29 POINTS PROFIT FROM DOUBLE-WHAMMY: Daqman went jumping yesterday and tipped first-time chaser Tahiti Pearl (WON 7-2), then landed a double whammy when he laid Springaway (unplaced 7-2) and named the winner King Penda (WON 7-2) at 5.8 on Betdaq for 29 points profit in one race.
He’s as good as his word. Kieren Fallon, who promised an attack on the jockeys’ title, moved into shared-second place with a treble at Yarmouth yesterday.
His daily winning scores since August 13th are: 4, 0, 1, 1, 1, 0, 3, 2, 0, 3, excluding his trip to Deauville on Sunday. That’s three trebles in 10 English-racing days and an average of 1.5 winners a day.
Hanagan maintains his front-running gallop, 13 winners clear, with scores of 2, 2, 1, 2, 1, 2, 0, 0, 2, 0 at 1.2 per day, but Silvestre De Sousa has dropped off the pace (-, 1, 2, 1, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 1, averaging 0.6 a day), though he remains level with Fallon at this stage.
Assuming Fallon and Hanagan maintain their current rate of scoring, and that both go to France for Arc weekend, Fallon would catch Hanagan on Thursday, October 6th.
He’s certainly on a trajectory to overhaul him sometime before the season ends a month or so later on November 5th but Fallon’s current strike rate is high and his rides rate (57 plus Deauville in those 10 days to Hanagan’s 50) is punishing. He has to maintain both.
The top three are all riding today, De Sousa with seven rides at Catterick to Hanagan’s six, and Fallon on six for five different trainers at Kempton tonight, where four races are sponsored by Betdaq.
6.20 Kempton (Free Entry For Betdaq Members): Fallon’s mount, Pearl Opera, did better last time out but she still doesn’t appeal as a bet.
Deleting horses badly drawn in double figures, and those from stables out of form, we are left with a short list of six, including the pair visored for the first time, James Fanshawe’s Glass Mountain and David O’Meara’s Love For Love. A hood didn’t do much for Glass Mountain last time.
Best I can do is to recommend a back-and-lay bet on Prince Of Passion, 17.0 on Betdaq this morning: he has led in his races before and stall 3 must surely tempt rider Robbie Fitzpatrick to have a go at making all the running against animals which are unlikely to summon up much in the way of a challenge.
6.50 Kempton (betdaq.com Exchange Price Multiples Median Auction Maiden Stakes): As usual it’s hard to choose between those with a bit of experience and better quality horses (on breeding) who have none: snag here is that the one with the best form so far, Amoralist (Fallon), and the best unraced one, Renogitiate, are both drawn high.
This suggests that the race could be between in-form Roger Charlton with Ali Hope and Richard Hannon with Beanstalk. A race to follow the market. I’ll take an early position on Beanstalk at 9.8 this morning. Looks a bit big.
7.20 Kempton (Lay Back And Win At betdaq.com Handicap): The first of two Fallon rides for Luca Cumani has the plum stall; Set Me Free is drawn one but a tasty 9.8 on Betdaq, as I write.
The low-stalled Caldercruix usually sets the pace and should take the low numbers into a clear lead. With Set Me Free a van runner, there’s no reason – and every encouragement in the form of this lightly raced sort – that he can take Caldercruix in the straight.
8.20 Kempton (Betdaq Mobile Apps Handicap): Fallon is the only jock on a winner in this. That was a humble seller and, though there is some encouragement in that the second horse has won since, you’d expect something to leap from the pack of dark horses to nab Miserere Mei. Five of the eight are coming here, first time in a handicap, from maidens.
Alan Jarvis and 3lb-claimer Harry Bentley were in top gear for York week, and just missed out on a nursery winner when 25-1 shot Sunrise Dancer was (bumped) beaten a neck in a field of 16.
Jarvis’s Chater Garden looked a future winner on the course when running well over CD in the Spring and returns to the track now that the yard is doing well.
Burt the chances are that the Holy Roman Emperor colts, Backtrade and Flavius Victor, who both race keenly, will get away from this field. They’re too close to dutch, so I’ll take Backtrade and try to save my stake on Flavius Victor.
BET 5.2pts win TYRANNOSAURUS REX and 2.2pts win RED RIVER BOY (5.20 Catterick)
BET 1.25pts win and place PRINCE OF PASSION (6.20 Kempton)
BET 5pts win (nap) SENNOCKIAN STORM (6.40 Wolverhampton)
BET 2.2pts win BEANSTALK and 1.5pts win (saver) AMORALIST (6.50 Kempton)
BET 2.2pts win SET ME FREE (7.20 Kempton)
BET 6.4pts win BACKTRADE and 2.2pts win (stakes saver) FLAVIUS VICTOR (8.20 Kempton)
BET 6.4pts win TISLAAM and 3.4pts win DAFFYDOWNDILLY (9.20 Kempton)