DAQMAN CENTRE STAGE AGAIN WITH 4-1 SOLILOQUY: It’s a one-man show, Daqman shooting well clear of Pricewise 14-2 on winners and almost 75 points (Daqman +41.75, Pricewise –32.75) to a single unit on each of their selections at SP yesterday. He’s made 44 points profit to recommended stakes over the two days of Newmarket. Day 3 today is Craven Stakes day.
Wednesday (profit on the day 27 points)
WON 4-1 SOLILOQUY (Nell Gwyn Stakes, 7.0 taken on BETDAQ)
WON 5-2 OLD PERSIAN
Tuesday (profit on the day 17 points)
WON 11-4 AURUM
WON 11-4 MILDENBERGER (nap)
Daqman has been opposing favourites all week – including Van Beethoven and Ekhtiyaar – and he tries to knock over another one in the opener today.
BELLS ARE RINGING FOR MAYBRIDE
1.50 Newmarket Music Society is a mystery favourite, as a class-5 AW winner, with Ryan Moore taking the ride because he had nothing else booked. Trainer Sylvester Kirk is 1-17 this year.
And Music Society’s spin surrounds just one horse: he is lauded because he moved up to class 2, finishing second at Wolverhampton with Corinthia Knight a head behind him.
We could not have guessed that Corinthia Knight would go on to win four in a row, but there then follows an admission by the handicapper that he overrated him.
Despite the four consecutive, his 105 rating was not increased – not even by a pound – even though the Wolverhampton race winner met him again and finished stone last.
In the one stall, Consequences is a CD winner but his two successes as a two-year-old were both on firm ground.
In the adjacent stall, Two-Year-Old Trophy fifth Maybride, who followed up with an odds-on success at Leicester, is looking for some black type for Cheveley Park Stud this season, so must go close in this ordinary handicap at 7.6 on BETDAQ this morning, getting 9lb from the favourite.
Ed Walker (Desert Doctor), Tom Dascombe (Dragons Tail) and Mark Johnston (Rebel Assault) have all had winners at this Craven meeting this week.
I think Dragons Tail is being prepared for Chester and Desert Doctor has a rise in class. But I could see Rebel Assault bouncing back.
Captain Jameson could shrug off his 6lb rise because he’s been gelded but I’m inclined to wait for this run back because the stable is low key right now (2-36 this year).
SURYA A REAL GOSDEN PUNT
2.25 Newmarket (Wood Ditton Stakes) It used to be a cinch! You just followed Wood Ditton beaten horses in their next two or three outings and bagged winner after winner. How’ve they done recently?
Well, last year, second, third, fourth and fifth all won races afterwards, three of them within their next couple of starts. The previous year, second, third and fourth did the same. And this year promises to be one of the best yet.
Winners of the race before, Saeed Bin Suroor had overnight favourite Military Band (7.0 BETDAQ this morning), closely related to Cracksman, and William Haggas gives a good word for Prabeni (12.0 offers).
But my man in the long grass wouldn’t hear of defeat for John Gosden’s Surya, bred in the absolute racing purple by Frankel out of a duel Oaks winning mare. Oh dear, down to 6.0 already!
ABERNANT: FABRE FLYER BRIVIDO
3.00 Newmarket (Abernant Stakes) Brando is back for a repeat but that hasn’t happened in this race since Boldboy (four wins during 1974-78).
Aidan O’Brien’s sequence of missing strike ended in an inconsequential race at Dundalk yesterday, following three consecutive losing favourites at this Craven meeting.
In any case, his Spirit Of Valor was pipped by Andre Fabre’s French raider Le Brivido in the Jersey Stakes, and we have to assume that this first-time winner last season is fighting fit to come over here for this.
Based on their Doncaster one-to in November, Perfect Pasture and Dream of Dreams come out ‘the same horse’ at the weights today but it’s Sir Michael Stoute whose Dreams come true by improving older horses. Le Brivido: 3.7 on BETDAQ early mouse, 3.0 as I write.
SUPERNAP IS FOR THE LION HEARTED
3.35 Newmarket (Craven Stakes) On the strength of his neck second in the Racing Post Trophy John Gosden’s Roaring Lion splits Gustav Klimt and Saxon Warrior, the horse that beat him at Doncaster, in the 2,000 Guineas betting. Gustav Klimt has already won his trial.
Charlie Appleby, who had a sensational 44% strike rate on AW, has transferred that percentage to turf to the nearest percentage point.
He runs both Lagardere third Masra and the unbeaten Glorious Journey but it will be a major surprise if the Lion does not roar again here, with Gosden also striking at around 40%.
4.00 Ripon With one exception, winners in the last seven years have been drawn 2, 3, 4, 5 (and 7 of 14), and four-year-olds are 7-9.
A 7.2 BETDAQ offer, Kupa River (stall 2), lover of heavy ground, has moved from Ireland to Roger Fell, who has had two winners and an outsider in third from his last four starters.
Richard Fahey, who sent one out to beat Deauville yesterday, has Right Touch well handicapped now, despite all appearances (and I fancy his 9.7 offer Carnageo in the 4.35 Silver Bowl).
David O’Meara (Summerghand, Ma Fee Heela and Short Work) has won this race three times since 2013. Quick Look should be ready now.
DAQMAN’S BETS
1.50 Newmarket (win 20)
BET 3pts win and place MAYBRIDE
2.25 Newmarket (win 20)
BET 4pts win SURYA
3.00 Newmarket (win 20)
BET 10pts win LE BRIVIDO
3.35 Newmarket (SP Supernap)
BET 20pts win ROARING LION
4.00 Ripon (win 20)
BET 3.25pts win KUPA RIVER
4.35 Ripon
BET 2.25pts win and place CARNAGEO
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