DAQMAN NAP LANDS 4-1 TOUCH: After a plunge horse (5-1 from 11.0) and a 3-1 winner on Thursday, Daqman landed two more yesterday, including his nap, Touch The Sky (WON 4-1), at Pontefract.
HE’S MISTER 50% OR BETTER: Today’s nap at Haydock is ‘home and dried’ says our man. He goes to the well 12 times – at Beverley, Haydock and Chester – but splits his bets between high and low profit targets. His feature bets are now:
Daqman 33, Pricewise 12
Naps 6-12 (50%)
Lays 21-26 (80%)
LAGANORE JUST ‘FLOATS OVER THE GROUND’
2.00 Haydock There may be a bias here, certainly potential to take an early position. In five years of big fields, four of the five winners came from stalls 8 and 10.
The one-two in the five renewals produced eight out of 10 drawn 8 to 14. And yesterday’s mile went to gates 10 from 12.
Mount Tahan should give a tow to the high numbers, where the progressive Clotilde is the obvious one and, at 6.2 in the BETDAQ orange this morning, there was some potential for trade, with Ryan Moore always likely to attract racegoers’ cash.
Important Point is an unruly sort; Strong Steps has won only his maiden, always a black mark; Steel Train doesn’t run two races alike; Captain Revelation and Rousayan have to step up a grade.
2.35 Haydock Four-year-olds are seven from 10 in the decade, but will have to be good to beat Miss Marjurie. She has won her second run back three times in four seasons, including this race last year.
She was fifth in the Yorkshire Oaks, giving 10lb to the winner, Pleascach, the filly who had won the Irish 1,000 Guineas.
Journey jumps out of the pack for John Gosden, a staggering 29lb ahead in the ratings of his 2014 winner of this, Sultanina, coming into the race, and clear top-rated today on her second to Simple Verse at the British Champions meeting at Ascot last backend.
When Laganore won at Leopardstown in April (1m 1f), connections doubted she’d get further, and doubted her ability on anything but soft ground. That she won next time over 1m 2f on firm suggests that she ‘could be anything’ at this stage, and Tony Martin is now calling her ‘the best filly I’ve ever had.’
That books her long-term target as the Irish Champion Stakes but today is a further step up in trip which would open more possibilities. I haven’t seen her run but Racing Post racereaders say she ‘floats over the ground.’ An effortless style can get you any distance.
She is the kind of price (8.0 in the BETDAQ orange this morning) that wins this race, which could be a real thriller. Journey the saver.
HOME AND DRIED ACCORDING TO THE FORM
3.10 Haydock (John of Gaunt Stakes) As a Group-1 winner twice, one of them here, before failing in the the top-hole sprints, Adaay would be officially top-rated in this had not Home Of The Brave and So Beloved won their first races of the new season.
And that gives us a collateral-form link: Home Of The Brave won a Listed at Leicester (Convey behind) from Colsty, the horse who ran second to Adaay in the Hungerford at Newbury last August.
Strictly, that puts Home Of The Brave four lengths in front of Adaay, with Here Comes When in the middle of the sandwich.
On Hungerford form, Breton Rock would also be in there, behind Home Of The Brave but in front of Adaay.
So Beloved is 2-2 at Haydock and is ‘the same horse’ as Here Comes When; they were nose to nose at Goodwood last summer. It all seems to add up to 4.0 offer Home Of The Brave, 3-4 for James Doyle. Nap.
3.45 Haydock (Sandy Lane Stakes) Last year’s 1-2-3 by stable (Adaay the winner) was 1 Haggas, 2 Candy, 3 Palmer, and here they go again with Ajaya, La Rioja, Gifted Master.
It’s a cracking contest of the winners of 27 races, six of the field rated 109 or higher, so the gelded Gifted Master’s 2.84 this morning looked a bit mean, particularly since it’s in a 104% BETDAQ orange overround.
But, of the Group-2 winners already, Gifted Master has nothing to fear from Donjuan Triumphant on a line through Gracious John.
And I can’t contemplate Quiet Reflection; she kept beating the same horse, Field Of Vision, who had won only a maiden, and you know what I think of that.
With his top juvenile form, Buratino could be the one at the prices (tempting win and place at 6.0), dropping back from the Guineas trip.
I fear La Rioja – another ‘could be anything’ – but she hasn’t had a run and Henry Candy is a disappointing 1-29 on turf this season.
That one winner was Showing Off (5.30 race here), who was 8.4 on BETDAQ at the time of writing to keep the flag flying for the Candy man, after impressing at Goodwood.
FOLLOW TIMES AND TRENDS AT CHESTER..
2.50 Chester Best of Times, a Classic trialist last season and entered at Royal Ascot and in Group-1, is the class standout here and as a horse who needs further, may actually benefit from the wide draw in 12.
He takes some getting fit but has done plenty of work lately and 8.0 BETDAQ offers swallow the risk. We know he’s going to win something good this season so we’ll start out with him now.
3.25 Chester John Quinn goes for a stable hat-trick in this race, giving 6.0 BETDAQ offer Trendsetter the chance of back-to-back success, 3lb higher than when scoring last year from the same stall 2, nipping up the inside from the cut-away.
Yorkidding just failed to land back-to-back wins at York, which has cost him. He’s now 10lb higher than at this time last year, with 10 modest efforts in between that day and the recent York second. Not enormously reliable, then.
Indira is up 21lb for four out of five under Josephine Gordon – including success here at Chester – and looks vulnerable, up in grade and up in trip.
Sir Chauvelin has also been thumped by the handicapper. He’s up a stone for two easy wins but, as a hurdler, is used to longer trips and big weights.
Gabrials Star was runner-up in a Listed over CD in August but doesn’t get much respite from the handicapper, though might do better in this lower grade.
DAQMAN’S BETS (staked to win 20 points, unless stated)
BET 4pts win CLOTILDE (2.00 Haydock)
BET 2.8pts win and place LAGANORE, and 2pts win (stakes saver) JOURNEY (2.35 Haydock)
BET 2.7pts win and place BEST OF TIMES (2.50 Chester)
BET 4pts win TRENDSETTER (3.25 Chester)
BET 6.6pts win (nap) HOME OF THE BRAVE (3.10 Haydock)
BET 4pts win and place BURATINO (3.45 Haydock)
BET (to win 10 points) 3.8pts win JUSTICE ANGEL (2.15 Chester)
BET (win 10) 4pts win GRIZZEL (3.00 Beverley)
BET (win 10) 3.6pts win RELIGHT MY FIRE (3.00 Beverley)
BET (win 10) 4pts win ENGAGE (4.35 Chester)
BET (win 10) 3pts win COTE d’AZUR (5.20 Beverley)
BET (win 10) 1.35pts win and place SHOWING OFF (5.30 Haydock)
£25 IN FREE BETS
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