SITUATION NORMAL: MAYHEM AMONG THE BANK HOLIDAY RESULTS: The punters’ curse of British Bank Holiday racing struck again yesterday when winners were running wild at 100-1 and 200-1 (an impossible 20,300-1 double) five minutes apart at Leicester and Redcar.
100-1 Katie’s Kitten (2.15 Leicester, Michael Appleby): 13th race as a maiden
200-1 Runninwild (2.20 Redcar, Ann Duffield): beaten 47 lengths in two starts
CLASSIC COUNTDOWN: OAKS ABC TODAY: Daqman already has an ante-post bull’s-eye bet, Divinely, for the Oaks at 11.5 BETDAQ offers. How does she fare in his ABC guide today?
CLASSIC COUNTDOWN: DERBY ABC TOMORROW: Tomorrow it’s the turn of the Derby field to come under Daqman’s scrutiny. The runners were reduced to 19 yesterday, with Aidan O’Brien likely to saddle six. There were no surprise withdrawals.
O’BRIEN STABLE’S OAKS X-RATING
Black mark Ballydoyle! Daqman’s ABC stats survey of quality and ability thrown up by past Oaks results has a rare black ‘X’ marked against Aidan O’Brien for poor stable form.
Only O’Brien (12%) and Mark Johnston (7%) of the Classic trainers fielding runners in the race are currently striking at a modest 12% or less.
In O’Brien’s favour for the fillies’ Classic at Epsom on Friday is that both 1,000 Guineas have gone to the Ballydoyle yard: at Newmarket (Mother Earth) and at the Curragh (Empress Josephine).
BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE value offers for the top eight Oaks fillies in order of their ABC scores are: 10.5 Divinely, 6.6 Snowfall, 40 Sherbert Lemon, 8.0 Teona, 16.5 Noon Star, 40 Mystery Angel, 8.4 Zeyaadah, 19.5 Dubai Mountain.
⭕ 4.30 Epsom, Friday (The Oaks) ABC guide
A RATING 99 or higher (8 out of 10)
B FORM won Listed; placed Group or Trial (9/10)
C STAMINA on the racecourse or in the breeding.
D TRAINER Aidan O’Brien 8, John Gosden 3, Saeed bin Suroor 2.
E EXPERIENCE Two or three races only (7/10)
X TRAINER out of form (12% strike rate or lower)
ABCDX DIVINELY (Aidan O’Brien)
Sister to Arc winner Found; Curragh Group-3 winner, down the field in the Moyglare. Had to wait for room in the Lingfield Oaks Trial, keeping on well to be fourth by two lengths when in the clear. See Sherbert Lemon.
ABCDX SNOWFALL (Aidan O’Brien)
From the family of Found, behind in Moyglare and Fillies Mile among seven starts as a two-year-old. Made all and went clear in the Musidora on reappearance from Noon Star, Teona and Mystery Angel, who all take her on again.
ABCE SHERBET LEMON (Archie Watson)
Beaten by Noon Star and Loving Dream on reappearance but Loving Dream, as favourite, was behind her, fifth, in the Lingfield Oaks Trial, won in battling finish with Save A Forest, Ocean Road third and Divinely fourth.
ABCE TEONA (Roger Varian)
Daughter of Sea The Stars; reared up at the start of the Musidora trial behind Snowfall and pulled hard. Needs to settle and find more.
ABC NOON STAR (Sir Michael Stoute)
By Galileo out of Midday. Beat Ocean Road as a two-year-old; stepped up from AW class-5 win to be second in the Musidora (favourite to beat Snowfall), racing keenly, hanging right under pressure.
ABC MYSTERY ANGEL (George Boughey)
Beaten by Zeyaadah as a two-year-old; Newmarket Pretty Polly winner and fourth to Snowfall in the Musidora (see above). Well exposed after 12 runs.
ABC ZEYAADAH (Roger Varian)
Listed winner from Mystery Angel on heavy ground at Newmarket in the autumn. Not clear run and badly positioned final two furlongs, beaten a length in the Cheshire Oaks.
ABCX DUBAI FOUNTAIN (Mark Johnston)
Stamina-packed pedigree; exposed after eight runs (three wins). Runner-up in the May Hill, fourth Fillies Mile; comfortably won Cheshire Oaks when stepped up in trip; Zeyaadah second, La Joconde third.
AB SAFFRON BEACH (Jane Chapple-Hyam)
Unbeaten two-year-old, second in both the Nell Gwyn and the Newmarket 1,000 Guineas. Clearly takes high rank but not certain to stay 1m 4f.
BCDX WILLOW (Aidan O’Brien)
Big-framed mile winner as a juvenile; beaten favourite twice this year. Probable pacemaker on Friday.
BCE OCEAN ROAD (Hugo Palmer)
Australia filly out of a Theatrical mare. Dwelt, kept on third in Lingfield Oaks Trial (see Divinely).
BCE TECHNIQUE (Martyn Meade)
Runner-up Epsom Blue Riband Trial; travelled well on the course; beaten a head by a colt, Chester Vase fourth Wirko. But a weak seventh of eight on the soft in the Lingfield Oaks Trial.
BC SAVE A FOREST (Roger Varian)
Strong on stamina; won back-to-back minor events in the Spring before runner-up to Sherbet Lemon (see above) in fighting finish to the Lingfield Oaks Trial. Needs a lot more.
CDEX SANTA BARBARA (Aidan O’Brien)
Camelot filly out of a Danehill mare, talked up early in the year by the stable; ran green, and beaten (joint) favourite, fourth, when Saffron Beach was runner-up, in the Newmarket 1,000 Guineas won by stablemate Mother Earth. Should improve.
CDX LA JOCONDE (Aidan O’Brien)
Frankel half-sister to Irish Derby winner Santiago. Prominent but weakened, fourth in the Cheshire Oaks. See Dubai Fountain.
HOLIDAY FOCUS: A SEASIDE TREBLE
⭕ 3.55 Brighton George Boughey, who has a 60% record at Brighton, is hoping that Batchelor Boy responds to first-time blinkers.
Batchelor Boy (BETDAQ 4.5) is dropped a grade and is down a stone since he was winning races on AW last summer. Nicola Currie takes over.
Kendergarten Kop is 2-2 at Brighton but he’s up in class and down in trip. In fact, you have to go back three summers to find him lining up for a 6f sprint.
Secret Potion’s recent win was on soft ground and Aweemaweh is still 5lb higher than for his win over 7f in the early Spring and, additionally to his weight, he’s without the claimers of his last five from six starts.
⭕ 6.00 Yarmouth Michael Bell trained the winner of this last year, The Lir Jet, scoring first time out before he went on to take the Norfolk Stakes Royal Ascot.
Tardis (BETDAQ 4.5) has been working a treat in preparation for back-to-back Bell success and could go to the Queen Mary if all goes well.
She gets nearly a stone from the only winning colt in the field, Latin Lover, who scored at class-6 level, and 5lb from the successful filly, Bellarena Lady, a subsequent flop trying better company.
⭕ 7.30 Yarmouth Cloudy Dawn did well at a lower level while the rains fell but this is altogether different and giving 11lb to Sugauli could be the evening date when Dawn breaks.
Sugauli won first time last year, landing a gamble on this very track. Tom Clover has done well this season, particularly with unexposed types like this one.
BETDAQ value 9.5 Sugauli
3.55 Brighton (win 10)
BET 2.75pts win BATCHELOR BOY
6.00 Yarmouth (win 10 nap)
BET 2.75pts win TARDIS
7.30 Yarmouth (win 20)
BET 2.25pts win SUGAULI
1pt win treble the above three
8.30 Yarmouth (win 10)
BET 1.38pts win BINT AL ANOOD
What are points? Points facilitate a staking plan, which is the secret to creating profit. One point is whatever you choose: a pound, a euro, or whatever ….
Start with a bank and decide how much you can afford to lose over a period of time, and determine the size of your bets accordingly. Daqman makes this variation every day.