A LINCOLN AND A DERBY SAME DAY: Newbury and Kelso over jumps on terrestrial TV plus the Lincolnshire Handicap start to the Flat season at the Curragh and UAE Derby day at Meydan. It’s all in Saturday’s Daqman, as he starts a new season in competition with Pricewise of the Racing Post. It’s the 20th season of the value challenge, with the score Pricewise 0, Daqman 19.
Nine races previewed again
TODAY: FLAT Part 2 of a two-day stats and facts preview of tomorrow’s start of the Flat at The Curragh
TODAY: JUMPS Checking out the early Newbury card before a nap at Hereford.
MUCH ADO ABOUT LINCOLN 9
⭕ 3.25 Curragh, tomorrow (Irish Lincolnshire) Trainer George Boughey sees England as a base for earning real money outside the country.
Boughey, who trained a Listed winner in France on Tuesday, raids the first day of Flat-turf in Ireland with Totally Charming, Colin Keane booked.
Totally Charming has won first time in both of the last two seasons, scored on Derby Day at Epsom and finished 2022 taking a big field at Doncaster on heavy ground.
Totally Charming, out of gate 22, is two stalls away from – and giving 17lb to – Lattam, dual winner for William Haggas, and son of French Derby hero Lupe De Vega.
Ado McGuinness, who won the race in 2020 from the one stall, saddles NINE (and has one reserve), again bagging gate one with Finans Bay, alongside stablemate Celtic Crown(2), Comfort Line (5) and Casanova (6), but he also trains Star Harbour (10), No More Porter (14), Current Option (18), Saltonstall (20) and Corduan (22).
STATS: DRAW Stalls 1, 3, 5 filled 50% of places over seven seasons. RATINGS: four of the last five winners here were rated 97, 98 and 99.
SP: 7 out of 10 winners were a single-figure SP. JOCKEYS: Gary Carroll has ridden two winners in the last six years but both came when the race was switched to Naas.
TRAINERS in form (AW): George Boughey (14 winners this year), Joseph O’Brien 11, Ado McGuinness 9, William Haggas 8, Johnny Murtagh 5.
⭕ 3.57 Curragh (Park Express Stakes) AGE: This is a Group 3 over a mile which fillies win (8-10 aged 3 and 4).
TRAINER: Jim Bolger has landed this four times since 2004, including with the last mare to score in 2019.
⭕ 4.20 Curragh High numbers (stalls 15 and 16), both three-year-olds, have won this maiden in its two years.
⭕ 5.07 Curragh High numbers (stalls 16 and 14), both four-year-olds, have won this straight-mile handicap. Starting Monday, the 2021 winner, is back for more today.
⭕ 5.37 Curragh Back to sprinting, a big-field 6f handicap, which stalls 3 and 8 have won with big weights (10st 2lb and 9st 11lb). Last year’s winner, Mogwli, seems to have had the luck again, drawn 3.
STATS COMMEND CARPENTER
⭕ 1.30 Newbury When the market doesn’t get it right with hardly credible results this week, BETDAQ gives you early warnings in a race.
Horses not seemingly at their best or jumping badly are quickly easy to back.
So keep an eye on a race like this big-field novice hurdle, with its past results showing five consecutive winners at 2-1 or shorter, the last three all favourite.
It’s Nicky Henderson territory and here he has a seven-year-old grey, The Carpenter, still qualified to run as a novice. BETDAQ 2.61 but the early stages of the race will tell you more.
ECKLEBURG DOWN IN CLASS
⭕ 2.40 Newbury I always feel safer in big-field handicaps where the trainer’s task is to place the horse well, with the right mark, then get him fit enough.
The pace is assured so all the punter seemingly has to do is know the ability of the trainer and whether he’s in form.
That’s not always easy because, at this time of year, sage animals aged 10 or 12 may be outrun by youngsters half their age. Or not.
The early market for this race says they will and that Dr T J Eckleburg’s drop back in grade is the option unless tricky Nicky Henderson has transformed Russian Ruler at home.
Mothill, Poncho and Denable look exposed but Arqoob or Postmark should step up from lower-grade novice company.
Their trainers are not in great form, whereas the Eckleburg yard of Olly Murphy has an enviable 30% current strike-rate (14-47).
Betdaq Betting Exchange 2.84 Dr T J Eckleburg
CREDO HAS HER CONDITIONS
⭕ 3.20 Hereford Talking of stable skill at placing horses, Anthony Honeyball has to be a weatherman to keep Credo on a winning path.
The mare has won at Chepstow and Warwick three months apart, despite being raised 13lb, because she’s been kept to good and good-to-soft ground.
She is not a big mare and she’s up another 5lb here but she makes up for her ‘short’comings by jumping well and staying the course.
Her opponents here have raced in lower class, knocking at the door without being able to open it. BETDAQ 2.62.
DAQMAN’S BETS
1.30 Newbury (win 10)
BET 6pts win THE CARPENTER
2.40 Newbury (win 12, nap)
BET 6.5pts win Dr T J ECKLEBURG
3.20 Hereford (win 10)
BET 6pts win CREDO
What are points? Points facilitate a staking plan, which is the secret to creating profit. One point is whatever you choose: a pound, a euro, or whatever ….
Start with a bank and decide how much you can afford to lose over a period of time, and determine the size of your bets accordingly. Daqman makes this variation every day.
Did you know? DAQMAN’s tips are posted each and every day so he’s always on hand to help with your horse racing betting.
