DAQMAN BANKER WINS 17 LENGTHS: Daqman’s nap, Uxixandre (WON 8-11) romped home as a maximum-stakes banker by 17 lengths at Plumpton yesterday.
50.0 BUDDY MAY YET BE A PUNTER’S PAL: Daqman today puts his toe in the water of the marathon events, and takes 50.0 Buddy Bolero for the Hennessy Gold Cup.
BUDDY BET A LONG-TERM VIEW OF THE GRAND NATIONAL
Meet my Grand National Buddy. I have half a dozen horses I’m following with Aintree in mind next April, and it’s so far so good for Buddy Bolero.
Come the Hennessy at the end of the month, we’ll start to get a feedback of Grand National prices, and my biggest ever wins at Aintree were all four backed before the turn of the year.
They were Monty’s Pass (at 50-1 ante-post), Earth Summit (66-1) Silver Birch (50-1), and Well To Do (40-1), all backed for different reasons. One was tucked quietly away, one needed a bog (and that was the forecast for the Spring), another was overlooked, despite being with one of the National’s top trainers of all time.
Earth Summit had been fifth in the Hennessy earlier in his career and charting the subsequent stamina performances of Hennessy runners is always worthwhile.
I’ll tell you the results of that survey nearer to this year’s race on November 30, when I currently have four hopefuls from my horses-to-follow 21 (see Archive).
I have Invictus, the favourite. I have Rocky Creek. I have Houblon Des Obeaux, 12-1 in places, but with offers as big as 18.0 in your BETDAQ orange. And I have Buddy Bolero.
Buddy is 16-1 with two of the big four and 20-1 with Ladbrokes, yet I could get 50.0 on BETDAQ last night, charging just a tentative point to the column’s account as a first position on the race. He may or may not run.
INVICTUS Winner of the Reynoldstown from Gold Cup hero Bobs Worth and Silviniaco Conti. If that was recent, he’d be a short price for the Gold Cup.
In fact, it was two seasons ago, and his first run back in this is one of the talking points of the season. And trainer Alan King is criticizing the short price for the Hennessy, assuming he can’t possibly get the horse 100% after so long away.
ROCKY CREEK This year’s Reynoldstown winner who needs soft ground to be seen at his best. Connections want to avoid his Mildmay conqueror, Dynaste.
HOUBLON DES OBEAUX Runner-up to Rocky in the Reynoldstown and, not disgraced, seventh, in the RSA at Cheltenham. Came back in top form to win the United House Gold Cup at Ascot.
BUDDY BOLERO And here’s Buddy, who let me down first run back. The NH Chase (4m) fourth at Cheltenham – needing softer ground – fell on his reappearance but was back on track when just failing at Carlisle, staying on well but not surprisingly short of speed on the run-in.
With Team Pipe in devastating form at the weekend, losses are only lent on Buddy Bolero, who will be my number one for staying chases when the going is soft.
TODAY’S RACING: McCOY’S SOLO RIDE SOUNDS LIKE A TIP
Hill’s hurdles climb begins. Also from my 21 to follow, Briar Hill (12.45) was going to be my second consecutive banker but he’s long odds on this morning at Wexford and can but be the hub of my Daq Multiples, as he starts the journey to the Cheltenham Festival.
In England, Tony McCoy is taking in just the one ride at Fakenham, Dursey Sound (2.30), who needs the rain to stay away.
He won well at Bangor under McCoy but it was too soft for him at Market Rasen, ridden by Richie McLernon, last time out.
King Of The Wolds is more than a stone inferior over hurdles but gets only 8lb chasing here, and Hunting Tower is late to fences at the age of nine and with only one hurdles win in four years.
Lingfield has fields as sparse as Fakenham. Just how misleading form-lines can be among low-quality horses is illustrated in the 2.20, where Seventh Hussar was 7lb better than Goring Two a week ago at Lingfield.
In the Spring, Goring Two was about 27 lengths behind Join The Navy, which all adds up to a 17lb advantage for Join The Navy at today’s weights.
The Lingfield race had Seventh Hussar 45lb better than Tchang Goon, who was 25lb behind Join The Navy in March, all of which suggests that Seventh Hussar is 23lb up on Join The Navy today at the revised weights. Pass.
Instead, I’ll take as my Lingfield best Lola Galli (3.50), the Old Vic mare blinkered first time for the in-form Team Pip.
DAQMAN’S BETS
DAQ MULTIPLES: 10pts win (nap) DURSEY SOUND (2.30 Fakenham) and 3pts win treble BRIAR HILL (12.45 Wexford) DURSEY SOUND (2.30 Fakenham) and LOLA GALLI (3.50 Lingfield)
ANTE-POST: BET (to win 50pts) 1pt win BUDDY BOLERO (Hennessy Gold Cup)
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