LET ‘RIP’ AT MARKET RASEN FOR THE NAP OF THE DAY: Daqman reckons Riptide is well enough handicapped to land the nap at Market Rasen but he’s confident enough of dutching two at Wincanton to step up his stakes there. The outsider of the day was 12.5 on BETDAQ this morning.
STAR BETS TOMORROW: The Devon marathon and a Future Stars card at Sandown makes tomorrow a day not to be missed with Daqman likely to go for a banker hit, a 50-point bull’s-eye bet or a lay at any time. Form figures for his nap are currently 1112312.
1.50 Market Rasen Racing on similar tracks at Market Rasen and Wincanton today, right-handed and with a bit of a climb in the back straights.
The differences today are that it’s soft at Rasen and firmish at Winkers, where they finish on a downhill slide into the final fences, whereas Rasen has that deceptive long, flat run from the final bend.
That will sort the stayers in this 1.50 chase, with only Acrai Rua and Moon Melody having scored at 3m 3f or more. But Acrai Rua seems badly out of sorts and has scored only on a soundish surface.
Moon Melody is 10 now, with 97 races on his CV, and last won a chase two grades lower and a quarter-mile shorter at Sedgefield in 2012.
Roseneath hasn’t won at this level since 2011, losing his way until a 23lb lower mark and a tongue-tie saw him resurrected in poor company at Worcester.
Very Stylish has been very sluggish lately – even under McCoy, and including at Market Rasen – and Thorncliffer, who has looked as if needing a longer trip, still has it to prove. So the best bet may be Riptide.
Riptide is yet another massively down in the handicap, two stone below his official mark when he last ran in a chase as a novice in May 2011.
Won twice on the Flat in the summer, and looks very well handicapped as the only reliable horse the race. I took 4.9 in a 109% list of offers on BETDAQ this morning. If we knew he’d get the trip, he’d be more than a nap, a banker.
2.10 Wincanton (Silver Buck Chase) The secret to Goring One is Wincanton and good ground. In the last year, at Wincanton, or on going no worse than good to soft, he is 211P13.
Only Goring One and Upham Atom have won with ‘firm’ in the going, as at Wincanton today. Upham Atom needs further these days and all his success has come between February and April.
With All The King’s Horses and Buck’s Bond, you’ll be on tenterhooks about their jumping. With Havinggotascoobydo (struggling to regain his old classy form) and Shockingtimes (second attempt to step up from the novice stage), the guesswork is whether they can bounce back.
Inside Dealer is a CD winner, and blinkers first time – replacing cheekpieces – might help. But I had Goring One 3.5 favourite in my pricing up and so just had to grab 4.7 on BETDAQ this morning.
2.20 Market Rasen If I go through the form here, you’ll fall asleep. Suffice it to say that, in a field of dross, I shall take Russian George to return to form on his local track.
Three out of four as a novice, one of them here he hasn’t been seen over hurdles since this meeting two years ago, and the return to timber just might wake him up. Worth a win and place at 12.5 with three chances of a return in an eight-horse race.
2.40 Wincanton Prompter and Roman Flight were both placed in Listed races, going right-handed at Market Rasen this summer, and have summer ground and a similar track again today.
But Roman Flight looks like a perennial place horse. He’s been in and out of visors and they only betrayed his patent lack of pace, with just a maiden-hurdle win on his CV.
Prompter is another short of speed. He has had two months off from hurdling since Market Rasen, racing three times on the Flat with no success, though all were on an easy surface.
As a former class-2 Flat performer, he ought to continue in the frame here, currently showing six out of six in the first four under NH Rules but hardly looks a win bet.
Alan King’s only runner of the day, McVicar, might be good enough. He has won or been placed five times out of six going right-handed, and seems sure to improve at the age of four.
Jumps Road’s success since his novice days have both come at Wincanton in February or March and he has again been out of sorts on his reappearance runs, as last season.
However, he has run in much better company than this today and his local stable is in great form, with Cue Card and Hey Big Spender flying the flag high.
The 5.9 Jumps Road and 6.4 McVicar among BETDAQ offers totalling only 106% this morning gave me a smashing chance to dutch. I reckon them worth a step up in stake to win 30 points.
DAQMAN’S BETS (staked to win 20 points except 2.40 Wincanton).
BET 5pts win (nap) RIPTIDE (1.50 Market Rasen)
BET 5.4pts win GORING ONE (2.10 Wincanton)
BET 1.8pts win and place (Outsider Of The Day) RUSSIAN GEORGE (2.20 Market Rasen)
BET (to win 30) 5.5pts win on each JUMPS ROAD and McVICAR (2.40 Wincanton)
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