HAS DAQMAN SPOTTED THE CAMBRIDGESHIRE COUP? Daqman dropped two supernap aces on the floor and watched Pricewise play a winning 4-1 hand at Newmarket yesterday but it still leaves more than 900 points between them with Daqman planning a 200-point coup in the Cambridgeshire this afternoon.
Daqman 71, Pricewise 32 (Daqman + 420, Pricewise – 490 to 10pt stakes)
Bulls-eye naps (7-15) 46% (252pts profit to recommended stakes)
Supernaps (22-35) 62% (102pts profit to 20-point stakes)
WHO WILL WIN THE INTERNATIONAL MIDDLE PARK? Daqman gives you a point-by-point stats-and-facts guide to the Cambridgeshire which he started in the week with his ABC guide, but has a second big race to savour with the high-class clash of two-year-olds from England, France and Ireland in the Middle Park Stakes: who will prevail?
🔹 DON’T LOOK BEYOND 41.0 HORIZON
🔹 CHIEF HAS THE EDGE ON KAMEKO
🔹 RAFFLE BOOSTED BY THE ROCKFEL
🔹 EARTHLIGHT AS ANOTHER ZAFONIC
DON’T LOOK BEYOND 41.0 HORIZON
3.40 Newmarket (Cambridgeshire) Le Don De Vie has been the big punt of the race. Top on the stats, sole Fortune Cookie, but from an extreme draw (33) and with his stable 0-21 with 21 consecutive losers in 19 days and missing strike badly: 2420303022; the last three Hughie Morrison favourites finished 024.
Drawn next door to him, Good Birthday, lightly raced and from a stable in form, has the right ingredients to win this: aged three or four, in the frame in his prep race, rated 94-104 and weighted below 9st 6lb.
Lord North also looks primed for the race but has no experience of the argy-bargy of a big-field handicap, which can get almost as feral as an English Parliamentary debate.
All well drawn in the high numbers, Beringer, Dubai Horizon and Little Jo have boys on board with the right level of experience who are getting a vital allowance.
Dubai Horizon (Cieren Fallon) has not been seen since winning his prep for this race last year but having to miss the big one.
With Charlie Appleby getting all the limelight, Saeed bin Suroor would love to win this for Godolphin with a son of Poet’s Voice, who took the QE11 Stakes for him at the height of his career.
The stable was in terrific form yesterday with two winners and a second from three Newmarket runners.
ABC guide Le Don De Vie, Good Birthday, Lord North, Baltic Baron, Bedouins Story.
Fortune Cookies Le Don De Vie
Newmarket (Rowley) form 21 Beringer, 012 Jazeel, 13300 Zhui Feng, 31 Little Jo, 1 Music Seeker, 1 Zzoro, 0223 Queen Of Time, 2 Dubai Horizon, 2 Mordin, 420 Afaak, 3 You’re Hired, 4 Smile A Mile, 4 Isomer, 440 Petrus, 40 Fajjaj, 004 History Writer, 00 Nicholas T, 000 Bedouin’s Story, 0 Dark Vision,
Placed in the race Mordin (2nd last year), Zhui Feng (5th 2016). Placed in the Silver Cambridgeshire: Jazeel (won), Little Jo (third) 2018.
Claimer (3lb/5lb apprentices are 3-8 in this): Al Jellaby, Beringer, Dubai Horizon, Little Jo, Mulligatawny, Music Seeker, Smile A Mile, Zzoro
Saved up (five races or fewer, or one-race target) Afaak, Another Touch, Chance, Dubai Horizon, Fajjaj, Fifth Position, Good Birthday, Le Don De Vie, Little Jo.
Draw 3-to-12 five winners, 21-31 five
Stable in form Lord North, Fifth Position, Good Birthday, Mordin, Chance, Dark Vision, Smile A Mile, Isomer, Dubai Horizon, Bedouin’s Story.
Stable out of form Le Don De Vie, Jazeel, Korcho, Alternative Fact, Nicholas T, Queen Of Time, Music Seeker.
DAQMAN’S ORDER IN: 1 Dubai Horizon, 2 Good Birthday, 3 Lord North, 4 Le Don De Vie, 5 Beringer, 6 Mordin, 7 Bedouin’s Story.
BETDAQ VALUE: Saeed Bin Suroor says that he can’t split Bedouin’s Story (21.0) and Dubai Horizon, yet he is twice the price at 41.0 offers. My ABC guide showed Good Birthday (10.5) and Lord North (7.6) fitting all the stats, and their offers look better alongside the worry about Le Don De Vie’s stable form. I think one of the four will win.
CHIEF HAS THE EDGE ON KAMEKO
1.50 Newmarket (Royal Lodge Stakes) Is there a Frankel (2010) or Roaring Lion (2017) in this? There’s certainly a lot of confidence behind Kameko, the Solario second to Positive.
But Highland Chief, by Gleneagles, could be one that got away from the clutches of Ballydoyle. His Chesham third now looks ace after the subsequent performances of winner and second, Pinatubo and Lope Y Fernandez.
Highland Chief (BETDAQ 5.5 taken) got half a length closer to Pinatubo at Ascot than did Positive at Goodwood so, collaterally, he commands Kameko (2.14). But it’s close and two-year-olds form works out only if they stand still or progressive runners improve at the same rate.
RAFFLE BOOSTED BY THE ROCKFEL
2.25 Newmarket (Cheveley Park Stakes) Raffle Prize ran over Daahyeh on the Newmarket July Course and Daahyeh looked majestic on her way to the Breeders Cup when winning yesterday’s Rockfel.
Andre Fabre’s dual Deauville winner on soft, Tropbeau, and the Lowther heroine for Karl Burke, Living In The Past, make up a strong field of fillies.
Aidan O’Brien has won it three years running with 15-8 and 33-1 shots among them, so it’s pure guesswork between Tango and Etoile today.
Ryan Moore seems to prefer to Tango (blinkered first time and 20.00) but Etoile (13.0) could be the star for Donnacha!
EARTHLIGHT AS ANOTHER ZAFONIC
3.00 Newmarket (Middle Park Stakes) The Middle Park hasn’t had it so good since the 17-times winner Brigadier Gerard (1970) beat the favourite, Mummys Pet.
You would think Mums Tipple, the 11-lengths York winner, would be the hotpot this time but such was the impression made by Earthlight in giving 4lb and a beating to Raffle Prize in the Morny that he was being talked about on a par with Andre Fabre’s previous winner of the race, Zafonic (1992), who would go on to with the 2,000 Guineas.
Fabre has won five French Guineas, three French Derbys and two Arcs this century but hasn’t won the Newmarket Guineas since 1995. The fact that he speaks of Earthlight as a Guineas hope is very revealing.
We will get some confirmation of his colt’s form if Raffle Prize wins an early Group 1 this afternoon – the Cheveley Park – whereas the best Mums Tipple’s victims can produce so far is a Listed winner.
A bigger threat may be Siskin, who has completed a rare two-year-olds treble of Marble Hill, Railway Stakes and Phoenix, all at the Curragh, twice beating Monarch of Egypt, but the second time only narrowly.
Monarch takes him on again, preferred by Ryan Moore to Lope Y Fernandez, who got within three lengths or so of Pinatubo at Royal Ascot but trailed him at Goodwood.
DAQMAN’S BETS
1.50 Newmarket (win 20)
BET 4.5pts win HIGHLAND CHIEF
2.25 Newmarket (⭐ supernap)
BET 20pts win RAFFLE PRIZE
3.00 Newmarket (win 20)
BET 8pts win EARTHLIGHT
3.40 Newmarket (win 200 special bet)
BET 5pts win DUBAI HORIZON
(plus 3pts place to win 20)
BULL’S-EYE BET (win 50) 5pts win GOOD BIRTHDAY
BET (win 30) 4.5pts win LORD NORTH
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