ANOTHER GOLDEN HANDSHAKE FOR PIPE: After the 16.5 success with a David Pipe belter on Saturday, Daqman stays on the bandwagon for a big raid on Carlisle today, this time at 9.2 for the Cumberland Chase. The horse called Hands is a shaker but will he be a Betdaq mover later on?
Almost a mini northern National. The Cumberland Chase at Carlisle will take some getting in the mud today. But Shaking Hands will already have traveled 325 miles.
At 9.2 on Betdaq this morning, David Pipe’s raider from the South West is worth a bet as a dual heavy-ground winner, with the stable still celebrating the return to form of Massini’s Maguire on Saturday.
Shaking Hands (3.40), runner-up in the 4m Devon marathon, will enjoy the stiffer track today and the going will slow them down and help him with his jumping, which is never that fluent.
Victory Gunner, currently two out of three, is up to this but has never been higher in the weights. The four times Carlisle winner, Royal Mackintosh, is 5lb lower than for a CD success yet is 13.0. However, I prefer to be with him when fresh.
The CD winner they wanted this morning is Do It For Dalkey, very lightly raced with only 15 runs on his CV at the age of 10.
Though he is up a huge 18lb for that success (what a cert he was that day at 9-2!), he ran with today’s mark over further at Sandown and was runner-up, albeit in a slow, slow time and carrying a quite different weight.
Overlady (I’m taking 6.2) is a former winner of this race who came back to form last time out, putting her on a similar mark, but the My Boy Paddy yard is down in the doldrums, its horses running to only 4% of their potential, according to the trade paper.
Pipe has packed four in the box for this Big Occasion at Carlisle but the horse of that name must give 7lb to 10 out of 11 of his opponents in the opening novice hurdle.
Among them is Crowning Jewel (2.00), who comes from a super-hot race at Catterick, in which he was third to Bourne and Into Wain, with No Planning fourth and Spiekeroog fifth.
Bourne won the big hurdle on Saturday; Into Wain has scored twice since; No Planning was already a back-to-back dual winner; and Spiekeroog ran Bourne to a head at Newcastle with a hat-trick horse third.
The handicap hurdle (3.05) looks wide open: the Pipe runner, Quinte Du Chatelet, has been tonked 11lb for his win at Hereford and is raised a grade in class.
That also applies to the morning favourite, Dusky Bob: last time he tried class 3 at novice level, he pulled up. Gleann Na Ndochais, too, is stepping up in class. Knockando is up 12lb and raised in class and badly in with Gleann Na Ndochais.
Then just when you find one who has won at this level, indeed raced in a Listed, he has no form at today’s trip: that’s Tenor Nivernais.
But what he does have on his CV is a wide-margin win on bottomless ground and that was under the claimer who rides him today. “Tenor’ also travels a long way for this (solo) and 9.2 is an offer containing enough of the risk involved in backing him.
Silver Gypsy is better than the bare form and, first time in a handicap for an in-form yard, is ‘wrong’ at offers of 18.0, as I write.
At Wolver, I will have a bit on last year’s winner, Strong Vigilance (4.25), to bounce back at 8.65, with the favourite, Aegean King, having been absent 520 days and the second favourite, Aviso, from a yard ‘off course’ on the track, according to the trade paper.
DAQMAN’S BETS
BET 2.4pts win TENOR NIVERNAIS and 1.1pts win and place SILVER GYSPSY (3.05 Carlisle)
BET 3.8pts win OVERLADY, 2.4pts win SHAKING HANDS and 1.8pts win (stakes saver) DO IT FOR DALKEY (3.40 Carlisle)
BET 2.6pts win STRONG VIGILANCE (4.25 Wolverhampton)
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