9-2 WINNER WAS A ‘BALLY’ GOOD BETDAQ BET: After his sensational one-two in the Grand National with Tiger Roll (WON 10-1) and Pleasant Company (2ND 25-1), it was back to the bread and butter but with another profit on the day yesterday for Daqman. He said that Ballycross (WON 9-2) was too big at 6.8 on BETDAQ in the morning.
SUNSHINE FORECAST FOR HQ CLASSIC TRIALS: It’s all systems go on the Flat despite the mud persisting to make it hard for punters at Windsor (passed an inspection) and Leopardstown, but with sunshine forecast to dry the ground for the Newmarket Craven Meeting, starting tomorrow. Daqman previews the Classic trials.
ALL EYES ON GOSDEN FILLIES
It would be nice to see Enable at York. That’s the first of her entries this season but it’s understandable if the Arc winner is waited with until later in the season, as she targets an Arc double, this year’s race switched to the newly-reopened ParisLongchamp.
Because of her, there will be massive interest in John Gosden’s second-season fillies, starting with the first big trial, the Nell Gwyn at Newmarket on Wednesday.
Enable’s career was launched at Newbury, which follows on from Newmarket later in the week.
Nell Gwyn Stakes, Wednesday Gosden has won the last two runnings of this with Nathra and Daban, both going close in the Classics but destined to be the line for greater things from Enable.
Now Nawassi, related to a 1,000 Guineas winner and a third, could land the Gosden hat-trick.
Nathra (2016) went on to be second in the Pouliches (French 1,000) and Daban (2017) third in the Newmarket 1,000, with Enable waiting in the wings.
Craven Stakes, Thursday Gosden’s Roaring Lion is third in the 2,000 Guineas betting behind Gustav Klimt who has already won his trial.
Mark Johnston could run Cardsharp in the Craven as a sighter for Elarqam in the Guineas.
Charlie Appleby has had a sensational 44% strike rate on AW, and promises to hit the big time with his three-year-olds this year.
Will he run Masra and/or Glorious Journey in the Craven or switch one or both to the Free Handicap tomorrow. Check out today’s declarations.
We will also be looking in these early mile races at Newmarket at how the draw pans out (with the relative stalls positions).
At this time of year, an edge – like a rails draw – can make all the difference, as eight of the last nine Craven Stakes reveal: those eight winners were all from stalls 1 to 5.
THE HEAVY MOB’S AT WINDSOR
4.20 Windsor The only race of any quality as Windsor launches its season in the riverside mud today is this class-3 sprint.
You need something that goes in a ploughed field, preferably with a middle-high draw and from a stable that’s been in good form on AW.
Mobsta, Glory of Paris and Bahamian Dollar are from yards doing well, with Mobsta a winner on soft who has already had a race at the opening Doncaster meeting (Giant Spark behind).
He should have won it. Though not well drawn and badly hampered a furlong out, he still got within a length and a half of the winner.
Glory Of Paris has had four races this year and is pretty much exposed, while Bahamian Dollar is massively better off with Major Pusey, who beat him here last May, but the form book says he needs a sounder surface.
The handicapper has taken a chance with Poets Princess (12.5 on BETDAQ this morning). Ran well at Salisbury on heavy in the autumn. Now 11lb below her highest mark.
BABYLON BOOSTER FOR O’BRIEN
3.30 and 4.00 Leopardstown Aidan O’Brien won the opening fillies’ maiden with the subsequent Cheshire Oaks winner, Somehow, and his three in this are all entered up in the Classics.
But his fillies are usually further behind than the colts, and it’s in their maiden (4.00) that he really excels with current form figures of 12112.
He’ll be keen for Gardens Of Babylon to give an early boost to Dante Stakes entry James Cook, brother to Found. They were first and third here in October.
‘Gardens’ was deservedly an even-money chance in the BETDAQ orange this morning.
Interesting that he was 35.0 in the BETDAQ Epsom Derby market this morning, but James Cook was 45.0.
4.30 Leopardstown Top-weight Ace Of Diamonds actually has 2lb less than when he won this race last year first time up but a hood is tried today, giving rise for some concern, and the Weld stable has been missing strike badly.
The stats say that four-year-olds are unbeatable, and the bet – or rather, bets – might be to stake Mick Halford’s pair, Claregate Street (8.2 offers) and Circling Moon (10.0), both dropped a few pounds in the handicap.
5.00 Leopardstown Dermot Weld has won this five years out of seven and, if he’s going to score today, it could be nine-times-winner Tandem, who had a run over hurdles in February.
Another veteran, Brendan Bracken, swerved a crack at back-to-back wins in the Irish Lincoln to run here.
This year’s Irish Lincoln winner, On The Go Again, meets the fourth horse Pincheck 4lb worse but the fifth horse home, Onenightidreamed, is 10lb better off.
Again you’d expect a fit four-year-old to come out on top – they’ve had four straight wins in this – but Pincheck was also behind Brendan Bracken and Onenightidreamed in a similar race at Cork in the autumn (Spanish Tenor beaten off).
So it would have to be Panstarr, who has had a run. Like Tandem, he wins over further and, if there’s pace on here on the heavy, one of these two could outstay the field. He was well backed this morning, in to 3.85m edging out Brendan Bracken at the head of the BETDAQ market.
In a tough stakes race like this, we usually look to the handicapper for help, and he says that Brendan Bracken (3.9 on BETDAQ), who wins when fresh, still has several pounds in. hand despite his penalty (Ger Lyons’ current form 1204110).
6.05 Leopardstown Three-year-old handicaps are the way to the workhouse and have been since the Bronze Age.
DAQMAN’S BETS (staked to win 20 points each)
SUPERNAP: 20pts win GARDENS OF BABYLON
BET 1.75pts win and place POET’S PRINCESS
BET (stakes saver) 3pts win MOBSTA
BET 2.75pts win CLAREGATE STREET
BET 2pts win CIRCLING MOON
BET 7pts win PANSTARR
BET 2.25pts win (stakes saver) BRENDAN BRACKEN
Did you know that as well as checking the realtime prices on BETDAQ below – you can also log into your account and place your bets directly into BETDAQ from BETDAQ TIPS.