 in the decade.
The two 25-1 wins went to Mark Johnston, who has landed four wins in a row under four different English jockeys. Today he adds Ryan Moore to the list on the filly Titi Makfi and calls in French ace Gerald Mosse for gelded Monticello, who looks well drawn but is closely matched with Daawy (Group 2 entered).
There are several pace horses in this and, despite his weight, the laid-back Leshlaa (6.4 offers), could come late on and get them, drawn on the wrong side at Ascot over too short a trip.
3.15 York (Summer Stakes) Three-year-olds have a 50% success rate in this in the decade and 60% of the runners in today’s field.
The pair with Group-1 entries are Queen Kindly and Artistica. Queen Kindly beat Roly Poly in the Lowther here last August and is expected to get back to that form today.
Artistica’s stable has won this race before and her English win was Listed level but the runner-up in it, Futoon, is 7lb better off for half a length
I’m expecting a better run from 12.0 BETDAQ offer Florida Times, who has raced only with cut in the ground so a ‘hidden horse’ since his sire was a firm-ground animal and his stallion progeny do best on good or firmish, too.
NO WINTER SO IT’S ROLY’S SUMMER
3.35 Newmarket (Falmouth Stakes) Roly Poly, winner of the Duchess Of Cambridge Stakes a year ago, steps out of the shadow of magic miler Winter, who beat her by a diminishing margin in the Irish 1,000 Guineas and the Coronation Stakes.
Godolphin seem to pose a formidable threat via Arabian Hope (Saeed bin Siroor) and Wuheida (Charlie Appleby), but Arabian hHope has to make a big leap from Listed level to Group 1 and Wuheida is back from injury.
Sea Of Grace’s French 1,000 second has been marked down by the poor effort of the winner at Royal Ascot. Roly Poly was behind in that Deauville Classic but went to the front far too soon on very soft ground.
Only Wuheida (probably needs further) and Greta G (on heavy) are previous Group-1 winners and I’m taking Roly Poly to score.
4.10 Newmarket Tangled has thrived since three quick runs to set him up for a handicap. Seems a guaranteed Hannon nursery winner and was being backed at 8.0 in the BETDAQ orange to do the trick first time.
GARTER FOR GRAND-PRIX GRAB
7.25 Saint-Cloud (Grand Prix de Paris) When Aidan O’Brien won this with Imperial Mopnarch (2012), he was stepping the horse up to this trip for the first time.
He’s done the same with Orderofthegarter, who ran on well, second to Derby fifth Benbatl at Royal Ascot (1m 2f). Permian was well behind Benbatl at Epsom.
DAQMAN’S PLAYS AND LAYS
Use these selections to play each race (savers are dropped from the value bets). Lays return today. Very strong lays will be included in the value betting.
1.50 Newmarket Parfait, Fawaareq, Gunmetal, War Glory
2.25 Newmarket Clemmie, Nyaleti
3.15 York Queen Kindly, Artistica, Florida Times
3.35 Newmarket Roly Poly, Sea of Grace PLACE LAY Arabian Hope
DAQMAN’S VALUE BETS
1.50 Newmarket
BET (to win 20) 1pt win and place GUNMETAL
BET (to win 30) 1.25pts win and place WAR GLORY
2.25 Newmarket
BET (win 20) 12pts win CLEMMIE
3.00 Newmarket
BET (win 30) 5.5pts win LESHLAA
3.15 York
BET (win 30) 2.75pts win and place FLORIDA TIMES
3.35 Newmarket
BET (win 30) 15pts win (nap) ROLY POLY
4.10 Newmarket
BET (win 20) 2.75pts win TANGLED
7.25 Saint-Cloud
BET (win 30) 10pts win ORDEROFTHEGARTER
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