COME ON MY SON! 5-1 SHOCK: After a poor start, Daqman came good yesterday, saved by his staking plan, with a one-two in the race won by Waady (WON 11-4) before he tipped Twilight Son (WON 5-1) to foil the day’s big gamble, Scalzo. The defeat of Scalzo (unplaced) was the shock of the day.
SIX WINNING DAYS IN A WEEK: That was, narrowly, his sixth winning day in the last seven. There was a 0-0 goalless draw with Pricewise, and the score ahead of Royal Ascot remains Daqman 37, Pricewise 9 (overall 178-82).
CORK DERBY DOUBLE BID: Daqman landed last year’s Cork Derby winner at 11-2. Check out the race with him again today. But first, he analyses the Prix de Diane, the French Oaks, where he clashes with Pricewise again.
ASCOT ANTE-POST: DAQMAN DOES IT AGAIN
ROYAL ASCOT: ‘Gold Gamble.’ That was Wednesday’s headlined Daqman play in the BETDAQ Ascot Gold Cup market.
He took 8.0 Mizzou, now around 9-2 with most bookmakers and tradable with the exchange at 5.4 this morning.
It follows the withdrawal from the race of Brown Panther, due to injury, leaving Forgotten Rules and Mizzou clear in the markets.
Daqman is noted for his ante-post coups, notably the 44.0 taken in February about the subsequent Cheltenham NH Chase winner at 8-1 SP. Not a bad day’s work.
ROYAL ASCOT: ‘Lucky Seven’. That’s tomorrow’s headline today. Look out for Daqman’s preview-with-a-difference of the royal meeting and what to look out for.
Check out his staking plan for the meeting, and where his money will go down. He completed a run of 16 winning bankers out of 20 over last year’s five days, and had winners at 14.5 and 14.0 the year before. Now here’s his analysis of today’s racing.
ROUGET HAS ‘RISIN’ STAR FOR FRENCH OAKS
2.45 Chantilly (Prix de Diane) Fortune favours the brave.. unless you plan an English attack on the French Oaks. It’s paid off only twice in the last 25 years.
The Sunday joint will be rocking at Chantilly but it’s a carve-up for the home team, notably by the stables of Alain du Royer-Dupre (six wins), Andre Fabre (four) and Jean-Claude Rouget (three).
The French girls who have recently swept to victory down the Chantilly straight include Zarkava and Treve, both subsequent winners of the Arc.
At stake today is the form value of the English Oaks, in which Star of Seville weakened (and was hampered) at the business end of the 1m 4f.
Today’s two furlongs shorter may be more manageable – as she showed when winning the Musidora – but her Epsom run is not a wallet-opener, she’s drawn wide this afternoon, and Epsom was only nine days ago.
In the Prix Cleopatre in the Spring, Little Nightingale beat the filly who finished one place in front of Star Of Seville at Epsom, with Stay The Night third in that trial.
But Stay the Night’s trainer – yes, it’s M. Rouget – has put his top pilot, Gregory Benoist, on a dark filly, Mojo Ridin, who has landed a hat-trick in the French Provinces, where Rouget has ‘hidden’ top talent before.
Rouget rather gives the game away in the Racing Post this morning by declaring: ‘Mojo Risin’s main attribute is her class.’
Four lengths off Little Nightingale at Maisons in April (Business Lawyer third) was Nightflower, who has since won the top German test for this, the Diana-Trial.
Also unbeaten in three starts is the Freddie Head filly, Queen’s Jewel, who stamped herself very useful by winning the big home trial, the Prix Saint-Alary in May, and today’s easy surface will suit better than the fast ground that day, though stall 17 is a blow.
Trained on today’s racecourse, Physiocrate, who has won both her starts, both at Chantilly, is bred to be a staying hurdler, yet has been capable of scoring over 10f on the Flat and could be a freak. Or not.
The runner-up to Physiocrate on the last day – another German filly, Desiree Clary – had earlier given weight and a beating to Nightflower, also over today’s CD.
One chink of light for the English: Mick Channon’s Malabar, ridden by Richard Hughes, was staying on fourth (got going late) and eighth (hampered) respectively in the English and Irish Guineas, her pedigree pleading for a longer trip.
The snag is that Malabar was twice ‘unlucky’ as a two-year-old, in both the Moyglare and the Marcel Boussac (Pouliches) and, when you add all her races together, the equation comes out as ‘maybe makes her own trouble.’
There are some good fillies in France missing from this field, among them Ervedya, Wekeela and Impassable.
Wekeela, second to Queen’s Jewel in the Saint-Alary, and also second to the Prix de Sandringham winner, Impassable, is trained by none other than Jean-Claude Rouget, who has won the Imprudence and the 1,000 Guineas with Ervedya.
It seems to me he has a lines to most of the top French fillies’ form and, therefore, his selected for this, Mojo Risin, must be ace.
VERDICT: Unbeaten fillies invariably win this, and a star is born. It could be any one of Mojo Ridin (8.4 on BETDAQ early mouse), Queen’s Jewel and Physiocrate in that order.
(Note: If my saver wins the race, and Pricewise fails to score, I win. If my saver wins and he has the winner as first choice, he gets the point).
GO GARY AND SECOND-STRING UNREQUITED
4.40 Cork Derby Not an animal in sight from the Classic generation, and this Derby is a handicap, but I was glad to land the 11-2 winner last year, nevertheless.
The local Cork horses up for the craic – Lady Giselle, Long Journey Home and Piton – don’t appeal.
Long Journey Home, shortest of the trio in the market, has never won this far, and taking a boys’ race on the last day could be flattering, albeit he has that boy (Cork’s own Connor King) on board again today.
Unsinkable is another last-time winner; another who has never won at today’s trip; and he and Long Journey Home are both up in the weights, and not likely to improve.
Unsinkable’s stablemate, Unrequited (back to his winning trip, but 9.2 on BETDAQ this morning), could do so for Gary Carroll; as could Break My Mind, a winner over the distance on firmish ground, though she has been absent 235 days.
Life hasn’t been easy for Gary Carroll since the heady days of back-to-back apprentice titles (one shared with Joseph O’Brien) but he still averages 30 winners a year and has a chance here to better Colin Keane, who has opted for Unsinkable.
DAQMAN’S BETS (staked to win 30 points, unless stated)
BET 4pts win MOJO RISIN and 2pts win (stakes saver) QUEEN’S JEWEL (2.45 Chantilly)
BET 4pts win UNREQUITED (4.40 Cork)
BET (to win 20) 6pts win (nap) PUDDING (5.40 Salisbury)
NEW !!!
You can now follow BETDAQ updates on Google+
For further details – CLICK HERE
£20 FREE BET
Did you know that as well as checking the realtime prices on BETDAQ below – you can also log into your account and place your bets directly into BETDAQ from BETDAQ TIPS.
