CHELTENHAM COUNTDOWN Keep your Daq up and don’t miss the Cheltenham Festival value when it happens on BETDAQ. So says Daqman as he looks at market fluctuations and in particular Friday’s card.
DAQMAN’S NAP HAPPY HABIT Daqman has the winning-naps habit, as regular readers know. And yesterday Moabit (WON 11-4) continued the habit by scoring at Wincanton.
AMAZING BETDAQ ARKLE VALUE
Don’t settle for less. As the Cheltenham Festival markets get competitive, the same old, same old situation is revealed yet again, again.
By sheer dint of every players search for value, BETDAQ markets are so punter-friendly they make a laughing stock of fixed-odds books.
I revealed last week how the bookies stole a third of your stake on the opening day of Cheltenham 2017, with overrounds of 134% (Arkle), 130 (Ultima) and 135% (novices’ chase) at SP.
At the time, I forecast that you’d see single-figure overrounds in the BETDAQ orange at Cheltenham. I can’t prove my point yet.
But I can tell you that one race was already sub-110 at one stage when I looked last night and we’re not even in Cheltenham week yet!
There was a 109% ante-post orange was for the Arkle, the very race that saw that appalling 134% Total SP last season!
Here it is among three big-value BETDAQ ante-post racing Post percentages (at left) spotted online for Tuesday’s opening day, which you can compare with the 2017, Total SP on the right.
109% Arkle Novice Chase, Tuesday (2017 Total SP 134%)
111% Champion Hurdle, Tuesday (2017 Total SP 119%)
118% Supreme Novices Hurdle, Tuesday (2017 Total SP 122%)
HOOFNOTE: If you don’t see the Back or Lay that you want, make an offer in the orange or green.. and keep the value show on the road.
KEEP YOUR DAQ UP! Keep logged into the site and don’t miss the best bets.
1.30 Cheltenham, Friday, March 16 (Triumph Hurdle)
Betdaq market Favourites are going for a four-timer but will the SP leader be Apples Shakira (4.1 on BETDAQ) or Redicean (4.2).
Money horses Salder 22.5 to 8.2, Mr Adjudictaor 21.0 to 7.8, Farclas 12.5 to 7.6, Stormy Island 10.0 to 7.8, Redicean 6.2 to 4.2
2.50 Cheltenham, Friday, March 16 (Albert Bartlett Novices Hurdle)
Daqman’s Fortune Cookies Next Destination, also engaged in the Ballymore on Wednesday
Betdaq value Next Destination BETDAQ 13.0, generally 4-1 with bookmakers
Money horses Santini 7.5 to 5.2, Chef Des Obeaux 9.4 to 7.4, Chris’s Dream 21.0 to 12.5, Calett Mad 60.0 to 13.5>16.0
3.30 Cheltenham, Friday, March 16 (Gold Cup)
Daqman’s Fortune Cookies Total Recall
Betdaq value Total Recall 20.0 on BETDAQ, 14-1 and 16 -1 bookmakers
Money horses Native River 22.5 to 5.3, Definitely Red 48.5 to 9.8, Killultagh River 97.0 to 11.0, Road To Respect 69.0 to 11.0, Edwulf 175.0 to 20.0, Anibale Fly 343.0 to 30.0
JUMP IN ON JEZKI CONSOLATION
It’s their Cheltenham today. Barry Geraghty has been given job rides at Leopardstown this afternoon on horses you might have seen at the Festival.
1.25 Leopardstown Jezki has been to Cheltenham five times: in the Champion Bumper, Supreme Novices Hurdle (third), Champion Hurdle twice (won and fourth) and three Stayers Hurdle. Yet he’s only slightly worse than even money on BETDAQ this morning.
J P McManus likes a bit of loose change to take to Cheltenham and Jezki looks well good enough, still only 10, to take this 21,000 euro hurdle.
Second in the Morgiana in the autumn, he was fourth in the Irish Champion Hurdle in February.
The handicapper says that Ex Patriot hasn’t improved an ounce since fourth in the 2017 Triumph Hurdle (same 146 rating), though that’s still good enough to make a race of it here. He is half Jezki’s age.
The mare Karalee gets the allowances but fell well short at Graded level and pulled up on the last day when tried in a tongue-tie.
2.25 Leopardstown Crossed My Mind that Arthur Moore’s six-year-old might be test travelling to go to Cheltenham but his third when well backed in a Listed at Sandown, and flop as favourite again in a Grade 3 at Ascot, didn’t inspire confidence. Consolation day today, we hope, Mr Geraghty: 3.85 offers.
2.30 Sandown (Queen Elizabeth The Queen Mother Memorial) I say Lord Marmaduke, frightfully decent of you to join in and make up the eight runners. Each-way betting, what!
Kastani Beach (won 2015), first or second for the last three years, looks place material again, despite being in his ninth season on parade.
He’s a raw recruit compared with 14-year-old Ratify, who is 2-3 since a change of stables. And there may be No Hiding Place from the Henderson runner.
But my man in the long grass tells me that Skinflint has been prepped for this. Caught the eye on the last day and looks well weighted for this class-4 handicap, half the age of Kastani Beach. BETDAQ offers of 8.8
3.40 Sandown (Grand Military Gold Cup) David Pipe has really set his stall out for this meeting. Apart from Skinflint, he has a Three Star General (4.45) turning out in the last.
But the one I want to be on is Rathlin Rose (I took 3.1), bidding for a repeat in this amateur riders’ gold cup, back to form over the Sandown CD three weeks ago.
Knockanrawley will be thereabouts but hasn’t won since 2014. More Buck’s also has to bounce back, and they reach for the cheekpieces for the Henderson novice, Baden. I’ll take an early baden if Baden wins!
DAQMAN’S BETS (each staked to win 20)
SUPERNAP: BET 20pts win JEZKI
BET 7pts win CROSSED MY MIND
BET 2.5pts win and place SKINFLINT
BET 10pts win RATHLIN ROSE
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