THREE IN A ROW AND A WINNING NAP: Three races, three winning bets, and a profit on the day of 23.25. Daqman was flying yesterday across the full range of odds and offers, from a 15.0 outsider on BETDAQ to around evens for his nap; in time order:
WON (2nd 12-1) SEVENTEEN O FOUR 15.0 w/p on BETDAQ
WON 15-8 DOUGLAS TALKING from 3.95 on BETDAQ
WON 10-11 LOVE ENVOI (nap)
NATIONAL HOPES ON TRIAL
⭕ 2.40 Haydock, tomorrow (Grand National Trial) STATS: ages 8 to 11. No favourite has won since 2013. Winning trainers with runners: Richard Hobson, David Pipe. ABC of form:
Blaklion Now 13, second in this race in 2017 and 2018; won the Becher Chase and fourth in the Grand National. Took advantage of slide in the weights to win two here at Haydock in December, including veterans’ chase, but that’s shot his mark back up a stone.
Bristol De Mai Five times Grade-1 winner, including three in the Lancashire Chase at Haydock, two on heavy ground. No form over a trip this far but 10lb lower in the ratings and ran well the last day.
Enqarde Modest form in France but 2-5, still standing, in England last year, culminating in the Tommy Whittle at Haydock in December (won eased down on soft). That’s cost him a 9lb rise but he’s still nicely placed in the handicap tomorrow.
Kalooki Class-3 winner twice up to 3m and best runs in higher grades have been at Newbury. Remote third in the Reynoldstown a year ago and not respond to first-time cheekpieces when well behind in the Peter Marsh the last day.
Lord Du Mesnil Last year’s Trial winner off a similar mark, and second the year before after a Haydock double. Back to form, second in the Rowland Meyrick in December, but weakened with Kalooki, both well behind in the Peter Marsh when Sam Brown was second.
Mint Condition Good novice-chase form at Haydock on soft over shorter but hurdles success up to 2m 6f; that and his breeding both point to a steeplechase future over long distances. Brian Hughes booked.
Sam Brown Peter Marsh runner-up at Haydock in January (Kalooki and Lord Du Mesnil well behind); led much of the way until two out. Has won at Haydock on heavy over shorter; reckoned to have ‘lots of stamina’, though not bred for it.
Secret Reprieve Favourite but well beaten fifth when tried to win the Welsh Grand National in December without a prep race, whereas he’d won the previous running – also as favourite – after taking the trial five weeks earlier. BETDAQ Sportsbook: 26.0 for the Grand National.
Sidi Ismael Completed hat-trick stepping up from hurdles to novice chase and on to win the Lincolnshire Grand National at Market Rasen, with Scottish Borders National runner-up second again. Easy to back the last day in North Yorkshire National (fell in rear).
The Galloping Bear Versatile. Six wins out of seven, still standing, including Point, hunter-chase and handicap chase the last day, which was Surrey National (heavy), giving two stone and more to second and third. This is even tougher.
Time To Get Up Unexposed J P McManus nine-year-old with only nine races on his CV. In the first four every time until struggled with National fences in the Grand Sefton in November. In fine form last February-March, including winning 4m 2f Midlands Grand National at Uttoxeter.
BETDAQ 12.0 PARTY POOPER
⭕ 2.00 Kelso, today This is the third time this week I’ve seen a ‘replay’ race where horses that finished together recently are meeting again at revised weights; only one out of five of those horses won and the four others failed.
Stainsby Girl beat Elvis Mail and Word Has It here at Kelso last month, so close together that the handicapper has only tinkered with their weights to the extent of a couple of pounds or so.
In theory he has equalised the chances of the three, all of them course-and-distance winners; all three aged eight; all three winners on soft ground.
So I’m just wondering if, after a wind op, Diocletian can spoil the party, unexposed at seven, a winner over further from four hurdle starts, and from the same stable as Elvis Mail.
The former Andrew Balding inmate is having his first run for his new yard and a change of scenery has often inspired an instant response. BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE 12.0
STORM’S A 9.0 TOPICAL TIP
⭕ 3.05 Kelso This 2m 5f handicap chase takes us to the dizzy heights of class 2 but with Silver Hallmark and Riders Onthe Storm both winners at an even higher level.
The doors open for Riders today. Now tongue-tied, he can turn around the form of his first run back when beaten by the old boy, Clan Legend, whom he takes on again.
Though Riders was exchanging at 9.0 on BETDAQ this morning, he was the first one backed when markets opened last night after Nick Schofield was booked to travel North for the one ride.
Schofield has done that once before recently when he went up to Ayr for one ride: result, Nifty Getaway won 17-2.
JETT TAKE-OFF FOR AINTREE
⭕ 3.35 Kelso The Grand National is the target for the Waley-Cohen’s Jett (eighth in the Aintree race last year) and third at Doncaster for a new trainer on his first start since that day.
2.00 Kelso (win 12)
BET 1pt win DIOCLETIAN
3.05 Kelso (win 12, nap)
BET 1.5pts win RIDERS ONTHE STORM
What are points? Points facilitate a staking plan, which is the secret to creating profit. One point is whatever you choose: a pound, a euro, or whatever ….
Start with a bank and decide how much you can afford to lose over a period of time, and determine the size of your bets accordingly. Daqman makes this variation every day.