PROFORM STATS ANALYSIS: Our PROFORM stats identify the key statistical positives and negatives today from Ayr, Fontwell, Bath, Southwell, Dundalk and Ballinrobe.
With the help from our friends at PROFORM RACING we have identified key statistical positives and negatives for today’s racing.
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Ayr 2-35: Brian Ellison and Megan Carberry have won on 6 of the 13 times they’ve teamed up, with over double their expected winners, Apterix is favourite on BETDAQ at 4.2.
Ayr 3-10: Jim Goldie and Henry Brooke have a great record together over hurdles at Ayr with over double their expected winners, Caledonia is 5.5.
That’s not the only good partnership in this race as Malcolm Jefferson and Jamie Hamilton have won on 5 of the 10 times they’ve teamed up in the past, Gullys Edge is 6.6.
Fontwell 1-35: Suzy Smith and Micheal Nolan have had three times their expected winners when they’ve teamed up, Red Devil Star is 6.6.
Fontwell 2-10: Harry Fry and Michael Legg have a 46% strike rate when they team up together, he team up again with Billy Merriott, currently 3.85.
Also in this race, Nicky Henderson has won with 5 of his 10 runners over fences at Fontwell, he saddles Lessons In Milan at 4.7.
Fontwell 3-20: Anthony Honeyball has a 38% strike rate with his runners over fences here, he saddles As De Fer at 4.5.
Bath 6-20: Tom Marquand has a 29% strike rate at Bath thus far with over double his expected winners, he rides Shadow Hunter at 8.6.
Bath 7-50: Neil Mulholland and Liam Keniry have a 23% strike rate together, with over 10 more than their expected winners, The Way You Dance is 5.3.
Southwell 5-40: Charlie Longsdon has a 39% win rate over fences at Southwell, and he saddles Spirit Of Shankly at 2.82.
Southwell 7-10: Nico de Boinville has a 36% strike rate over hurdles at Southwell, he rides Showboater at 10.5.
Ballinrobe 6-25: Karl Thornton and Donagh Meyler have a 37% strike rate when they team up together, Duke Cass is 10.0.
Ayr 3-45 and 4-15: Henry Brooke is only 2 from 34 over fences at Ayr, disappointing given his expected was well over 5. He rides two today, Presenting Junior at 23.0 and Monbeg River at 3.5.
Ayr 3-10 and 5-15: Nicky Henderson should have had nearly double the winners he has had over hurdles at Ayr, Birch Hill is 10.0 and Aigle De La See is 12.5.
Fontwell 3-55: Brendan Powell should have had nearly three times the amount of winners he has had over hurdles at Fontwell, Fifi Lamour is 25.0.
Bath 6-50: Oisin Murphy’s strike rate at Bath is only just over 5%, and he should have had more than twice the amount of winners he has had, Dontforgettocall is 6.8.
Ballinrobe 5-25: Eddie O’Connell is only 1 from 35 over hurdles at Ballinrobe, he rides Admiral Brian at 3.45.
Dundalk 8-35: Edward Lynam and Willie Lee should have had double the amount of winners they have had at Dundalk, The Tulip is 2.82.
BETDAQ BACK of the day on stats: APTERIX 2-35 Ayr, at around 4.2.
BETDAQ LAY of the day on stats: MONBEG RIVER 4-15 Ayr, at around 3.5.
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