DAQMAN RATES THE TWO-YEAR-OLDS WITH JUST 11 TOP TESTS TO COME: It’s Cambridgeshire week but also the start of a sequence of seven top two-year-old tests at Newmarket, which Daqman will preview tomorrow. Part One of Fortune Cookies for 2022 features the 2YO results so far, with just 11 Group juvenile races to come.
TODAY: Daqman has three bets including in the two class three races at Leicester.
RACES THAT CREATE STARS OF 2022
FORTUNE COOKIES: 2YO Part 1: As Charlie Appleby cleans up the 2021 home Derbys and million-dollar North American invitations, his Native Trail tops the two-year-olds.
Native Trail has already beaten Point Lonsdale and Masekela, who figure prominently in the results so far at the start of a two-week sequence of seven Newmarket juvenile tests which will decide the Classics pecking order for 2022.
ASCOT (* fillies)
115 Perfect Power Norfolk Stakes (5f) (Richard Fahey, Paul Hanagan)
113 Point Lonsdale Chesham Stakes (7f) (Aidan O’Brien, Ryan Moore)
108 Quick Suzy* Queen Mary Stakes (5f) (Gavin Cromwell, Gary Carroll)
108 Sandrine* Albany Stakes (6f) (Andrew Balding, David Probert)
118 Native Trail National Stakes (7f) (Charlie Appleby, William Buick)
113 Point Lonsdale Tyros Stakes (7f) (Aidan O’Brien, Ryan Moore)
113 Point Lonsdale Futurity Stakes (7f ) (Aidan O’Brien, Ryan Moore)
111 Sacred Bridge* Round Tower Stakes (6f) (Ger Lyons, Colin Keane)
099 Discoveries* Moyglare Stud Stakes (7f) (Jessica Harrington, Shane Foley)
Race to come: Saturday,: Beresford Stakes (1m)
115 Perfect Power Prix Morny (6f ) (Richard Fahey, Christophe Soumillion)
112 Bayside Boy Champagne Stakes (7f) (Roger Varian, David Egan)
110 Inspiral* May Hill Stakes (1m) (John and Thady Gosden, Frankie Dettori)
103 Caturra Flying Childers Stakes (5f) (Clive Cox, Adam Kirby)
099 Harrow Weatherbys Scientific (6f+) (Andrew Balding, Oisin Murphy)
Race to come: October 21, Futurity Stakes (1m)
109 Armor Molecomb Stakes (5f) (Richard Hannon, Ryan Moore)
102 Mise En Scene* Prestige Stakes (7f) (James Ferguson, Oisin Murphy)
Race to come: October 3 Prix Jean Luc Lagardere (7f)
Race to come: October 3 Prix Marcel Boussac (1m, fillies)
107 Masekela Washington Singer Stakes (7f) (Andrew Balding, William Buick)
100 Wings Of War Mill Reef Stakes (6f) (Clive Cox, Adam Kirby)
118 Native Trail Superlative Stakes (7f) (Charlie Appleby, William Buick)
100 Majestic Glory Sweet Solera Stakes (7f) (Andrew Balding, David Probert)
races to come: see tomorrow
112 Reach For The Moon Solario Stakes (7f) (J & T Gosden, Frankie Dettori)
108 Zain Claudette* Lowther Stakes (6f) (Ismail Mohammed, Ray Dawson)
(Part 2 tomorrow)
NAP IS NO MYTH
⭕ 1.30 Leicester A couple of interesting class 3 races on Monday’s card with this two-year-old event looking the most interesting. No surprise that I’m drawn in by the Charlie Appleby runner Mythical Dancer. With 13 winners from their last 32 runners you’d even have to have a second glance at the stable cat at the moment!
Mythical Dancer comes into this on the back of winning on debut at Thirsk. He ran green that day, especially at the start, and only got up on the post to beat a previous winner with the pair finishing nicely clear. He should improve bundles for that effort and is taken to defy his penalty.
Carbon is more experienced with three starts and ran his best race yet over course and distance last time out when collared on the line by New Dimension. That was a good effort and the Roger Varian trained runner looks the obvious danger to Mythical Dancer who remains the more progressive of the pair.
It’s quite hard to assess the chances of the Richard Hannon / Oisin Murphy runner who made a pleasing debut at Brighton over this trip. But it came in a four runner race and none of the other three have been out again since. As a general rule I tend not to overvalue Brighton form and in this case I think the value of the form looks modest.
CELSIUS LOOKS WARM
⭕ 3.10 Leicester The second of the class 3 events on the card is this handicap over the minimum trip. Celsius is a slightly tentative play given he’s now on a run of 12 without a win but he is a class dropped who has been given a big chance by the handicapper.
He’s down another couple of pounds from his last start when fourth in what looked a better race at Ascot. He slept in the stalls that day and also lost a shoe in the race so is probably value for more than the 3 1/4 lengths he was officially beaten by.
The last time he ran off today’s mark (79) he won a competitive Glorious Goodwood sprint handicap back in 2019.
There are a couple of negatives which means we are probably getting better than expected odds on BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE. Firstly trainer form: Tom Clover is 37 without a win and secondly Celsius is in stall 1 which is a more minor worry as there is a slight preference to higher drawn horses over this trip.
BACK TO BASICS
⭕ 7.00 Wolverhampton This could be another Monday winner for the boys in blue but this time with the Saeed bin Suroor axis.
Basic Beauty doesn’t look harshly treated on her opening handicap mark. She has hinted at ability on the all-weather and although comprehensively brushed aside by Beholding (beaten an eased down 10 lengths) at Lingfield last time she still pulled six lengths clear of the third. Beholding followed up by winning by even further (12 lengths) at Kempton last week although that distance was exaggerated due to a sad fall in the race.
DAQMAN’S BETS (staked to win 10 points)
BET 8.3pts win (nap) MYTHICAL DANCER (1.30 Leicester)
BET 2.0pts win CELSIUS (3.10 Leicester)
BET 2.5pts win BASIC BEAUTY (7.00 Wolverhampton)
What are points? Points facilitate a staking plan, which is the secret to creating profit. One point is whatever you choose: a pound, a euro, or whatever ….
Start with a bank and decide how much you can afford to lose over a period of time, and determine the size of your bets accordingly. Daqman makes this variation every day.