DAQMAN RUNS HIS RULE OVER THE AINTREE WINNERS: What makes a Grand National winner? What magic form ingredients set them apart? Daqman investigates. The plan is that you’ll not only see how they won, but will follow this year’s contestants down the same paths, when Daqman gives you his National verdict on Saturday. That from the man who brought you 33-1 winner Rule The World two years ago.
THREE BETS ON WEDNESDAY: DAQMAN has highlighted three bets on Wednesday – two at Market Rasen and an evening NAP at Kempton.
NATIONAL: SEE HOW THEY WON
2000 Papillon Fourth, second and 10th in successive Irish Grand Nationals.
2001 Red Marauder Fell 6th fence previous year; fifth in the then Hennessy Gold Cup (now Ladbrokes Trophy).
2002 Bindaree Fourth Topham Trophy; fifth Hennessy; third Welsh National
2003 Montys Pass Second Topham Trophy; won Kerry National
2004 Amberleigh House Third previous year; second twice in Becher Chase.
2005 Hedgehunter Close third when fell last fence previous year; won Bobbyjo Chase.
2006 Numbersixvalverde Won Thyestes Chase and Irish Grand National.
2007 Silver Birch Fell previous year when hampered at the Chair. Winner Becher Chase; fourth NH Chase, Cheltenham. Second Cheltenham Festival cross country
2008 Comply Or Die Won Eider Chase; second Tommy Whittle.
2009 Mon Mome Tenth the year before. Ninth Scottish National; eighth both Welsh National and Midlands Grand National.
2010 Don’t Push It Won John Smith’s Chase (Mildmay Course); second 3m 3f handicap chase Cheltenham, November.
2011 Ballabriggs Won Kim Muir Chase at Cheltenham Festival previous year.
2012 Neptune Collonges Sixth Scottish National, second Haydock Grand National Trial.
2013 Aurora’s Encore Second Scottish National
2014 Pineau De Re Won Ulster Grand National
2015 Many Clouds Won Hennessy; sixth Cheltenham Gold Cup
2016 Rule The World Second Irish Grand National, third Kerry National, fifth Thyestes.
2017 One For Arthur Fifth Becher Chase, won Warwick Classic
SOD’S LAW I’VE GONE FOR THE RIGHT NAP
3.05 Market Rasen A competitive handicap hurdle at the Lincolnshire venue and my first instinct was that Zen Master looks to have been dealt a savage blow by the handicapper who has raised him 6lb for finishing a neck second in a Taunton handicap hurdle last month. His only career win has come on good ground and he looks opposable here on a more test surface.
Chandos Belle also looks one to take on after a 9lb rise in the weights for a first career win at Huntingdon in a race that looked less competitive than this one.
With the handicapper being so ruthless, it might pay to look elsewhere and the chances of Potters Hedger who is down in the weights and has cheekpieces on for the first time. He ran well here at Market Rasen in a bumper and looks the value option in the race.
Krugermac has chances on some of his old form but didn’t show much at Fontwell recently after a lengthy reappearance.
5.10 Market Rasen I thought Akarita Lights showed enough on debut at Newcastle to suggest he looks over-priced here at around 9.2 on BETDAQ.
Whilst he was no match for Bournville, who is now unbeaten in two starts, he kept on well enough to finish a three length second and can only improve for the effort. The Quinn stable is only 2/34 on the flat and 13/101 jumps but the shorter priced runners have been running well enough recently and the stats can often mislead at face value.
Debutant Dorking Boy makes the market with the booking of Richard Johnson obviously catching the eye but at around 3.0 on the BETDAQ PLACE market Akarita Lights looks the better proposition with three chances of a return.
6.15 Kempton Sod’s Law has been well backed this morning ahead of this interesting auction event over seven furlongs. The Hughie Morrison trained runner was only beaten a short head on his debut at the track over six furlongs last season and now looks certain to be suited by the step-up in trip and the stable are in reasonable form.
The Richard Hannon trained Magnificent may need further to bring about a first win.
John Gosden’s Fennaan ran better on turf than his first start on the all-weather here at Kempton and Pak Choi brings recent form to the table after a course and distance win in handicap company last time out.
DAQMAN’S BETS (all bets staked to win 20 points except stakes saver)
BET 3.0pts win and 2.1pts place (stakes saver) POTTERS HEDGER (3.05 Market Rasen)
BET 2.4pts win and 10.0pts place AKARITA LIGHTS (5.10 Market Rasen)
BET 6.25pts win (nap) SOD’S LAW (6.15 Kempton)
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