DREAM DAQMAN WHISPER BAGS BIG FRENCH SPRINT: Our top tipster yesterday forecast: ‘Freddie heads for another dream’, with trackside whispers of a special gallop. The result was back-to-back big-race success for Daqman from a total of five bets on the Stewards Cup at Goodwood on Saturday and the big French Sunday sprint, Prix Maurice de Gheest.
WON 58-10 POLYDREAM (Deauville, Sunday)
WON 20-1 GIFTED MASTER (Goodwood, Saturday)
NOW 180 CLEAR OF PRICEWISE TO ONE-POINT STAKE: That stretched Daqman’s lead over Pricewise to a massive 180 points (Daqman +91 points, Pricewise –89) with the scores now 57-19. There’s a long way to go to the end of the season and Daqman wants to break his Flat-returns record of 105 wins (in 2015).
RATINGS ENABLE YOU TO WIN MONEY
Eight years ago this week. That’s when Frankel was launched on an unsuspecting public, winning on his debut in a maiden on the Newmarket July course.
Second, not beaten far, was Enable’s sire, Nathaniel, winner of the 2011 King George, while Frankel won 14 consecutive races until they met again.
Frankel beat Nathaniel into third in the Champion Stakes, and they ended up rated a stone apart.
I never believed that. I never could accept, and never will in any generation, that a horse can be so high and mightily rated when he’s never won beyond 1m 2f. Enable herself is rated only 128 to Frankel’s 140, though she won King George and Arc.
I determined after Frankel that I would rate my own horses, and make the clear distinction between the Derby, King George and Arc distance of 1m 4f, and the lesser breed of the shorter 1m and 1m 2f.
One result has been for me to knock this year’s Derby, indeed this year’s Classic generation. I believe the best of them are the sprinters, as Polydream for one showed us yesterday.
York is on the horizon and the big championships of Ascot just around the corner.
My Fortune Cookies recently peaked just short of 1,000 points profit. Now I’m working on championship ratings – starting for York in two weeks’ time – to be truly tested at the British Champions (Ascot) meeting and the Arc. Watch this space!
ALL KHERB TO REMAIN UNBEATEN
5.00 Ripon It takes a good horse to defy a penalty in this type of race but there’s every chance we have one in the shape of Al Kherb.
The Roger Charlton trained runner caused a 33/1 shock when winning on debut at Newbury last month and the fourth from that race Mister Ambassador has been out again since and won, so the form looks solid.
Al Kherb raced prominently on debut and I would love to see him lead here as it’s a course where front runners do very well. He should be seen to better effect over this longer trip.
The BETDAQ market points towards a match between him and the Godolphin runner Volcanic Sky who was beaten nine lengths on debut at Haydock but apparently improved at Lingfield next time out.
I say ‘apparently’ as it was a strange race, there were only four runners and the second favourite didn’t handle the track. Quite what Volcanic Sky’s neck second to Heart Of Grace is worth, I’m not sure.
Mark Johnston’s debutant Tajdeed has the pedigree to win this and better races too but the early market signs are not positive and he comes up against a couple of above average looking sorts with the benefit of experience here.
PTP JUDGES PIPING HOT
5.25 Newton Abbot The closing bumper is trappy with all the debutants but the point to point experts are raving about the David Pipe trained Lochinver who bolted home on debut at Alnwick. He made all the running to win by seven lengths with a distance back to the third.
I take extra positives as the race came over two miles rather than the usual PTP three miles so he shouldn’t be lacking for speed around the Newton Abbot circuit.
Even allowing for the lack of knowledge on his rivals, 3.5 looks fair enough value on BETDAQ for me to get involved.
COLE’S KINGDOM PUNTING AT 100%
8.30 Windsor Shrewd punters who follow veteran Paul Cole will be watching the market here for confidence in United Kingdom.
My man in the long grass tells me that connections are pleased with the handicap mark for this son of Equiano, the 2017 leading GB sire of sprinters.
Cole is currently in good form, striking at 25% (3-12) in the last two weeks but this changes to 100%, returns as form figures of 111, in the races in which his runner has been 3-1 or shorter.
My usual advice would be to take the early BETDAQ 6.4 offers, and lay some of it off, if United Kingdom shortens up. But, with that 3-3 record on the stable punts, I shall be tempted to go in again!
DAQMAN’S BETS (staked to win 20 points)
SUPERNAP 20 points win AL KHERB
5.25 Newton Abbot
BET 8.0 points win LOCHINVER
BET 3.75 points win UNITED KINGDOM
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