YORK THE FOCUS OF VALUE CHALLENGE WITH DAQMAN 28-15 AHEAD: Chester, Sandown and York provide a super Saturday of pre-Ascot tests on the sun-dried surfaces. York alone features in the value challenge between Pricewise of the Racing Post and Betdaq Tips own Daqman, who is 28-15 ahead on winners. For the York races, Daqman finds BETDAQ offers at 3.8, 5.9, 10.5 and 11.0. He goes for bull’s-eye bets backed up by stakes-savers.
ASCOT COUNTDOWN: Daqman gives you the heads up on the Royal Ascot meeting, and says ‘I told you so’ about one of the latest gambles. Today’s headlines:
🔹 ALENQUER ‘ASCOT DERBY’ GAMBLE
🔹 IT’S ALL PLANE SAILING AT CHESTER
🔹 SNAIL’S PACE TOO FAST FOR THESE..
🔹 GOLDEN CHANCE FOR 11.0 APOLLO
🔹 NELSON RYAN MOORE’S FLAGSHIP
🔹 GENERATION GAP TO THE OTHERS
🔹 HAND THE GRAND CUP TO BALDING
🔹 REACH FOR THE SKY WITH LUCKY 13
ALENQUER ‘ASCOT DERBY’ GAMBLE
Alenquer, who beat Derby winner Adayar in the Sandown Classic Trial, was in to 100-30 (from 6-1 reported in Daqman on Thursday) for the King Edward V11 Stakes (‘Ascot Derby’) on the Friday of the royal meeting after the defection of the favourite Bay Bridge (foot abscess). I warned that the Derby connection was being ignored.
Kaufymaker is Wesley Ward’s personal pick of his two-year-old raiders based on their final workouts.
Lucky Vega Shane Foley had to stay home and watch Frankie Dettori land the Coronation Stakes on Alpine Star last year, but will be allowed to partner Lucky Vega in Tuesday’s St James’s Palace Stakes: beaten a short-head and a neck in the Newmarket 2,000 Guineas.
Order Of Australia The Irish Derby fourth came good when winning the Grade-1 Breeders Cup Mile and the Queen Anne has been his target ever since.
Prince Of Arran will miss the Gold Cup in favour of the Northumberland Plate.
Serpentine, runaway Derby winner of 2019, has been supplemented for the Gold Cup.
IT’S ALL PLANE SAILING AT CHESTER
⭕ 1.40 Chester The track seems made for front-runner Virginia Plane (ideally drawn in stall 2), who gets a stone from Rebel At Dawn and should have the edge on 7 lb-penalised Haveagomecca.
The next race at Chester is also a sprint but a 13-runner cavalry charge, where the first five stalls have scored six out of seven.
BETDAQ value 3.4 Virginia Plane
SNAIL’S PACE TOO FAST FOR THESE..
⭕ 2.10 Chester Richard Fahey landed a treble at York yesterday and his 10th winner in June, though he makes it hard for punters with SIXTEEN runners today!
But the race he wants to win appears to be this one at Chester, in which he has three runners for the Chesterfile, Dr Marwan Koukash, and backable as any-one-from-three because of the offers available on BETDAQ.
Brian The Snail looks set to blaze a tr ail from stall 3 . Brian, who won a class 2 at Kempton in December drops down to class 4 for the first time since he recorded form gfigures at that level of 131 between May 2019 and June 2020. His turf rating is now 16lb behind his AW mark.
Stablemate Gabrial The Devil races off the 85 rating which won him his last class-4 (Catterick, October 2019); he’s won here at Chester since in class 3.
Fahey also runs four-time Chester winnert Powerallied but he has never won this far, is eight-years-old now and has the highest draw of his three.
BETDAQ value 8.5 Gabrial The Devil, 10 Brian The Snail
GOLDEN CHANCE FOR 11.0 APOLLO
⭕ 2.35 York This 7f handicap invariably goes to outsiders, and I’m intrigued to see Golden Apollo in the field. He’s down below the mark that won him the Ayr Silver Cup (2019).
That’s because Ella McCain is taking off 5lb. She’s won 11 races for Tim Easterby, and Golden Apollo has looked several times as if 7f would suit.
He was runner-up in the Dash here last July, going on well in the final furlong.
Stablemate Manigordo is difficult to win with: he scored over 7f at Sandown but in a four-horse affair with only two of them actually racing.
BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE VALUE 11.0 Golden Apollo
NELSON RYAN MOORE’S FLAGSHIP
⭕ 2.15 Sandown (Coral Scurry Stakes) Is it coincidence or is there good reason? Stalls 5, 6, 7, 8, 9 have won all runnings of this race since 2014.
I remember Nelson Gay (in 5) winning here impressively in April from Fantasy Master to complete a hat-trick. His penalties have him 16lb higher now but this switch to a Listed means that he’s as good as his rating and maybe more.
Atalis Bay, giving 4lb, beat Warrior Brave (6) at Nottingham in April and was second in a Listed afterwards.
Dense Star (7) has won only a maiden, always a bad sign. Silent Queen (8) has struggled above class 4. Steel Bull (9) won a Group 3 as a two-year-old and could bounce back.
Ryan Moore was aboard for the middle leg of Nelson Gay’s treble and returns to his saddle today.
BETDAQ value 10.0 Nelson Gay
GENERATION GAP TO THE OTHERS
⭕ 2.50 Sandown (Coral Free Handicap) Four-year-olds have won six of the last seven but face a strong challenge from second-season animals with, ironically, Latest Generation (first-time tongue-tie) in the front rank.
He’s won only his maiden but has had just four starts, including against One Ruler in a Group 3 in the autumn and, on his reappearance and, on the last day, against Derby third Hurricane Lane at Newbury. Today’s handicap is a tame affair in comparison.
BETDAQ value 4.0 Latest Generation
HAND THE GRAND CUP TO BALDING
⭕ 3.05 York (Grand Cup) Red Verdon won the Silver Cup at the John Smith’s meeting last year, a grade higher than today. Frankie Dettori has only his second ride since the Derby and his last before Palace Pier launches his Royal Ascot on Tuesday.
The mare Makawee is likely to lead: consistent but 11 times placed without winning is ‘bridesmaid’ form, and her Goodwood win in slow time was surrounded by 16 defeats since winning handicaps in the Spring of 2019.
That’s about the time of Ranch Hand’s last win at shorter than 2m but he took a fast-run Jockey Club Rose Bowl in September, and Andrew Balding has a line to form to this field through his York winner Tribal Craft.
Roberto Escobarr ran in the Great Voltigeur here last year, and a second wind op and the small field may help.
BETDAQ value 3.8 Ranch Hand
REACH FOR THE SKY WITH LUCKY 13
⭕ 3.40 York Five of the last seven winners of this 6f have come from the low seven stalls, where there is pace today from Blind Beggar (from 5) and Showalong (7), but General Sago (10), Uncle Jumbo (12) and Ben Macdui (17) provide a strong tow for the other side.
The beneficiary may be Skyrunner (out of 13), who takes in his first handicap after easing to an 89 rating in two preps for a summer sprint career.
First Folio has already performed well in handicaps but his stalls shenanigans at Newmarket cost punters their money.
The ground is a question-mark for Dark Shift and I prefer Aikido, a Dandy Man, brought over by Ger Lyons who had to leave his claimer behind when the flight was cancelled. Like Skyrunner, has won at 7f so should be strong in the finish.
BETDAQ value 5.9 Skyrunner, 10.5 Aikido
1.40 Chester (win 10)
BET 4pts win VIRGINIA PLANE
2.10 Chester (win 50 bulls-eye bets)
BET 6.5pts win GABRIAL THE DEVIL
BET 5pts win BRIAN THE SNAIL
2.15 Sandown (win 20)
BET 2pts win NELSON GAY
2.35 York (win 50 bulls-eye bet)
BET 5pts win GOLDEN APOLLO
2.50 Sandown (win 10)
BET 3pts win LATEST GENERATION
3.05 York (win 10, nap)
BET 3.5pts win RANCH HAND
3.40 York (win 50 bull’s-eye bets)
BET 10pts win SKYRUNNER
BET 5pts win AIKIDO
What are points? Points facilitate a staking plan, which is the secret to creating profit. One point is whatever you choose: a pound, a euro, or whatever ….
Start with a bank and decide how much you can afford to lose over a period of time, and determine the size of your bets accordingly. Daqman makes this variation every day.