38.0 ABC BET BEATEN IN A PHOTO: So near and yet so far! Top horse in Daqman’s ABC Guide on Wednesday at 33-1 with Ladbrokes, Master The World, which he supported again at 38.0 on BETDAQ in his column yesterday, was beaten a short-head in a photo-finish to the Cambridgeshire (2nd 25-1).
THAT BRINGS THE SCORE TO 88: The place part of the Master The World bet scored in his challenge to Pricewise, of the Racing Post, bringing the winning-bets tally this season to Daqman 88, Pricewise 14 (overall 229-87).
SHALAA GOLD BANKER STRIKE: As well as the ABC tip on Wednesday, Daqman’s Tuesday Hot Spots for the weekend were successful with Foundation (WON 5-4) and Shalaa (WON 1-2), which was a Gold Banker on the day. Another Hot Spot, How High The Moon runs today.
‘MOON’ HIGH IN TALENT-PACKED PARK STAKES
2.50 The Curragh (Park Stakes): Aidan O’Brien punter lemmings went straight overboard with 2016 Classic bets when he launched the fillies Ballydoyle and Coolmore this season: why would they be so named, if they weren’t superstars? Maybe they are.
Both are by Galileo. Ballydoyle is a full sister to Irish 1,000 Guineas winner, Misty For Me. Coolmore – out of a sister to Giant’s Causeway – is a full sister to both Gleneagles (English and Irish 2,000) and Marvellous (Irish 1,000).
The Group-1 Moyglare Stud Stakes second by Ballydoyle made her favourite for the Newmarket 1,000 Guineas at around 8-1.
Coolmore, who has yet to break her maiden after two starts, is rematched in the Park Stakes today with Anamba, a Shamardal who just beat her at Leopardstown on the last day.
Epsom Oaks winner Qualify took the Park for O’Brien last year, and my Hot Spot of last Tuesday, How High The Moon, is favourite to follow in her hoofprints.
Sister to Diamonsandrubies, ‘Moon’ went down half a length over a mile in the Tara Stakes here to stablemate Kind Of Magic, who takes up the gauntlet again today. But the market has absolutely no doubt that How High The Moon will have her revenge.
Jim Bolger’s Leafy Shade was only a nose behind them (Last Waltz fourth) and that doesn’t paint a rosy picture of today’s race; rather it points up the Moyglare, when Ballydoyle had Leafy Shade more than four lengths behind.
Anamba is trained by Mick Halford, who was so unlucky with Portage in the Newmarket Cambridgeshire yesterday, probably more so than my 25-1 runner-up, since Portage was drawn in the car park (gate 28) and had to race alone on the stands’ rail when winner and second (from stalls 7 and 1) fought out the finish on the far side.
I was left what might have been for a forecast from the short-head second on the far side and the ‘winner’ on the stands’ side!
Ok, Daqman, that race is over. What’s going to win the Park Stakes? On the day yesterday, I swerved my own Hot Spot, Foundation, in the Royal Lodge, when Deauville seemed to have had his form franked, so I’ll stick with High How The Moon.
UNICORN CAN IMPROVE FOR THE CHEEKPIECES
3.55 The Curragh (Beresford Stakes) Aidan O’Brien has won this 14 times, including the last four and a previous sequence of six in a row (1996-2001).
But this is only a Group 3 and no recent winner has been great shakes in their subsequent Classic year. The last superstar to be Beresford launched was Sadler’s Wells (1983).
Ryan Moore, who rides How High The Moon, goes for a Ballydoyle double on Beacon Rock but that one struggled to win over CD last month, and the second horse home has lost two subsequent races by a total of 30 lengths.
Another Galileo from the Ballydoyle emporium, Unicorn, was five lengths off True Solitaire on the debut.
But, here we go again, True Solitaire was in front of Sanus Per Aquam, when the pair were second and third at Leopardstown recently.
And it was the fact that Sanus Per Aquam had earlier finished second to Deauville that swayed me to Deauville over Foundation yesterday (help!).
The reality is that playing with two-year-old form is a hard game. For instance, none of this Beresford field has had more than three starts. Fitness, and ground and distance suitability, no to mention development, are still up in the air.
Any one of them could take a leap forward, and so many juveniles learn about pain from their first start, particularly if exerted to win, and go backwards, as Port Douglas (form 124) and Play The Game (120) seem to have done here.
Beacon Rock (form 01) and Unicorn (31), on the other hand, have stepped up from their debuts. True Solitaire, too (212).
These three front the BETDAQ market as I write, separated by just 1.5 points in the orange. I’ll take Unicorn as the one to make that big step forward in the cheekpieces today.
DONNA IS A BANKER AGAINST MODEST RIVALS
3.15 Epsom and 4.10 Musselburgh I shall back the in-form Roger Varian to win at least one of these.
First Dream (3.15) is back to Epsom where he excelled in July. Ajaadat (4.10) has won three out of five and could make the lone journey to Musselburgh pay off.
I took 4.7 First Dream, intending to recoup on the 3.6 (or so) Ajaadat if First Dream loses. But I’ll have a small double just in case they both score.
4.45 Musselburgh When you’re on an improver and your market rivals are a 16–time loser and a 13-year-old, you must consider banker stakes.
Only barring accident would I expect the improver Donna Graciosa to be beaten by the sluggish Love Marmalade and the veteran Dhaular Dhar.
DAQMAN’S BETS (1 to 9 for strength, except ‘if lose’ bet; banker 10)
BET 8pts win HOW HIGH THE MOON (2.50 The Curragh)
BET 5pts win FIRST DREAM, if lose 8pts win AJAADAT (4.10 Musselburgh); plus 1pt win double the two
BET 6pts win UNICORN (3.55 The Curragh)
BANKER: BET 10pts win (nap) DONNA GRACIOSA (4.45 Musselburgh)
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