Tiger Woods and his foundation host the Quicken Loans National this week, and the man himself will be teeing it up for the first time since his disappointing performance at St. Andrews. 

The tournament will be held at Robert Trent Jones Golf Club, continuing its tradition of rotating courses in the odd-numbered years and returning to Congressional in even-numbered years. “RTJ”, as the course is known, opened in 1991 and has been the site of the Presidents Cup on four separate occasions, though it hasn’t hosted a professional event since 2005. That fact makes our task a bit trickier, as the two most critical factors when handicapping a golf tournament are undoubtedly Current Form and Past Performance On Current Course, and the latter variable won’t really be in play this week.

What we do know: the course is a Par 71 and measures nearly 7,400 yards, so it isn’t short, and the greens are small by PGA Tour standards (which either favors guys who are great iron players or guys who have great short games, depending on the firmness). Justin Rose won this event last year– though again, on a different course– and BETDAQ has him installed as the favorite this week at 10.0. There are only three players in the field with odds shorter than 20/1 (Rose, Rickie Fowler, Jimmy Walker), so there aren’t many “safe” options this week. That being said, the field features 13 players who have won on Tour this year, so it’s not like there aren’t plenty of capable guys to choose from. Here are a few suggestions:

WIN MARKET

Recommendations to BACK (odds in parenthesis)

Rickie Fowler (11.5)- I know, I know: the odds are uncomfortably short. Trust me, I hear you. However, taking all things into consideration– the field, the timing of the event, and, most importantly, Fowler’s recent form– it sure feels likely that Rickie will be in contention on Sunday afternoon. And as he’s shown us over the past couple of months, he knows how to close the deal when given the opportunity. We haven’t seen him since his solid week at St. Andrews (which came on the heels of an even better week at Gullane), so he should be rested and ready… he feels like the favorite to me.

Danny Lee (40.0)- Don’t let missed cuts at the two most recent majors fool you: Danny Lee is playing the best golf of his career and he could absolutely win this week. After all, it was less than a month ago that he tasted victory for the first time on the PGA Tour, outlasting three other guys in a playoff to win the Greenbriar Classic. He followed that up by finishing 3rd the following week at the John Deere Classic, giving him six top-25 finishes in his last 8 regular Tour events. This is a player who is getting accustomed to life on the first page of the leaderboard, and there’s no reason to think he’s going to slow down this week.

Pat Perez (84.0)- Perez has played some really solid golf this year, making 10 straight cuts heading into this week and finishing in the top-25 in seven of those events (and 26th in another). He’s coming off a nice week at the Canadian Open, where he shot 10-under and finished 18th, and he’s won on the PGA Tour before, so he knows what it takes. While he may not be the first name that rolls off your tongue when you’re handicapping the field, I think Perez is a great value at the current price.

TOURNAMENT MATCH BETS

Harris English (1.91) vs. Will Wilcox (1.91)

When a young player is on a roll the likes of which his nascent career has never seen, it’s generally wise to just stay out of his way. That’s what’s going on with Will Wilcox right now, as the young Alabama product finished 8th at the John Deere Classic and followed that up with a career-best 2nd-place showing at the Barbasol Championship, his last event. English may be more of a known commodity, but I think I’ll roll with the hot hand. Recommendation: Wilcox at 1.91

Daniel Summerhays (1.91) vs. Shawn Stefani (1.91)

After an 11th-place finish in Canada last week and a top-10 at the John Deere in his previous event, it’s clear that Daniel Summerhays is playing with a lot of confidence at the moment. Stefani nearly won this tournament last year before coming up short in a playoff, but that was at a different course and he’s registered just one top-25 finish over the past eight weeks. Recommendation: Summerhays at 1.91


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