DAQMAN LANDS A 68-1 FOUR-TIMER: Daqman named five horses for four-timers on Daq Multiples yesterday and four of them won for a 68-1 return. A neck (the defeat of Buddy Bolero) cost him four more four-timers and an accumulator worth 180-1.

94 POINTS PROFIT ON THE DAY: With win-20 singles on two of the winners, his profit for the day totted up to 94 points. The winners across three cards were:

WON 4-1 TUTCHEC (Carlisle)
WON 3-1 WALL STREET BOSS (Kempton)
WON 6-5 CONNECTIVITY (Southwell)
WON 4-7 HOUNDSCOURT (Southwell)

THE BIG SIX FOR SATURDAY’S CHELTENHAM CHASE: Daqman checks out the stats for the PP Gold Cup at Cheltenham on Saturday and finds six horses are ideally placed for the £168,000 first prize. Now watch for the declared runners.


PUNTERS MUST TAP INTO YOUTH TO FIND GOLD

Punters have to change with the times. Any professional backer who ignores the trends, and claims he’s bigger than the stats, is no professional at all. And he’s likely to get his comeuppance in Saturday’s PP Gold Cup at Cheltenham.

I hammer on about how younger and younger animals win these big steeplechase events, and here it is in black and white in the recent results of this race.

In the last 10 years, horses aged six and seven have won 9 out of 10. In the previous decade of winners, only 3 from 10 were under the age of eight and, in fact, four victories went to nine-year-olds.

With £160,000 to the winner, the race is a target in its own right, and the trend to youngsters seems to have its price: the last three winners combined have scored only once since the first of them passed the post in 2010.

But you need to come to this contest with some class: the winner had already captured a graded chase or been placed in a Grade-1 (open or novice). The top six for Saturday on the strength of these stats seem to be:

DYNASTE Described at the Pipe emporium as ‘our main hope for the championship races’, including the King George, Dynaste puts his reputation on the line, giving weight away but on the same 11st 8lb (159) mark as last year’s winner, Al Ferof.

Al Ferof, has not been seen since, and connections won’t want Dynaste to leave his season behind on that grueling Cheltenham hill climb.

But all the signs are that he’s suited to the course, having run there five times for form figures of 22012, with his sole success at Saturday’s meeting last year in the Steel Plate And Sections Novices’ Chase.

His form in England when fresh is 0112 and he’s won on all ground between good and heavy. Has that ‘could be anything’ tag.

KATENKO Venetia Williams struck form with a magic Saturday – the first in November – hitting an Ascot hat-trick, and followed up with a double across the cards at Sandown and Wincanton last Saturday.

But Katenko is another whose season was curtailed last year after back-to-back wins at Sandown and Cheltenham (the Murphy) in January had the stable talking of the Gold Cup.

His French form after a break was 230 and he opened last season with a duck-egg, beaten 46 lengths, in a Haydock hurdle, albeit on his first appearance in England.

RAJDHANI EXPRESS Nicky Henderson describes the son of Denman’s sire, Presenting, in the Racing Post stable tour today as a ‘revelation last season’.

He was three-out of four in his novice chases after Christmas, missing out only at Cheltenham, but making up for that with a game neck win at the Festival and was immediately earmarked for Saturday’s race.

TEXAS JACK Among the Irish invasion force at the Festival, well fancied (11-1 SP) for the Jewson, after beating RSA winner, Lord Windermere, on heavy at Leopardstown.

He then ran Boston Bob to a nose on the same track over the same trip on a similar surface, but the ground was against him at Cheltenham in March.

Texas Jack was 15 lengths behind the second horse, Dynaste, the first time he’d been out of a place in eight outings. Saturday clearly depends on whether it comes up mud.

TAP NIGHT In the frame 16 times in 18 races in the last three years, with three wins out of five at one stage at the time his hurdles career overlapped his novice-chase start.

But it was a gamble (25-1 despite his being the mount of Tony McCoy) to pitch him into the Arkle, because of the class against him (Simonsig finished 46 lengths in front) and the drop back to 2m.

Back up to 2m 4f, he ran second in the Manifesto at Aintree before failing to give his running behind Rajdhani Express at the Ayr Scottish-champions’ meeting, when 6-4 favourite to beat him.

NADIYA DE LA VEGA Cheltenham is a home from home, after five consecutive appearances there between October 2010 and her flop in the Speciality Chase at the Festival in March.

In between, the mare ran third to Katenko in the Murphy – she’s 15lb better on Saturday – and had also been third behind Al Ferof in Saturday’s race.


BUFFALO FITS THE BILL IN HUNTINGDON HURDLE

1.40 Huntingdon The nap is currently 29.30 up (see Archive). It would be nice to have a touch today, and Nicky Henderson is ‘full of optimism’ about My Wigwam Or Yours. We’ll spend some of yesterday’s winnings on a banker.

2.10 Huntingdon My Tent Or Yours – the one that came before the Wigwam one – had Zuider Zee trailing at Aintree in April.

Vulcanite won twice, hurdles and fences for Tony McCoy, to start his season last year. Giving weight all round and raised in trip on past hurdles form.

Salmanazar can boast that both his wins have come right-handed, and he’s big on stamina for a contest in the mud. Broadway Buffalo gives him eight lengths start at the weights.

Buffalo’s wins have been anti-clockwise, and he has to give a stone to the mare, Hidden Identity. A month’s break since her reappearance should be enough so that she does not ‘bounce.’

But Hidden Identity is far too big at 10.0, as I write, and I had to debate whether this is value or a negative sign. In such a small field, it’s a negative, so I took offers about Broadway Buffalo (3.5) and Salmanazar (7.2).

3.00 Lingfield Not a winner of this older than eight – not a one – and, if I eliminated the two outsiders, who are aged 10 and 12, I had a 95% probability total for the list of offers on BETDAQ this morning that shouted: go on, have a bet!

I could see them having difficulty in the mud hauling back front-runner Topaze Collonges (a tempting 3.7 this morning), with Chestnut Ben a ‘bridesmaid’ (largely missing strike and 12lb higher than his last success.

Christopher Wren’s win at Worcester, his first in nearly two years, was described as ‘most unimpressive’ by one racereader.

Be All Man was all man, brave, at Ludlow but he wants better ground than he’ll find today, and I was surprised to seem him stay in. this mudbath.

DAQMAN’S BETS
BANKER (maximum stakes): BET 20pts win (nap) MY WIGWAM OR YOURS (1.40 Huntingdon)
BET 8pts win BROADWAY BUFFALO and 3.2pts win SALMANAZAR (2.10 Huntingdon)
BET 7.4pts win TOPAZE COLLONGES (3.00 Lingfield)
DAQ MULTIPLES: 2 x 1pt win trebles MY WIGWAM OR YOURS (1.40 Huntingdon), with BROADWAY BUFFALO and SALMANAZAR (2.10 Huntingdon), and TOPAZE COLLONGES (3.00 Lingfield)


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