12.0 STRIKE IN DAQMAN’S ONE-TWO: Daqman yesterday delivered a New Year’s Day hat-trick of winners to take his lead over Pricewise to 17-12 this season (106 points profit), his two BETDAQ 12.0 shots finishing one-two in one of the feature handicaps. In racetime order:
WON 7-4 L’HOMME PRESSE (nap)
WON 10-1 VIENNA COURT (from 12.0 on BETDAQ)
2ND 17-2 SIMPLY THE BETTS same race (from 12.0 on BETDAQ)
WON 2-1 TOMMYS OSCAR
NAPS HAT-TRICK HOT OFF THE PRESSE: The 10-lengths Dipper Chase winner L’Homme Presse completed another naps hat-trick extending his winning run to 12 in a sequence of 19:
WON 7-4 L’HOMME PRESSE (Saturday nap)
WON 4-9 IMPERIAL MOUNTAIN (Friday nap)
WON 1-1 RAINYDAY WOMAN (Thursday nap)
NATIONAL FEVER MOUNTS: Daqman’s 33-1 ante-post Grand National bet, Mount Ida, won at Fairyhouse, napped by BETDAQ Tips’ Irish player, Shamrock. Read Fortune Cookies update tomorrow.
CROWLEY RIDE HAS CLASS
⭕ 1.30 Newcastle Good Earth (12.25) and Good Effort (1.30), both CD winners here, will be backed for a coincidence double.
Good Effort is Jim Crowley’s only ride of the day, giving 3lb all round but still clear in the ratings.
Good Effort ran a cracker here in June, beaten only threeparts of a length by Chil Chil in the Group-3 Chipchase Stakes.
King Of Stars and Mondammej, both looking for hat-tricks, should keep the favourite’s price on the right side of even-money.
⭕ 2.10 Naas Gordon Elliott sets punters a headache by running two potential stars, Ginto and Hollow Games, in the Grade 1 for novice hurdlers at Naas. I shall watch this (several times) and report back in Fortune Cookies tomorrow.
Willie Mullins could spoil the Elliott party today with Whatdowewant, who beat Ginto in a heavy-ground bumper.
But Ginto (BETDAQ 2.66) was impressive in a hurdles Grade 2 at Navan, disposing of a subsequent easy winner at the same level at Limerick, whereas Hollow Games’ form has been stamped Listed to Grade 3.
⭕ 2.30 Ayr A Gordon Elliott raider was seen off at Kelso last month by Sandy Thomson’s Flower Of Scotland, who steps up in trip today for her handicap debut off bottomweight.
BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE value 8.6 Flower Of Scotland
SALTY BOY RELIABLE STAYER
⭕ 2.20 Plumpton (Sussex National) Two previous winners do battle in a National which breaks the usual marathon rules: there have been no winners above the age of nine and only one carrying below 10st 13lb since 2012, so – in theory – you’re looking for an improving stayer with form reflected in the weights. Runners in racecard order (going soft):
Christmas In April Won this two years back off 123 and followed up in the Devon National to peak at 137.
The last time the handicapper eased the rating, Colin Tizzard’s gelding won at Newton Abbot so he’s been pegged on 134, despite being beaten at Carlisle and pulling up in the London National at Sandown last month. Team Tizzard is also out of form (0-17).
Pemberley Consistent but has not gone through the grades. Readily beaten at Lingfield by Fantastikas (third to L’Homme Presse yesterday), and dropped to class 4 to win at Warwick, so he’s back up a grade and up in the handicap.
But he’s still getting weight from a lot of these today and his followers hold out hope from his breeding that the longer distance will bring about improvement.
I See You Well Failed in all three attempts at today’s class-3 level but has won here at Plumpton (form 1111) every time in class 4 over fences. He has the same weight now that he started the sequence with. But it may be significant that beyond 3m 2f his returns are poor: FU44.
Go Whatever Third to See You Well here last month and 10lb better now with first-time visor replacing cheekpieces. Has 12lb to make up over fences on his Graded-level hurdles form.
Eclair De Guye Lucy Wadham’s grey comfortably beat Pemberley at Huntingdon just over a year back and has done fairly well since, placed twice at Sandown, third the last day in the London National (3m 5f class 2), leading two out. Patience, Bryony!
Salty Boy Solid form over long distance; third in Eider and Tommy Whittle and winner of the Southern National at Fontwell in November, before fifth in the London National. Has had a similar rating now for two years.
D’Jango Bags of experience in France, kept largely to Graded level until resorted to handicaps last Spring. Poor form going further than 3m, including first race in England last month (not fluent, pushed along, no impression), making it 12 defeats in a row since scoring at Auteuil in May, 2020. Risky at the price.
Game Line Won the Norfolk National at Fakenham last May in springtime three out of four, but has struggled with subsequent 27lb hike overall, and jumped poorly the last day when tailed off behind Salty Boy at Fontwell.
Seaston Spirit Won this last year to complete five in a row, still standing, for overall rise of 31lb. Poor form since, as rating slowly reduces (now 3lb lower than in last year’s race).
Via Dolorosa Poor strike rate (2-22) in France but decent fourth (led 10th, led again 15th, lost third final half-furlong) in the Grand Sefton over the Grand National fences in November.
Going easily when hampered out of the Becher Chase in early December but a worry about his stamina and that he now returns to regulations fences.
El Paso Wood Won four in a row in France at 2m 5f or shorter. Unseated rider early in the Becher Chase and blundered when dropped back into novice handicap the last day.
Eragon De Chanay Hurdles winner 2018-19 but 0-10 over fences in last 14 months.
Abaya Du Mathan Two-mile chaser in France, pulled up for David Pipe in the Becher.
Al Roc Winner over 2m 6f at Listed level in France, but no show for Dr Richard Newland in the Grand Sefton and moved to David Pipe.
Blame The Game Consistent over hurdles (31231) and money for three chase starts, but got behind in them all. Visor tried today.
BETDAQ value: 5.6 Eclair De Guye, 10.0 Salty Boy
1.30 Newcastle (nap)
BET 10pts win GOOD EFFORT
2.10 Naas (win 10)
BET 6pts win GINTO
2.20 Plumpton (win 20)
BET 4.25pts win ECLAIR DE GUYE
BET 2.25pts win SALTY BOY
2.30 Ayr (win 20)
BET 2.5pts win FLOWER OF SCOTLAND
What are points? Points facilitate a staking plan, which is the secret to creating profit. One point is whatever you choose: a pound, a euro, or whatever ….
Start with a bank and decide how much you can afford to lose over a period of time, and determine the size of your bets accordingly. Daqman makes this variation every day.