New York Giants (3-2, 3-2 ATS) @ Philadelphia Eagles (4-1, 3-2 ATS)
*ATS= against the spread
BETDAQ Line:
Significant Injuries
New York: DE Robert Ayers (questionable– neck), LB Jon Beason (questionable– foot), RB Rashad Jennings (out– knee), LB Spencer Paysinger (out– hamstring)
Philadelphia: LB DeMeco Ryans (questionable– groin), RB Chris Polk (out– hamstring), C Jason Kelce (out– hernia), WR Brad Smith (out– groin)
Recent Trends
New York is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. NFC East opponents
New York is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games
Philadelphia is 8-3-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings between these 2 teams
Philadelphia is 3-11-1 ATS in their last 15 games vs. a team with a winning record
Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. NFC East opponents
The UNDER is 9-2 in New York’s last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning record
The UNDER is 4-1 in Philadelphia’s last 5 games vs. NFC East opponents
The OVER is 5-1 in Philadelphia’s last 6 home games
Three reasons to back New York
1. The Giants have steadily improved throughout the first 5 weeks of the season and they now look like a legitimate contender in the crowded NFC. They’ve won their last three games by 54 combined points, so the opportunity to back them as an underdog against a fading Eagles team should not be missed.
2. Eli Manning suddenly looks comfortable in new coordinator Ben McAdoo’s offense and as a result the Giants have come alive, producing 105 combined points in their last three games. This week they’ll face a Philadelphia defense that ranks 28th in total yards allowed and 29th against the pass, so another big day is expected from Manning and Co.
3. The Eagles have regressed badly on offense this season, as they’re now averaging fewer than 100 rushing yards per game despite leading the NFL in that category a year ago. The Giants, meanwhile, have a top-10 rushing defense that’s helped them limit three consecutive opponents to 20 points or fewer.
Three reasons to back Philadelphia
1. The Eagles are one of the NFL’s best teams, with their only loss this season coming in a tight road game against the 49ers. The Giants, on the other hand, are grossly overvalued after beating three bad teams– Houston, Washington, and Atlanta. The last time the Giants faced a quality team on the road was back in Week 1, when they were beaten 35-14 by Detroit.
2. Philadelphia has an über-explosive offense that is producing 31.2 points per game, the 2nd-best mark in the league. They won’t have any trouble against New York’s leaky defense, which ranks in the bottom-half of the league in both yards allowed and points allowed.
3. Giants quarterback Eli Manning has turned the ball over more times than any player in the league other than Geno Smith since the beginning of last season, while his counterpart in Sunday’s game, Philadelphia’s Nick Foles, is an ascending player who is averaging 41 more pass yards per game than Manning this year. So, Philly has the better quarterback, the better offense, they’re playing at home, and the Giants will be without starting running back Rashad Jennings, who has carried their offense this season. What’s not to like about an Eagles play here?
Prediction
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