Jacksonville Jaguars (1-7, 2-6 ATS) @ Cincinnati Bengals (4-2-1, 4-3 ATS)
*ATS= against the spread
BETDAQ Line: Cincinnati -11 (43.5)
Significant Injuries
Jacksonville: DE Alan Branch (questionable– groin), OT Luke Joeckel (questionable– concussion), CB Alan Ball (out– bicep), CB Will Blackmon (out– finger), WR Justin Blackmon (out– suspension)
Cincinnati: CB Darqueze Dennard (questionable– hamstring), RB Giovani Bernard (questionable– hip), DT Brandon Thompson (questionable– knee), WR A.J. Green (questionable– toe), OT Kevin Zeitler (questionable– calf), LB Vontaze Burfict (out– knee), LB Rey Maualuga (out– hamstring), RB Rex Burkhead (out– knee)
Recent Trends
Jacksonville is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning record
Jacksonville is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games
Jacksonville is 8-21 ATS in their last 29 games overall
Cincinnati is 3-0-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings between these 2 teams
Cincinnati is 14-3 ATS in their last 17 home games
The road team is 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings between these 2 teams
The UNDER is 4-0 in Jacksonville’s last 4 games overall
The UNDER is 4-1 in Cincinnati’s last 5 games following a win
The OVER is 5-0 in Cincinnati’s last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record
Three reasons to back Jacksonville
1. Boy, that’s a lot of points.
2. The Jags have played their best football of the season in recent weeks, especially on defense, where they’ve allowed just 16.5 points per game in their last 4 contests. The Bengals, meanwhile, have won just once on their last 4 games.
3. Boy, that’s a lot of points.
Three reasons to back Cincinnati
1. The Bengals are one of the AFC’s better teams and they badly need this game, as Baltimore, Pittsburgh, and Cleveland are all nipping at their heels in the extremely competitive AFC North. Fortunately this game is in Cincinnati, where the Bengals always win and almost always win big, covering in 14 of their last 17 opportunities.
2. Wideout A.J. Green, Cincinnati’s best offensive player, practiced this week and may play on Sunday after missing the past couple of games with a toe injury. Even without Green, though, the Bengals should have no trouble lighting up the scoreboard, as they’re averaging 30.2 points per game at home this season while the Jacksonville defense is allowing 31 points per game on the road.
3. The Jags are just terrible; they’ve only won once all year, they’ve covered just twice in 8 games (and 8 times in their last 29 games…), and they have a punchless offense that ranks 32nd (a.k.a. dead last) in points scored and has yet to score more than 17 points in any game. They start 5 rookies on that offense, and rookie quarterback Blake Bortles leads the NFL in interceptions despite not making his first start until Week 4. Any argument for the Jags here must begin and end with “boy, that’s a lot of points.”
Prediction
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