CHELTENHAM SPECIAL REPORT: Which trainers get the big-odds winners at the Cheltenham Festival (that’s today’s survey) and where do the winners come from (that’s every day for the rest of the week)?
TODAY’S TIPS: Coincidence backers will want to double Geryville and Cruella De Vill today. Here’s why from Daqman.
100-plus CHELTENHAM OUTSIDERS
WHERE Ireland ‘gets beat.’ In a 12-year survey, Great Britain has scored with 55 outsiders of double-figure SPs at the Cheltenham Festival, against Ireland’s 51.
Winning trainers with their outsiders total:
Willie Mullins (13) 50-1 Mares Novices’ Hurdle, 25-1 Champion Bumper, 25-1 and 20-1 County Hurdle, 20-1 Coral Cup, 16-1 Albert Bartlett, 16-1 Champion Bumper, 12-1 Gold Cup, 12-1 Martin Pipe, 12-1 and 10-1 Stayers Hurdle, 12-1 Triumph Hurdle, 11-1 Champion Bumper.
Gordon Elliott (12) 50-1 Coral Cup, 33-1 and 25-1 Boodles Juvenile Hurdle, 25-1 Supreme Novices Hurdle, 16-1 and 12-1 NH Challenge Cup, 12-1 Coral Cup, 11-1 Mares Hurdle (aka Denise Foster), 12-1 and 11-1 Martin Pipe, 10-1 Pertemps Final, 10-1 Triumph Hurdle,
Paul Nicholls (9) 28-1 Grand Annual, 25-1 Boodles Juvenile Hurdle, 25-1 and 16-1 Hunters Chase, 16-1 and 14-1 twice Martin Pipe, 11-1 Champion Hurdle, 11-1 County Hurdle
Nicky Henderson (7) 40-1 Boodles Juvenile Hurdle, 28-1 and 14-1 Coral Cup, 20-1 Grand Annual, 20-1 Triumph Hurdle, 18-1 Mares Hurdle, 10-1 Ultima Chase
Tony Martin (4) 20-1 Turner Novices Chase, 16-1 Cross Country, 16-1 Grand Annual, 10-1 County Hurdle
Jonjo O’Neill (4) 25-1 Pertemps Final, 14-1 Grand Annual, 14-1 and 10-1 Ultima Chase.
Henry De Bromhead (3) 50-1 Albert Bartlett, 16-1 Arkle Novices Chase, 11-1 Champion Chase
Gavin Cromwell (3) 16-1 Champion Hurdle, 14-1 Albert Bartlett, 12-1 Stayers Hurdle
Noel Meade (3) 80-1 Boodles Juvenile Hurdle, 33-1 Albert Bartlett, 14-1 Plate
David Pipe (3) 33-1 Arkle Novices Chase, 12-1 Plate, 11-1 Ultima Chase
Dan Skelton (3) 33-1 and 12-1 County Hurdle, 10-1 Mares Hurdle
Rebecca Curtis (2) 50-1 Stayers Hurdle, 12-1 Brown Advisory Novices Chase
Jessica Harrington (2) 16-1 Coral Cup, 10-1 Grand Annual
Malcolm Jefferson (2) 20-1 Martin Pipe, 14-1 Pertemps Final
Patrick Kelly (2) 14-1 and 11-1 Pertemps Final
Alan King (2) 33-1 Coral Cup, 16-1 Ryanair Chase
Donald McCain (2) 16-1 Coral Cup, 10-1 Supreme Novices Hurdle
Ben Pauling (3) 28-1 Grand Annual, 14-1 Ballymore Novices Hurdle, 14-1 NH Challenge Cup
Team Tizzard (2) 33-1 Albert Bartlett, 28-1 Ultima Chase
Venetia Williams (2) 50-1 Plate, 40-1 Kim Muir
Kim Bailey (1) 33-1 Plate
Will Biddick (1) 16-1 Hunters Chase
Ben Case (1) 66-1 Grand Annual
Tim Easterby (1) 33-1 Boodles Juvenile
Stuart Edmunds (1) 40-1 Kim Muir
Peter Fahey (1) 33-1 County Hurdle
Harry Fry (1) 11-1 Albert Bartlett
Paul Hennessy (1) 33-1 Coral Cup
Warren Greatrex (1) 14-1 Stayers Hurdle
Hughie Morrison (1) 25-1 Pertemps Final
Margaret Mullins (1) 14-1 Albert Bartlett
Colm Murphy (1) 16-1 Plate
Paul Nolan (1) 12-1 Pertemps Final
Joseph O’Brien (1) 12-1 Martin Pipe
Eugene O’Sullivan (1) 66-1 Hunters Chase
Padraig Roche (1) 10-1 Boodles Juvenile
Lucinda Russell (1) 10-1 Ultima Chase
Michael Scudamore (1) 16-1 Grand Annual
Sue Smith (1) 28-1 Ultima
Paul Webber (1) 25-1 Martin Pipe
Dermot Weld (1) 16-1 Champion Bumper
Evan Williams (1) 22-1 Plate
Nick Williams (1) 33-1 Boodles Juvenile
CHAMPION MARATHON CHOICE
⭕ 3.15 Wetherby Geryville, who ran on to be second in the Lincolnshire National, moves back up to a marathon trip here, with champion Brian Hughes doing the steering.
Silver In Disguise throws the ‘go’ switch at Chepstow but has struggled elsewhere. Innisfree Lad and Gwencily, both winners recently, are unlikely to do a repeat so soon at ages 11 and 12.
Your Own Story has placed and could improve any time at age seven but is currently 0-5 over fences.
⭕ 4.25 Wetherby Venetia Williams has a home meeting at Ffos Las but is raiding Wetherby, with her superb jockey, Charlie Deutsch.
She has thought several times of moving Enzo D’Airy up to this sort of trip; he jumps well and is so laid back.
Beakstown is only 1-13 over fences and Famous Bridge is still 10lb higher than his last winning mark.
Percussion has successfully tried the Grand National fences twice in his last three starts – third in both – and we can expect to see him at Aintree, though not in the big one.
Those big fences may have spoiled him for anything else and he has to go back to park tracks 12lb higher than his last successful run. Song Of The Earth is 16lb higher than for his last strike
OISIN CAN SHINE ON CRUELLA
⭕ 6.30 Wolverhampton Oisin Murphy is quietly getting on with restoring his career, and today is a notable rehabilitation.
He has a huge ride back for the Gosdens, with whom he could once boast a 37% strike-rate.
His mount, Cruella De Vill, is owned by Bjorn Nielsen, famous for perhaps the greatest stayer of modern times, Stradivarius, which kept Frankie Dettori high in the jockey stratosphere.
With Frankie pledging that this is his final year in the saddle, Oisin’s every winner for influential connections will be a huge step to the very top, a spot that once seemed to be his for the taking.
DAQMAN’S BETS Betdaq Betting Exchange
3.15 Wetherby (win 12)
BET 4pts win GERYVILLE
4.25 Wetherby (win 12)
BET 4pts win ENZO D’AIRY
6.30 Wolverhampton (win 20, nap)
BET 8.5pts win CRUELLA DE VILL
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