Jacksonville Jaguars (0-1, 0-1 ATS) @ Washington Redskins (0-1, 0-1 ATS)

*ATS= against the spread

BETDAQ Line: Washington -6 (42.5)

Significant Injuries

Jacksonville: CB Alan Ball (questionable– abdomen), WR Cecil Shorts (doubtful– hamstring), S Johnathan Cyprien (out– concussion), TE Clay Harbor (out– calf), RB Storm Johnson (out– ankle), OT Austin Pasztor (out– hand)

Washington: S Duke Ihenacho (questionable– ankle), LB Brian Orakpo (questionable– ankle), OT Tyler Polumbus (questionable– ankle), LB Akeem Jordan (out– knee), CB Tracy Porter (out– hamstring), TE Jordan Reed (out– hamstring)

Recent Trends

Jacksonville is 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing record

Jacksonville is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 September games

Washington is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings between these 2 teams

Washington is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 September games

Washington is 5-19-2 ATS in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a losing road record

The OVER is 6-2 in Jacksonville’s last 8 road games

The UNDER is 6-2 in Washington’s last 8 games overall

Three reasons to back Jacksonville

1. The Redskins looked awful last week in Houston, managing just 6 points against a team that won just two games in 2013. Jacksonville, on the other hand, played two very good quarters in Philadelphia and showed some big-play potential on offense.

2. Jacksonville is undervalued right now. They’re treated like the league’s worst team, yet they’ve won 3 of their last 5 road games and have shown definite signs of improvement on both sides of the ball. They shouldn’t be a 6-point underdog against a team like the Redskins, who have now lost 9 consecutive games.

3. The Jacksonville defense is better than people realize, especially in the front seven, where linebacker Paul Posluszny remains one of the league’s most underrated players. If Posluszny and Co. can shut down Alfred Morris and the Washington running game– and there’s reason to believe they can– the Redskins may finish with fewer than 10 offensive points for the second straight week.

Three reasons to back Washington

1. Jacksonville is a terrible team that has been positively toxic for bettors, covering just 5 times in their last 18 games. There’s not a single Pro Bowler on their roster.

2. The Redskins played well defensively last week, limiting Houston to 17 points and 321 total yards. This week they face a Jacksonville offense that was among the NFL’s worst last season and managed just 17 points last week, with zero points coming in the 2nd half.

3. Journeyman quarterback Chad Henne isn’t surrounded by much skill-position talent in Jacksonville, and this week he’ll be missing his best receiver, Cecil Shorts. The Washington offense, on the other hand, is loaded with playmakers and led by a young quarterback with elite ability, Robert Griffin III.

Prediction


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