CHECK OUT THE PROFILE OF THE OPENING CLASSIC WINNER: It’s the 2,000 Guineas on Saturday and, after a wet winter, we need to draw up a profile of the likely winner, based on the results of the last 10 years, to see what qualities are needed to see them through. Daqman has called it See How They Won. Tomorrow: the 1,000 Guineas.
SUPER SUNDAY SERVICE FROM DAQMAN: Two winners from four races gave DAQMAN followers a PROFIT of 29.4 points on Sunday. His nap AWARD WINNING WON EVENS and then later on MOABIT WON 5/2.
SALISBURY PASS INSPECTION: This afternoon’s meeting at Salisbury got the green light after a morning inspection. DAQMAN again seeks out the heavy ground specialists there.
2,000 GUINEAS: SEE HOW THEY WON
It’s Guineas week! Check out the facts and stats as you go through the form of Saturday’s 2,000 Guineas runners. History has a habit of repeating itself in racing.
FAVOURITE Five of the last seven winners started favourite.
WINNER’S PREVIOUS SUCCESS All in the decade had scored at least twice: Two wins (5), three (2), five (2) four (1).
TRIALS TRAIL Winners had scored in the National Stakes (3), Coventry (2), Beresford, Chesham, Dewhurst, Prix Djebel, Racing Post Trophy, Royal Lodge Stakes
RATING AT THE ‘OFF’ 122 – 110 – 116 – 109 – 124 – 119 – 126 – 112
TRAINER Aidan O’Brien (4). JOCKEY: Ryan Moore (2).
DRAW You won’t get to know this until nearer the time but be warned that six of the last eight winners came out of stalls 1 to 6.
NOT HARD TO SEARCH FOR WINNER
Moabit did us a favour when winning the long distance handicap at Salisbury yesterday at 5/2 and we have a treat today THREE races over the same marathon trip on the same heavy ground.
I’m hoping to strike while the iron is hot and concentrate on these three races. I like extremes in racing as the margins between the runners increase, unlike a five furlong handicap sprint on firm ground in the summer. It’s much easier to rule runners out on ground, stamina or both !!
4.15 Salisbury This race has cut up to just three runners with the two non runners and it’s very hard to see beyond Seasearch who brings by far the best recent form into the race.
The big dilemma for punters though is all of his form is on the all-weather – so we have no real steer on how he will handle the turf – let along heavy turf.
Ordinarily, I would look to take him on but to do so you need to find angles in the alternatives and with due respect to his two rivals there aren’t any so he gets the vote almost by default !!
Say About It has also only ever raced on the all-weather and over shorter trips too. He was beaten a fair way at Lingfield when stepped up to 1m 4f.
I’m struggling to find any angles in either on Master Grey who was a very disappointing beaten favourite last time out and whilst he does have some form on the soft it is generally very poor form. The furthest he has run over is 1m 2f.
I’m left with the conclusion that, as 1.91 shots go, Seasearch looks very backable. I genuinely think he should be around 1.4 in this company so I am getting plenty of ‘overs’ and he’s over the threshold for the Supernap category so he gets that status on Monday.
4.45 Salisbury More runners here but not a great deal of good recent form to go on either.
I’ll take a chance on Crindle Carr being good enough, despite being maiden after 13 starts.
He’s got a light weight here and the glimmer of hope is that he ran quite well on his only start on soft ground at Doncaster when 6th to Cape Hideway. He was spotted plugging on in the closing stages and that might be exactly what is needed here.
The handicapper has nudged him down a further 3lb and the current 5.6 on BETDAQ looks tempting enough.
5.15 Salisbury Briac looks the one for me here. He loves the testing conditions and popped up at 25/1 to win a Sandown handicap hurdle in February on bottomless ground.
He looks on a fair mark back on the flat and there are plenty of shorter priced rivals here who have limited experience on ground this testing.
7.10 Windsor My man in the long grass reports excellent progress through the winter
by Past Master. Has thrived since his return to the track in December, when runner-up at Lingfield to Dash of Spice, second in last week’s City And Suburban at the Epsom Spring Meeting.
DAQMAN’S BETS (staked to win 20 points, except SUPERNAP)
SUPERNAP BET 20pts win SEASEARCH (4.15 Salisbury)
BET 4.3pts win CRINDLE CARR (4.45 Salisbury)
BET 5.8pts win BRIAC (5.15 Salisbury)
BET 8.7pts win PAST MASTER (7.10 Windsor)
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