6-1 AND THE NAP AS DAQMAN LANDS ANOTHER DAILY PROFIT: Daqman savoured a sweet ride by Tom Queally at Southwell on a 6-1 winner yesterday and then watched Nico De Boinville dictate on his nap at Doncaster. Two first-class jockeys; two top-class tips. They gave him a profit on the day for the second day running.
Wednesday : profit 19.50
WON 6-1 BEALACH from 7.5 on BETDAQ
WON 1-1 PATROCLUS nap
Tuesday: profit 4.80
WON 100-30 DUBAI DAYS
STAY SAFE WITH THE DAQMAN STAKING PLAN: Daqman discovers close-knit avenues of form in the Winter Derby on Saturday. Then he does a balancing act with his staking plan on three bets today; one winner and he breaks even.
OLD FRIENDS MEETING IN THE DERBY
Oh, it’s you again! Most of the horses going to post for Saturday’s Winter Derby know each other directly, or collaterally, from a series of past encounters, so much so that there is just 3lb covering a group of four and a single pound the three others. In ratings order:
⭕ 2.40 Lingfield, Saturday (Winter Derby) STATS: John Gosden tries for the hat-trick in this with Forest Of Dean. Marco Botti (Felix) and Roger Varian (Father Of Jazz) have also won it before.
109 JOHNNY DRAMA (Andrew Balding): Raised 19lb for four in a row at Kempton (3 wins; one a Listed) and Southwell (1 win) in the autumn but beaten at Lingfield the last day in stronger Listed; the 1-2-3 were all Group-3 winners.
107 FELIX (Marco Botti): Beat Bangkok, receiving weight, at Wolverhampton in early February before runner-up to that one over today’s CD in the Lingfield Winter Derby Trial three weeks ago at levels; Forest of Dean third.
107 PALAVECINO (Brian Meehan): Fourth in Lingfield CD Listed in December, two-and-a-half lengths behind Bangkok, three-parts of a length in front of the fifth to finish, Johnny Drama (gave 3lb).
106 FOREST OF DEAN (John Gosden): Third to Felix and Bangkok in close finish at Wolverhampton, first run gelded and after long absence, and third again when first two positions reversed in Lingfield Winter Derby trial.
102 VINTAGER (Simon and Ed Crisford): Mile winner (Group 3 soft) for Charlie Appleby at Chantilly, then on Polytrack there for new stable. Weakened, fourth, in Lingfield Winter Derby Trial in first-time visor.
101 FATHER OF JAZZ (Roger Varian): Went clear, impressive, to complete odds-on hat-trick here at Lingfield in early February (back-to-back wins over 1m 2f).
101 POWER OF STATES (Hugo Palmer): Dramatic progress (up a total of 27lb, winning from class-5 to class-2) in five out of seven since October, all around 10f, but beaten favourite sole AW start at Lingfield, making quick reappearance after scoring at Wolverhampton.
BALANCING THE PROPHETE AND LOSS
⭕ 2.35 Huntingdon I was counting my winnings as my nap came to the last at Fontwell 12 lengths clear a week ago.
Who would be a conditional like Sean Houlihan, just unable to lift Un Prophete for a final leap after 3m 2f and 13 fences on the heavy ground. The 10-year-old sprawled the other side like a drunk falling into bed.
Venetia Williams drops him back threequarters of a mile and calls in Robbie Dunne to repair the insult of that BF against Un Prophete’s name: 3.95 on the BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE
Jeremy Scott is living off Dashel Drasher’s Ascot Chase triumph and nothing else (1-13 in two weeks) but wisely keeps Native Robin to a right-hand track after his Wincanton win over a subsequent class-3 scorer.
Third in that race was Lots Of Luck (favourite), now 7lb better off for three and a half lengths with the winner but seemingly struggling off 16lb higher than for the first of his last two wins in a lower grade.
Harry Skelton is rampant with 13 winners in the same two weeks as Jeremy Scott has one, but Go Steady seems to be paying the penalty for his three wins out of four last winter.
Un Prophete, who has won a grade higher than today, has previously won back to back within six days so I’m not concerned about the short time turnaround and Venetia Williams’ stable is going for a hat-trick today after two winners at Ludlow yesterday
THE FORM CHAT IS ALL FOR CHINWAG
⭕ 3.12 Sedgefield Trainer Neil Mulholland, who has runners at Huntingdon today and Exeter tomorrow, makes the long haul with just one runner to Sedgefield this afternoon, where his strike rate is a superb 39% with 23-59.
Chinwag (BETDAQ 2.62 taken) is up in the handicap but has improved since a wind op and is claimed off; even if you gave him another stone, it’s hard to find anything in this field that can beat him.
Sid Ismael, whose sole success was nearly two years ago (a bumper), is 0-9 over hurdles and I like his Racing Post comment for today: ‘consistent in defeat.’
But he did run well here at Sedgefield in November and his Keith Dalgleish stable is currently 5-19.
You have to go back almost three years to success for Sam’s Gunner and Michael Easterby hasn’t trained a Jumps winner for 68 days.
Sue Smith (Kauto d’Amour) is in the doldrums again (0-13) and her last five runners have finished seventh, eighth or ninth. Consistent in defeat or what?
The black mark one of the 200 experts has set against Chinwag is that his wins have come right-handed but if you remove his novice form of 2019 he’s never really run a bad race.
GRAND IDEA TO STEP UP IN DISTANCE
⭕ 3.50 Thurles BETDAQ 3.95 offer Grand Paradis turned over a hot favourite of Willie Mullins at Fairyhouse earlier in the month, and I thought Gordon Elliottt had tongue in cheek when he commented: ‘Should get a bit further.’
Should indeed, related as he is to chase and hurdles winners up to 2m 6f, his dam half-sister to a Welsh National winner.
In fact, the step up in trip today could be right up his street and Gordon will know all about his main rival, Willie’s Fighter Allen. He used to train him.
2.35 Huntingdon (win 10 nap)
BET 3.3pts win UN PROPHETE
3.12 Sedgefield (win 10)
BET 6pts win CHINWAG
3.50 Thurles (win 10)
BET 3.3pts win GRAND PARADIS
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Start with a bank and decide how much you can afford to lose over a period of time, and determine the size of your bets accordingly. Daqman makes this variation every day.
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