111 WINS IN PRICEWISE CHALLENGE: Daqman and Pricewise shared the honours yesterday with a winner each but the impressive Valseur Lido (WON 7-2) was the 111th win for Daqman, 63 more than Pricewise overall in their year-long battle. It’s a closer duel so far this jumps season with Pricewise now 4-3 up.
ONE TO FOLLOW FOR WINCANTON: Today Daqman keeps faith with his plan to tip earmarked horses in the lead up to their targets. He follows on Balbriggan (WON 4-1 from 13.5) with another one today. It’s for Wincanton later in the week.
REMEMBER EIGHT HITS IN A DAY? Daqman is back down to the basic tipping pattern today, and there will be no more Pricewise fireworks until the weekend. But remember last week’s surge of weekday winners? Four, five, six then eight in a day! Can he do it again this week? You know he’ll try.
HOW TO BE A LEAGUE AHEAD OF THE REST
There are, distinctly, two types of racing these days. Festival meetings, weekend cards and big-race one-offs, whether Flat or Jumps, are a class apart from ordinary weekdays when the planners try to cope with the plethora of maidens, and novices, and sheer one-paced horses which are simply not good enough to tangle with the best.
The punters problem is that the ordinary horse below class 3 is unreliable. You simply cannot bet that he will reproduce his last performance, or run up to his overall form in any given race.
And such a race is most likely to contain the best that the little yards can produce versus the dross from the big stables that are kept going as ‘fun’ horses (beware of any mention of the ‘fun horse’; in stable tours; it translates as ‘the owner’s family wanted to keep him in training but he’ll be lucky to pay for his corn.’)
PREMIER LEAGUE Bets on the better races in this column will continue to use the successful formulae of big-value Bull’s-Eye Bets and straight win challenges to Pricewise (place bet added only with double-figure offers).
Stakes for all bets on these days will be calculated to win a minimum of 30 points at BETDAQ offers that pertained at the time of writing but the bull’s-eye is a win 50 and there may be win-100 bets on races like the Grand National.
Bankers will continue to be 20 points win but added to them will be doubles on bigger offers to create multiples called Money-Box Bets.
SECOND DIVISION As I announced last week, all lower-class racing will be staked according to the strength of the bet.
The stake will, therefore, rate the bet from 1 point to 10 points, with 10 a (rare) banker stake, naps from 6 to 9 and outsiders from 1 to 4. The highest-staked horse is automatically the nap (best of the day). I promised that every Monday I would preview the week, so..
BOND PRIMED FOR SILVER BUCK AGAIN
Trainers are creatures of habit. It helps to follow stable thinking and sometimes it’s obvious. For instance, Buck’s Bond was primed in the Desert Orchid Chase at Wincanton last October to win the Silver Buck Handicap on the same course a year ago on Thursday of this week.
Bucks Bond was seen in the Desert Orchid race again last month, narrowly beaten into third, and is back for a repeat in the Silver Buck, same time, same venue this week, only 2lb higher than in 2013.
But it’s ordinary-stakes racing every day until the two-day Sandown meeting on Friday, when we could be raising stakes to Premier League level.
The opening day has another Neptune trial plus a return match between Corrin Wood and Black Thunder, with Corrin Wood suited by the conditions of the Future Stars Chase.
Saturday is back to the big time, featuring the Tingle Creek Chase at Sandown (with the impressive God’s Own now a likely runner) and a double whammy of top chases at Aintree: the Becher and the Grand Sefton.
My Troytown winner, Balbriggan, is among those fancied for the Becher, with the front rank of the market grid likely to be depleted, since Monbeg Dude and Rocky Creek must be doubtful runners after their exertions in the Hennessy
McCOY ON A CHOICE NAP AT PLUMPTON
The nap picks itself today. Just how many pointers do we need for Maria’s Choice (2.40 Plumpton) in the Injured Jockeys’ Fund 50th Anniversary Handicap Hurdle.
I don’t often mention the racehead but Injured Jockeys has been a massive contribution to our sport, started in the days of Arkle and Mill House, not only two of the greatest steeplechasers but largely responsible for bringing jumps racing into the hearts and homes of the betting public.
Maria’s Choice would land a stable hat-trick for Jim Best, after a double across the cards at Lingfield and Wetherby on Friday. The five-year-old drops in grade and is the only booked ride of the day for Tony McCoy.
Final pointer: Maria’s Choice is unchallenged in the BETDAQ market this morning, clear of Hold The Bucks and Zero Visibility, nothing else backed.
Also with one mount today is the reliable rider, cool-hand Brendan Powell, who is striking at a slightly higher rate than McCoy right now.
He’s on the grey Siobhans Beauty (12.40) for Jamie Snowden, who is in top form, with six out of seven (two winners) in the frame during the last fortnight.
A Point winner in a big field, and runner-up on the debut over hurdles in another race of quantity, though we can’t be sure of the qualitiy, Siobhans Beauity could make a winning first appearance for Snowden after switching from James Sheehan’s Cork yard. A tasty 10.5 on BETDAQ early mouse.
A 31lb rise for four wins in November might finally stop Southway Star (1.40). The one to do it could be Cannon Fodder, a CD winner and second in the this race last year.
There was inspired support for Henry Grace (4.20 Kempton) on the last day after being huge prices every time before that, but he let connections down. Maybe blinkers first time and Cam Hardie can make a difference (14.5 on BETDAQ this morning).
Paradise Spectre is a lay, though paper-forecast second-favourite. Without a win in more than three years, with the trainer failing to win since April and having failed to score at Kempton with 130 runners in four years.
DAQMAN’S BETS Stakes are according to the strength of the bet, from 1 point to 10 points, with 10 a banker stake, naps from 6 to 9 and outsiders from 1 to 4. A 10-point banker is automatically the nap (best of the day).
BET 4pts win and 1.5pts place (win-stakes saver) SIOBHANS BEAUTY (12.40 Plumpton)
BET 3pts win CANNON FODDER and 2pts win (stakes saver) SOUTHWAY STAR (1.40 Plumpton)
BET 8pts win (nap) MARIA’S CHOICE (2.40 Plumpton)
LAY 3pts PARADISE SPECTRE and BET 1.5pts win and place HENRY GRACE (4.20 Kempton)
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