DAQMAN’S 100-POINTS PROFIT FROM TWO BIG-RACE HITS: Daqman went on the rampage yesterday, completing his 11th successive day for wins (19 in all) with a big-race hat-trick, two of them win-50 bull’s-eye bets, but the judge demoted the other one, One For Rosie, after admitting he called the result at the wrong winning post.
WIN ZWAYYAN WON 7-1 (win 50 at BETDAQ 12.0)
WIN COMMODORE WON 3-1 (win-50 nap at BETDAQ 6.2)
WIN ONE FOR ROSIE 2nd 12-1 (w/p, originally called first)
BULL’S-EYE NAP LANDS HIM FOUR BEST BETS ON THE TROT: Commodore gave Daqman his fourth consecutive successful best bet and his third successive win-50 nap this season (no losers):
WON 3-1 COMMODORE (win-50 nap, Saturday, 6.2 BETDAQ)
WON 1-2 PRECIOUS CARGO (supernap, Friday, 1.75 BETDAQ)
WON 2-1 AMADE (nap, Thursday)
WON 8-13 JAHBATH (supernap, Wednesday)
NOW HE GOES 30 WINNERS UP IN PRICEWISE CHALLENGE: Zwayyan and Commodore shot Daqman 14 clear of Pricewise in their value challenge, taking the score to 30-16. The accounts with two days to go to Cheltenham are:
➡️ WINNER-A-DAY: 19 wins in 11 consecutive days
➡️ BEST BETS: Naps four-timer
➡️ FORTUNE COOKIES: 586.76 points profit
➡️ DAQMAN 30, PRICEWISE 16*
* not 15 as stated in error yesterday
25-1 LINCOLN BET IN EARLY BIRDS
It’s a big week next week. But very quickly after Cheltenham we are into the Flat season with the Lincoln and the AW Championships. I’m building a pool of horses for those early-season races.
➡️ TODAY: The Early Birds: Flat horses to follow (below)
➡️ TOMORROW: Fortune Cookies: Jumps horses to follow for Cheltenham
AMADE (G Botti) I napped this one to win at Chelmsford on Thursday and, in his usual style, the French gelding came wide and hard from behind and stormed away with his AW Marathon qualifier.
CLON COULIS (David Barron) I opposed this mare on the same day at Chelmsford because her success was all late summer, and because her trainer had no recent form to boast.
In fact, he had the one-time Group performer sharp enough to dispose of her rivals in a classy manner. She will clearly be a force in the AW Fillies and Mares championship but could get a good mark in the Lincoln Handicap, which would be more her trainer’s style. We should take some 25-1 for Doncaster now with Ladbrokes.
JAHBATH (William Haggas) I praised this horse in the best way I know – I put the supernap on him – and he went clear at Kempton this week. Now Willie Haggas is talking about the UAE Derby at the end of the month.
NEW KING (John Gosden) Son of Frankel and a dual winner, should pick up the winning thread when returned to a mile.
THEMAXWECAN (Mark Johnston) Two out of two, won at Chelmsford like a Johnston horse: struck the front and held on tenaciously.
WISSAHICKON (John Gosden) This was our first 2019 AW horse to follow. Winner twice for us in February but earned only 15.66 to 20-point stakes, making a formality of his races.
The Cambridgeshire winner is odds on for the Easter Classic at the AW Championships but I think we can hang on to him after Lingfield and expect some bigger returns on grass.
Ante-post Win-100: 4pts win CLON COULIS (Lincoln Handicap)
THIS WILL BE OVER IN A FLASH
1.50 Warwick A huge drop in grade from a class-2 handicap to a class-4 novice should see Flash of Steel in the money, with trainer Dan Skelton back to form with a double on Friday.
My racing pin-up, Venetia Williams, who landed a treble yesterday including the magnificent Commodore, has one with potential after wind surgery in Espoir De Guye (13.5).
3.55 Warwick Ben Pauling is three from four, still standing, and Sheneededtherun, second on debut for the stable, might be helped by the step up in trip.
This may also be true about Cucklington, who had back-to-back wins at this time last year on soft-heavy and gets his conditions for the first time this season. His 12.0 exchange is far too big.
It’s two years since Global Dream also won back to back at this time. He had been second over today’s course and distance but in a poor race.
The Boss’s Dream had a 7lb penalty for winning at Lingfield in February when second, stepped up to 3m 2f, last time. Now the real weight of the handicapper’s verdict takes him up a total of 22lb.
ESCAPES RUNNING FREE OFF 10st
4.50 Naas (Leinster National) The last horse dropped from the Fortune Cookies to reappear was Tiger Roll, who won a hurdle race at 25-1.
After his defeat by a total of 169 lengths in two races this year, I also left out stablemate Monbeg Notorious, the 2018 Punchestown Champion Novice runner-up.
The onset of rain last night and his month’s holiday might both beg a bet that patience might be rewarded today for the Gordon Elliott chaser.
But one strong stat against him is that only one horse in the decade has carried more than 10st 12lb to victory. Stablemate Dounikos, the Irish National trial winner, has topweight of 11st 10lb.
De Name Escapes Me, who was in cracking form in the autumn, and won the Foxrock, had been third in a 3m hurdle at the Punchestown Festival, so ought to get 3m and has a bare 10st.
He had Wishmoor a long way behind him in the Foxrock before that one ran second to Dounikos in the Punchestown Grand National trial (3m 4f) last month and is now better off at the weights.
Pairofbrowneyes, last year’s winner of this National when the race was run at Gowran Park, is 9lb higher. His previous chase win was more than three years ago.
Vieux Morvan has run well without winning in two Grade A and two Grade B events at Leopardstown. Youcantcallherthat has a good chance on the pick of his form, which is on softheavy.
Scoir Mear has reached the frame only once in 11 chases, and was beaten 42 lengths when made favourite at Naas on the last day.
1.50 Warwick (win 20)
BET: 10pts win (nap) FLASH OF STEEL
BET: 1.5pts win and place ESPOIR DE GUYE
3.55 Warwick (win 50)
BULL’S-EYE BET: 9pts win SHENEEDEDTHERUN
BULL’S-EYE BET: 4.5pts win and place CUCKLINGTON
4.50 Naas (win 50)
BULL’S-EYE BET: 10pts win DE NAME ESCAPES ME
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