DAQMAN 50 TARGET AT THE JULY MEETING: Battle is rejoined today at Newmarket for what is currently the heaviest defeat in a season of Racing Post value tipster Pricewise by our own Daqman service, which is 209 points in front of him to single-unit stakes, with returns for the season at 48-8 in his favour. Now for the 50.
FEARLESS ATTACK WITH BIG BETDAQ ODDS: Daqman’s looking for big value today, and how, with offers taken at 10.0, 13.0, 17.5, 18.0, 26.0. Some changes in the Daqman betting pattern. Lays return. And selections are given to help you play a race (so ‘savers’ are dropped).
BETDAQ OFFERS ARE A GODSEND
1.50 Newmarket (Bahrain Trophy) Face The Facts! The facts are that John Gosden, trainer of the eponymous number 4 on the card, has returns in this race since 2011 of 11131.
But, as well as Face The Facts, the Godsend stable for punters has Derby-flop Crowned Eagle on the card and both Aidan O’Brien (Wisconsin) and Mark Johnston (Sofia’s Rock), both winners of this in the last three years, are represented. And I have not yet mentioned the favourite!
That honour goes to King George V winner at Royal Ascot, Atty Persse, up in trip again here with an eye to the St Leger, and officially rated inferior to four in this field.
The top rating? None I have so far mentioned (again pointing up the trappy nature of this field). It’s Raheen House. But he seems more risky than Atty Persse.
Conditions race, Listed, Group 2, Group 1. They’ve all come alike to Raheen House. All alike in that he was placed in the first four every time, faling to score in every race since he broke his maiden.
He really should win this on his Royal Ascot fourth to Permian. He’s officially rated 8lb clear. But he’s obviously a horse who needs things to drop right, whatever level he’s in.
Front-runner Wisconsin was also seen at Ascot in the Queens Vase but, leading early, then hanging, was behind both Desert Skyline (checked when challenging) and Face The Facts (not clear run).
VERDICT: Gosden players have fantastic offers on BETDAQ in a 104% value overround: 9.4 Crowned Eagle and 26.0 Face The Facts. I like ‘Facts’, a son of Nathaniel, but my danger would be 10.0 offer Desert Skyline, whose trainer, David Elsworth, has won this with horses which ran similar races in the Vase. Elzie is in top form this week.
2.10 Doncaster Spray The Sea (17.5 on BETDAQ this morning) has improved at home the proverbial ton since his debut and looks a good place bet, chance of a win, with Shuhood too easy to back for a Hannon at 11.5, and James Garfield too short at 1.38.
His Ascot form should be well good enough but he has started slowly in both his races, and that’s a black mark in any kind of sprint.
BALLYDOYLE FLAG FLYING AT 12.0
2.25 Newmarket (July Stakes) Team Hannon has bagged this (Senior 3, Junior 2) five times in seven years which, added together, amount to form figures of 1411141 for the yard.
Established sorts have won it (Mehmas last year had been second in the Coventry) but more often the winner was recently arrived with just a couple of runs including his maiden victory. In other words, not the exposed types like US Navy Flag and Norfolk Stakes third Cardsharp (It Don’t Come Easy fifth)
Rajasinghe fits both criteria. He’s had just two starts, the last one a game victory in the Coventry (Hannon’s Denaar behind). But six others in this race have had two or three starts only, with success on the last day. So plenty of hooves on the bottom rung of the ladder trying to shake Rajasinghe off the top.
Sound And Silence is nearest in the ratings, 4lb behind, which closes down to 1lb because of Rajasinghe’s penalty. He also won at Royal Ascot but the second horse home, Roussel, has been beaten in a Listed since and the next three to finish were, and still are, maidens.
VERDICT: Rajasinghe’s form is easily the best but Aidan O’Brien’s US Navy Flag (13.0 this morning in the BETDAQ orange) – behind the selection at Ascot – looked a different horse in blinkers when he won on the last day so may not be as exposed as he looks.
3.00 Newmarket Not a winning favourite in site. Nothing has scored under 7-1; two winners were 33-1. Not a race to play; just one horse for a punt, and the new trip could pay off for Hyde Park, with Ryan Moore booked (18.0 in a fantastic 108% overround, despite the massive field).
THE NAP HAS WINGS AT BETDAQ 4.2
3.35 Newmarket (Princess Of Wales’s Stakes) Likely front runner Hawkbill, deserted by William Buick, could set the jockey up for victory on stablemate Frontiersman, now in cheekpieces to keep him barrel straight.
It was a terrific performance to chase up Highland Reel in the Coronation Cup, but Wings Of Desire (napped at around 4.2 on BETDAQ early mouse) looks laid out for victory.
He ran well at Royal Ascot in the key race for this, the Hardwicke Stakes, despite the ground (he’ll enjoy the rain that’s eased today’s surface), and despite lacking a run. Come on Frankie!
DAQMAN’S PLAYS AND LAYS
Use these selections to play each race (savers are dropped from the value bets). Lays return today. Very strong lays will be included in the value betting.
1.50 Newmarket Atty Persse, Desert Skyine, Face The Facts. LAY Raheen House
2.10 Doncaster Spray The Sea. LAY James Garfield
2.25 Newmarket Rajasinghe, US Navy Flag
3.35 Newmarket Frontiersman, Wings Of Desire
DAQMAN’S VALUE BETS
BET (to win 20 points) 2pts win and place DESERT SKYLINE
BET (to win 30 points) 1.25pts win and place FACE THE FACTS
BET (20 win target; 10 place target) 1.25pts win and 4pts place SPRAY THE SEA
BET (to win 20) 8pts win RAJASINGHE
BET (to win 30) 2.5pts win and place US NAVY FLAG
BET (win 20) 1pt win and place HYDE PARK
BET (win 30) 9pts win (nap) WINGS OF DESIRE
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