220 POINTS DAQMAN PROFIT WITH 10-1 AND 16-1 GUINEAS HITS: Daqman won a colossal 220 points weekend profit to 10-point level stakes in challenge races against Pricewise of the Racing Post, naming both Guineas winners in his three for each Classic to lead 14-7. And he laid yesterday’s unplaced gamble, Santa Barbara, as long ago as April 20 when his headline declared: Lays Logic to oppose 1,000 Guineas favourite. Then he insisted again yesterday: No Sunday lie-in today but an early lay!
WON 10-1 MOTHER EARTH (1,000 Guineas winner in three)
WON unplaced 5-2 (Lays Logic) SANTA BARBARA (7-4 laid on April 19)
WON 11-4 OPERA GIFT (nap)
WON 16-1 POETIC FLARE (from 18.5 on BETDAQ, 2,000 Guineas)
NOW FOR DERBY AND OAKS TRIALS AND A NEW LIST OF STARS: Now Daqman begins an early look at the Derby and Oaks with the first trials at Chester and Lingfield this week plus his See How They Won survey of past winners, building to the Epsom climax, with his tipping record now (Daqman v Pricewise does not include two successful lays in their challenge races):
DAQMAN 14, PRICEWISE 7
LAYS LOGIC 6-7 (85%)
NAPS 9-17 (53%)
SUPERNAPS 4-5 (80%)
NEXT: CLASSIC FORTUNE COOKIES
Did we learn anything at the weekend? What about that old punters’ adage about three-year-old form (‘last year is last year; this year is this’)! It was proved so right in the 2,000 Guineas.
One or more of the much vaunted heroes of 2020 was likely to bite the dust. That Wembley, Battleground and Thunder Moon all failed to get within 18 lengths of a virtual unknown in the 2,000 Guineas still seems hard to accept.
But, in the 1,000, Mother Earth’s experience from last season, plus Frankie Dettori’s nous and drive, were the winning factors.
And it stood out a mile – a Rowley Mile – against Santa Barbara that you simply couldn’t back a filly who had raced only once and was coming to Newmarket so short on experience (to the rescue: a BETDAQ lay).
After Chester and Lingfield this week and York next, I shall assess the Guineas again and add the stars of the Derby and Oaks trials to a Classic Fortune Cookies list in time for the Irish Guineas (May 22, 23) and Epsom
I’ll expect to give you an early verdict on Epsom and on the Irish Derby and Oaks plus those in line for Royal Ascot onwards.
Daqman v Pricewise and Lays Logic will both be back on Wednesday through to Saturday. Naps are every day as usual, defending a 50% record.
🗓️ Wednesday 2.15 CHESTER (Cheshire Oaks), 3.15 Chester Vase Derby trial.
🗓️ Thursday 2.15 CHESTER Dee Stakes Derby trial
🗓️ Saturday 1.40 LINGFIELD Oaks Trial, 2.15 Lingfield Derby Trial
🗓️ Next Thursday Dante Stakes Derby trial at YORK
🏇 HOOFNOTE Jim Bolger’s name is everywhere today. The winning trainer of Opera Gift in the 2,000 Guineas, runs Theogony (1.30) in the Curragh race he won with a 20-1 shot in 2014.
Theogony’s dam has produced three winners for the Co Carlow stable, including a full brother to Theogony called Agitare, fourth last week at The Curragh.
At Kempton a few minutes earlier (1.15, see preview below), Paso Doble is by another Bolger Guineas winner Dawn Approach who was also the sire of Poetic Flare.
THE CANAL CAN
⭕ 1.00 Bath Grand Canal is up 5lb for his recent course and distance success but given that he’s needed the reappearance in the past there’s every chance of there being plenty more to come and the rise being offset.
There was certainly plenty to like about the win here last month with him having plenty in hand over Confils and a further four and a half lengths back to Mack The Knife in third.
Sufi’s form figures are a little misleading. The Milton Harris trained runner was a winner over hurdles at Market Rasen last time out but whether he now has the speed for this trip is questionable. A career 2-38 also suggests you can afford to miss him when he does win – even though the bookie of Hollie Doyle today is obviously a positive.
Bug Boy has started to show some form on the all-weather but is rated 9lb higher on the turf which tempers enthusiasm and a bigger danger may emerge from Tanqeeb whose Leicester third reads well in the context of this race and the Ian Williams stable are going well with eight winners from their last 30 runners.
DANCING IN WITH PASO DOBLE
⭕ 1.15 Kempton Since their memorable double at Sandown last month with Frodon and Greaneteen (a good day too for DAQMAN) Bryony Frost and Paul Nicholls have combined with another winner from just two runners and can continue that hot streak with Paso Doble here.
The four-year-old certainly caught the eye with his hurdles debut here in February when third to Tritonic in the Grade 2 Adonis. Even although the winner underperformed at Cheltenham in the Triumph, there was still plenty to like about Paso Doble’s effort.
In short this looks a much simpler task for the dual flat winner (when trained by Jim Bolger).
The chief BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE rivals have more experience but have already had their limitations exposed to some degree.
Flinteur Sacre has proved hard to settle in his first two races over hurdles which is disappointing given he won a bumper here in great style last year whilst Grisbi De Berce won well at Huntingdon but is surely vulnerable under the resulting penalty in what looks a much hotter contest?
READ ALL ABOUT IT
⭕ 1.56 Windsor Basically around 4/1 co-favourites of FOUR at the time of writing for this six furlong sprint but I’ve a feeling that Hot Scoop could go well on his second start of the season.
He was beaten five lengths over course and distance last week but should have come on plenty for that and is the only course and distance winner in the field. That win came last July when he also had a low draw.
DAQMAN’S BETS (staked to win 10 points)
BET 5.9pts win GRAND CANAL (1.00 Bath)
BET 10.0pts win (nap) PASO DOBLE (1.15 Kempton)
BET 2.2pts win THEOGONY (1.30 Curragh)
BET 2.2pts win HOT SCOOP (1.56 Windsor)
What are points? Points facilitate a staking plan, which is the secret to creating profit. One point is whatever you choose: a pound, a euro, or whatever ….
Start with a bank and decide how much you can afford to lose over a period of time, and determine the size of your bets accordingly. Daqman makes this variation every day.