DAQMAN GOES INTERNATIONAL IN AUSTRALIA AND AMERICA: It’s the start of an international racing week on BETDAQ, with the Melbourne Cup at Flemington in the early hours of tomorrow morning and the Breeders Cup championships at Del Mar in America at the weekend. Daqman covers them all.

TOMORROW MORNING: In the Melbourne Cup you are incentivised to bet between a top English stayer on a mission and an unbeaten Aussie ace. Or both. Check it out in Daqman’s analysis.


FIT FOR A MELBOURNE MISSION

🇦🇺 4 am tomorrow, Flemington (Melbourne Cup) STATS: The last 17 winners had won a Group race; 15 of them had run in the last month; 12 of them came out of stalls 9 or higher.

MISSION possible. That was the verdict from Melbourne Cup winning jockey Craig Williams after a work-out at Werribee early yesterday for Andrew Balding’s Cup hope, Spanish Mission.

1: Spanish Mission had failed two vets after knocking his right foreleg but there were no worries at Werribee yesterday and Williams punctuated his verdict with: ‘He’s fit; he’s healthy; he’s happy.. and he’s been trained for this for months!’

Spanish Mission, beaten just a head by Stradivarius at York in August, had been third in the Ascot Gold Cup after trouncing Irish Derby winner Santiago in the Yorkshire Cup in the Spring.

He represents class at Flemington tomorrow, a factor not lost on Joseph O’Brien who landed two of the last four Melbourne Cups with Irish St Leger placed horses, Rekindling (2017) and Twilight Payment (2020), who goes for a repeat tomorrow but would be the first since 1938 to win aged eight.

2: Incentivise, the Australian favourite – shortest price since Phar Lap – is unbeaten in four starts, culminating in the Caulfield Cup. But the winner of that hasn’t done the double at Flemington in 20 years.

It’s the beaten horses in the Caulfield who go on to do better at Flemington; maybe Persan (third) or Great House (fifth).

And tomorrow’s race is a graveyard for favourites; only three have won in 18 years, though 10 of the last 17 winners returned 12-1 or shorter.

Eight horses fit my stats: Grand Promenade, Johnny Get Angry, Knights Order, Ocean Billy, Persan, Selino, She’s Ideel, Tralee Rose.

Champion trainer Chris Waller (Selino and Ocean Billy from that list), already miles clear in the Aussie table this season, has won more than 125 Group-1 races but never the Melbourne Cup.

Five of of the last 10 winners have stung the Aussie punters, coming from Ireland (2), England, France and Germany (one each), and I’ll stick with Spanish Mission.

3: Persan – fifth last year and third last time out in the Caulfield Cup – will wear ear-muffs to keep him calm in the race. The same for Spanish Mission.

That’s my one-two, though there will be no ear-muffs large enough to muffle the roar if the Aussie darling Incentivise wins like a Phar Lap. They say it’s the race that stops a nation for a day; that would stop it for a week!

Daqman’s order in: 1 Spanish Mission, 2 Incentivise, 3 Persan, 4 Twilight Payment, 5 Selino, 6 Verry Elleegant.


BOMBER FOR A KNOCK-OUT NAP

⭕ 2.45 Plumpton The Bomber Liston – no relation to Johnny Murtagh’s Sonny Boy Liston – should pack a punch off 122 on his handicap debut.

The son of Yeats went well clear at Uttoxeter over today’s trip on similar ground and here receives 18lb from Shannon Bridge.

That one is pursuing a hat-trick after back-to-back wins in blinkers, which are left off today, 254 days after his soft-ground success at Ascot.

Bard Of Brittany is a CD winner but his rating has moved only a pound for his two races this year. Hell Red made a disappointing return but is now upped in trip.

I couldn’t fancy Freanco d’Aunou, with Venetia Williams’s last eight runners beaten a total of more than 210 lengths, still standing.

BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE 3.6 The Bomber Liston


HAMISH THE HOT KEMPTON DISH

⭕ 3.05 Kempton Hamish might have been my nap after his defeat of Hukum here at Kempton before fourth to Trueshan in the British Champions Long Distance Cup.

But Saeed Bin Suroor creates a worry – two Godolphin worries, in fact – by running Sheema Classic fifth Dubai Future and Group-placed Desert Fire; both go well fresh.

BETDAQ value 2.6 Hamish

DAQMAN’S BETS

TODAY
2.45 Plumpton (win 20, nap)
BET 7.75pts win THE BOMBER LISTON

3.05 Kempton (win 10)
BET 6pts win HAMISH

TOMORROW
4 am Flemington
BET 5pts win SPANISH MISSION
BET 2.25pts win PERSAN


What are points? Points facilitate a staking plan, which is the secret to creating profit. One point is whatever you choose: a pound, a euro, or whatever ….

Start with a bank and decide how much you can afford to lose over a period of time, and determine the size of your bets accordingly. Daqman makes this variation every day.