DAQMAN EYES THE IRISH ON NASSAU STAKES DAY AT GOODWOOD: Daqman follows the Irish today: Johnny Murtagh, Aidan O’Brien in the Nassau Stakes and Oisin Murphy, and that’s only at Goodwood. For Galway’s big hurdle, he spreads his chips on two at top BETDAQ offers with one wild-card number on an Irishman long-time adept at big-odds handicap wins. So 8.0 (twice), 9.8, 10.0, 10.5 and 39.0. Headlines:
SIT THIS OUT ON IMPROVER OTTOMAN
FOLLOWING JOAN OF ARC TO VICTORY
OISIN MAY BE ON ANOTHER MACHINE
GOOD HOPE FOR CAPE AT BETDAQ 10.0
TOMORROW AND SATURDAY: The Golden Mile and the Stewards Cup for more big value Goodwood offers on BETDAQ.
SIT THIS OUT ON IMPROVER OTTOMAN
⚠️ There were intimations of immortality yesterday from Alcohol Free, as she scooted home in the Sussex Stakes but Jim Bolger must now be regretting the long holiday he gave runner-up and beaten favourite Poetic Flare, who was fresh as an unraced two-year-old and used his nervous energy into refusing to settle. Few horses can fight the jockey, then have fight left for the finish. Now over to Wordsworth.
⭕ 3.00 Goodwood (Gordon Stakes) Wordsworth has been giving away his own energy in chasing Hurricane Lane. Third in the Hurricane’s Irish Derby, he at least narrowed the gap slightly on very soft ground when second to the same horse in the Grand Prix de Paris.
Dropped two grades here to Group 3, the Ballydoyle bridesmaid is clear top-rated though, strictly on one item of form, he can’t give 7lb to his stablemate Sir Lucan, who beat him a neck at levels at Navan in May.
But Wordsworth has grown into that Group-1 ‘nearly horse’ since then, while Sir Lucan hasn’t even returned to the track.
As if that isn’t enough of a headache for punters, Third Realm, fifth to Adayar in the Derby, had earlier beaten Adayar (’no match for winner’ would you believe) in the Lingfield Derby Trial on soft.
Ottoman Emperor has found a few pounds for every win in his hat-trick. If Johnny Murtagh – he of the great Irish grin – can induce another few from this improver, he is the danger to all.
As Johnny lands at Southampton this morning, he might not wish to reflect that the Emperor’s sire, Excelebration, was the most famous bridesmaid of them all: five times placed to a certain flying machine called Frankel. Grin not so broad.
BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE value 10.5 Ottoman Emperor
FOLLOWING JOAN OF ARC TO VICTORY
⭕ 3.35 Goodwood (Nassau Stakes) The three-year-olds hammered the older horses in the Sussex Stakes yesterday and have the weight of runners in this one, four against two, though not a clear advantage in the ratings.
Off 117, Audarya and Lady Bowthorpe – both five – have figures which suggest that it’s only the concession to Joan of Arc that their connections should worry about.
But, if Empress Josephine hadn’t run such a stinker in the Coronation Stakes at Royal Ascot, it would be neck and neck (or rather, a short-head) between the O’Brien fillies.
Or, at least, that’s how they finished in the Curragh 1,000 Guineas, significantly on heavy ground but over a mile.
Joan of Arc took a definite lead 100 yards out that day and was pipped by Minding’s sister, Empress Josephine, right on the line, seemingly to the surprise of all.
We assume that Ryan Moore had the choice for today and felt he could only pick Joan of Arc after Josephine’s Ascot flop. O’Brien decides that Josephine might be revitalised by a change of jockey, so Frankie Dettori takes over.
Uppermost in Moore’s mind must also have been that Joan of Arc is the only three-year-old in the field today to have won in Group-1 company at 10 furlongs, (in the French Oaks, when she was eased close home).
Lady Bowthorpe has not won beyond 1m 1f, nor has she even tried to before, and Audarya’s Group-1s have been in the Jean Romanet when she beat a Group-2 filly and in the Breeders Cup on firm ground.
Her threeparts-of-a-length defeat by Love at Royal Ascot stands as a 117 performance (Love has been demoted 2lb after being put in her place by the Epsom Derby winner in the King George).
BETDAQ value 3.0 Joan of Arc
OISIN MAY BE ON ANOTHER MACHINE
⭕ 4.10 Goodwood The stats say that maidens don’t win this two-year-olds’ nursery.
Runners with three races or more on their CV must have won on the last day. Only two runs, and both must have been wins.
Stalls one to seven have won nine out of 10. And results over 7f on the first two days this week have been from 2, 6, 8 and 13.
The stats are not always right but they’re better than a pin! They suggest picking those with form from among the low-10 stalls: Adjutant, Ardbraccan, Favourite Child, Highland Premiere, Mayfair Stroll, Robasta and South Audley.
Of these, Adjutant’s win has been boosted; Ardbraccan’s family like the ground; so, too Highland Premiere’s, but trainer Mark Johnston has now gone 31 runners without a winner
Richard Hannon, who has won two of the last four runnings of this, has both his contenders today in the stats range.
As well as Ardbraccan, he saddles South Audley, whose win at Nottingham was four lengths clear of Liamarty Dreams, an easy winner next time.
Oisin Murphy has ridden four winners for Andrew Balding in the last nine days, and Robasta has had a lot of experience.
The first three in a hot Ascot sprint in May (Go Bears Go, Fall Of Rome and Robasta) have all won since, and the trainer thinks Robasta will last today’s trip.
But there’s one thrown in here off only 8st 6lb. Mayfair Stroll, who will race with the low draw, won as he liked the last day and, as a Gleneagles, will like the ground.
BETDAQ value 8 Robasta, 8 Mayfair Stroll
GOOD HOPE FOR CAPE AT BETDAQ 10.0
⭕ 6.15 Galway (Galway Hurdle) Tony Martin, who targets this Grade A race and has won it three times in seven seasons, brings back his 2019 winner, Tudor City, who has his ground again here, with his rating down to the same mark.
The race has been won by a nine-year-old (in 2016) but usually improvers of six and seven take the 147,000-euro prize.
Cape Gentleman has to figure among them: he’s had the speed to win a 2m hurdle (good), and the stamina to score at 2m 4f (heavy), while a bit of an unlucky favourite, nearest finish, in the Ascot Stakes on the Flat at the royal meeting.
Call Me Lyreen, second in a top 2m handicap at the big Spring meeting at Punchestown, should also inject stamina into his performance, according to his breeding on the dam’s side.
Ciel De Neige was beaten only half a length, splitting Koshari and The Shunter at the same Punchestown meeting in a better race over 2m 4f. The Shunter was fourth in a fast time for the Galway Plate yesterday.
BETDAQ value 9.8 Ciel De Neige, 10.0 Cape Gentleman, 39.0 Tudor City
DAQMAN’S BETS
1.50 Goodwood (win 10)
BET 2pts win PATIENT DREAM
3.00 Goodwood (win 30)
BET 3pts win OTTOMAN EMPEROR
3.35 Goodwood (win 20 nap)
BET 10pts win JOAN OF ARC
4.10 Goodwood (win 30)
BET 4.25pts win MAYFAIR STROLL
BET 4.25pts win ROBASTA
6.15 Galway (win 50, bulls-eye bets)
BET 5.5pts win CIEL DE NEIGE
BET 5pts win CAPE GENTLEMAN
BET 1.25pts win TUDOR CITY
What are points? Points facilitate a staking plan, which is the secret to creating profit. One point is whatever you choose: a pound, a euro, or whatever ….
Start with a bank and decide how much you can afford to lose over a period of time, and determine the size of your bets accordingly. Daqman makes this variation every day.
