PREMIER LEAGUE SATURDAY: We preview Saturday’s Premier League matches with recommended BETDAQ bets and extended match stats. The action starts at 12.30pm with BOURNEMOUTH hosting MAN U.
BOURNEMOUTH V MANCHESTER UNITED
12.30pm We have an action packed Saturday in the Premier League with eight fixtures. We start with the early kick off as Bournemouth host Manchester United. After all their away troubles this season; United now come into this game off the back of three straight away wins in all competitions. They may have found some form when they needed it, but the jury is still out. They were definitely an improved side with Martial back in the team as we seen against Norwich, and if they play like that again today they will surely collect another three points.
The match odds at the time of writing currently trade; Bournemouth 3.4, Manchester United 2.24 and the draw is 3.75. Bournemouth are without a win in five games in all competitions coming into this clash and they have failed to find the net in their last three. With United gaining some confidence from their last three wins and playing some better football; they look good value at 2.24 to start the day.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Manchester United to beat Bournemouth at 2.24.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQboumun
- After winning their first ever Premier League game against Man Utd (2-1 in December 2015), Bournemouth are winless in their last seven against the Red Devils (D1 L6).
- Manchester United have only failed to score in one of their 16 meetings with Bournemouth in all competitions, a 0-2 defeat in an FA Cup third round match in 1984.
- Bournemouth have failed to score in their last three Premier League games (D2 L1) – they last went four without a goal in league competition back in March 2012.
- Manchester United’s 3-1 victory at Norwich last time out ended a run of eight away league games without a win (D3 L5). The Red Devils have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last 10 Premier League away games – only between August 2002-January 2003 have they conceded in more consecutive games on the road in the competition (11).
- Bournemouth have won just two of their last 11 home Premier League games (D5 L4), with three of their five at the Vitality Stadium this season ending level (W1 L1).
- Manchester United have already failed to score four Premier League penalties this season – the most a team has failed to convert in a single campaign in the competition is five (Tottenham in 1994-95 and Liverpool in 2011-12).
- Man Utd’s Marcus Rashford scored home and away against Bournemouth in the Premier League last season, including netting a 90 th minute winner in this exact fixture.
- Bournemouth’s Ryan Fraser creates a goalscoring opportunity on average every 63 minutes in the Premier League this season, compared to one every 34 minutes on average last season. He’s provided one assist in 627 minutes of action so far this term, compared to averaging an assist every 227 minutes in 2018-19.
- Manchester United’s Anthony Martial has either scored (3) or assisted (1) a goal in each of his four Premier League starts this season. Indeed, the Frenchman has had a hand in 16 goals in his last 20 starts in the competition (13 goals, 3 assists), failing to register a goal involvement in his last 16 apps as a substitute.
- After a run of scoring with five consecutive shots in the Premier League, Bournemouth’s Callum Wilson has failed to score with any of his last eight attempts. However, of the 95 players to have had 10+ shots in the Premier League this season, Wilson has hit the highest % of them on target (69% – 11/16).
ARSENAL V WOLVES
3pm What an eventful week for Arsenal! Having said that; is there ever a dull time at Arsenal? Given that they’ve been so poor at the back, and so creative going forward – they have been superb value for the neutral fan this season. If they keep blowing two goal leads though their fans won’t be happy and it will be very interesting to see how much pressure the manager comes under. Wolves suffered a disappointing 2-1 loss in the Carabao Cup during the week, but they had been in good form prior to that. Obviously Arsenal are having their troubles at the back, but they have always been stronger at home and the 1.83 on them here is too big to resist. Wolves have been solid, but haven’t been amazing apart from beating Manchester City and from a value point of view, we have to take this Arsenal price.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Arsenal to beat Wolves at 1.83.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQarswol
- After winning their first six Premier League games against them, Arsenal have won just one of their last four against Wolves in the competition (D2 L1), failing to beat them in either game last term.
- Wolves’ 3-1 win against Arsenal in April ended a run of 16 league games without victory against the Gunners – they last won consecutive top-flight games against them in September 1979 (a run of three).
- Wolves are unbeaten in their last seven Premier League games in London (W3 D4) since a 0-5 loss at Fulham in March 2012. It’s their longest unbeaten run in the capital in the top-flight since a run of 11 between November 1972-November 1974.
- Arsenal haven’t lost at home at 3pm on a Saturday since the opening day of the 2013-14 season (1-3 vs Aston Villa), winning 20 and drawing two since then.
- Arsenal have only led by more than one goal in two of their 10 Premier League games this season, with the Gunners being pegged back to draw 2-2 in both of those matches.
- No side has conceded the first goal in more Premier League games than Wolves this season (7), though they’ve come back to draw five of those games (L2).
- Wolves have scored in each of their last nine Premier League games, with only Liverpool (19) on a longer current run in the competition. Wolves have never scored in 10 consecutive Premier League games before.
- Arsenal have scored in each of their last 23 home league games since a 0-2 loss to Man City in August 2018 (W17 D5 L1). However, the Gunners have only kept one clean sheet in their last seven at the Emirates, shipping 2+ goals on four occasions in that run.
- Wolves have scored a league-high 85% of their Premier League goals in the second half of games this season (11/13). Indeed, in a league table based purely on second half results, Wolves would be third.
- Having scored seven goals in his first seven Premier League games this season, Arsenal’s Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang has failed to score in his last three in the competition.
ASTON VILLA V LIVERPOOL
3pm Liverpool were involved in an absolute thriller during the week here against Arsenal, but they would have been disappointed to concede five goals. Having said that, they conceded five goals and still drew – can anyone beat Liverpool at the moment!? They have been excellent this season and should get back to winning ways here. Villa are unbeaten in their last three games here, and would have been delighted to win in the Carabao Cup during the week. The reality is though that Liverpool are in a completely different class compared to Aston Villa and we feel Klopp’s men will cover the handicap here on their way to victory. Liverpool are trading 2.0 -1.5 goals which looks massive, that could be the best value bet of the weekend.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Liverpool -1.5 goals to beat Aston Villa at 2.0.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQastliv
- Aston Villa have won just four of their last 29 Premier League games against Liverpool (D8 L17), with three of those wins coming at Anfield.
- Liverpool have lost just one of their last 18 away league games against Aston Villa (W12 D5), winning the last five by an aggregate score of 13-1. Only against West Brom (8 games, 1983-2009) and Norwich (6 games, 1995-2016) have they had longer winning away runs in their top-flight history.
- Liverpool have won 13 Premier League away games against Aston Villa, more than they’ve beaten any other side on the road in the competition.
- Aston Villa have won just four of their 38 Premier League games against sides starting the day top of the table (W4 D8 L26), most recently beating Chelsea 1-0 in March 2014.
- Liverpool are unbeaten in their last 27 Premier League games, their second longest unbeaten run in top-flight history (31 between May 1987-March 1988).
- Liverpool have won their last 13 Premier League games against promoted sides. Only Chelsea (27, 2002-2006), Manchester United (17, 2006-2009) and Tottenham (16, 2015- 2018) have had longer such runs in the competition.
- Liverpool haven’t conceded more than twice in any of their last 33 away league games since a 3-3 draw with Arsenal in December 2017 (23 goals conceded in total). Both of the Reds’ clean sheets in the league this season have come in away games.
- Since losing against Sam Allardyce’s Crystal Palace in April 2017, Liverpool manager Jürgen Klopp is unbeaten in his last 24 Premier League meetings with English managers (W20 D4), winning each of the last 14 in a row.
- James Milner has been involved in four goals in his last four Premier League games against former side Aston Villa (2 goals, 2 assists), finding the net in both such games for Liverpool.
- All five of Mohamed Salah’s Premier League goals for Liverpool this season have come at Anfield – he’s not scored away from home in the competition since May at Newcastle.
BRIGHTON V NORWICH
3pm Brighton are a much improved side compared to last season, and another win here would be massive for them. They sit in 14th position heading into this weekend and three points would really give them a buffer against the sides battling to stay out of the bottom three. Norwich suffered their seventh loss from ten games against Manchester United last weekend, and it seems barely believable that three of their seven points have been collected against Manchester City. Norwich have failed to find the net in their last three away games and with Brighton playing some good attacking football, they are worth backing at 1.77 here. They’ve won their last two home games against Everton and Spurs, scoring three goals in each game and they should have more than enough to see off this Norwich side.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Brighton to beat Norwich at 1.77.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQbrinor
- This will be the first ever Premier League meeting between Brighton and Norwich, with the sides last facing each other in the top-flight in May 1983 (a 2-1 win for Norwich at Carrow Road).
- Norwich have won four of their last five away league games against Brighton, though they did lose the most recent such encounter 0-5 in October 2016 in the Championship.
- Brighton have won their last two home Premier League games, as many as they had in their previous 15 at the Amex Stadium (W2 D5 L8). They’ve only won three in a row at home in the competition once before (March 2018).
- Brighton have scored 3+ goals in three of their 10 Premier League matches this season, more than they did in the whole of 2018-19 (2).
- Norwich have only kept one clean sheet in their last 17 Premier League matches, though it was in their last such away game at Bournemouth in October (0-0). They haven’t kept consecutive clean sheets on the road in the top-flight since December
- Norwich have lost more Premier League games than any other side this season (7), with four of those defeats coming away from home. Their only away goal so far came at league leaders Liverpool on the opening day, while their last league win overall came against reigning champions Manchester City in September.
- Norwich have conceded a league-high 15 first-half goals in the Premier League this season, one more than Brighton have shipped in total so far this term (14).
- Norwich have lost all seven of their Premier League games when conceding the first goal this season, with no side having conceded the first goal of a game more. Indeed, the Canaries have lost 21 of their last 22 games when conceding first in the competition, beating Watford 4-2 in May 2016 in the other.
- Brighton’s Neal Maupay has scored in each of his last three home Premier League games. The only Brighton player to score in four consecutive appearances at the Amex Stadium in the competition is Glenn Murray in December 2018.
- Teemu Pukki has been directly involved in a league-high 73% of Norwich’s Premier League goals this season (8/11 – 6 goals, 2 assists). Despite this, the Finnish striker hasn’t registered a single goal involvement in any of his last five games in the competition.
MANCHESTER CITY V SOUTHAMPTON
3pm Poor Southampton! Football is a funny old game; after losing 9-0 at home against Leicester the next two fixtures end up being Manchester City away twice. They did managed to find the net during the week here, but City ran out 3-1 winners. It’s nearly impossible to see anything other than a home win here and the markets agree with City trading as short as 1.09 at the time of writing. City have won their last five league meetings against Southampton too, and it seems to be a question of how many goals here. Any Other Home Win (City to score four or more and win) is trading 2.08 in the Correct Score market, however over 3.5 goals looks better value at 1.7. If City score four then happy days, but Southampton got on the score sheet here midweek and they can do the same again – they have nothing to lose by attacking City here and we can see an open game.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Over 3.5 goals at 1.7.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQmcisth
- Manchester City have won each of their last five Premier League meetings with Southampton, their longest ever winning run against Saints in league competition.
- After winning their first ever Premier League game at the Etihad in April 2004 (3-1), Southampton are winless in their last eight away games against Man City (D1 L7).
- Manchester City (32) are the highest scorers in the Premier League this season, while Southampton (25) have conceded the most in the competition so far, with the Citizens registering the biggest home win this season (8-0) and Saints suffering the biggest defeat (0-9).
- Manchester City haven’t lost a home league game against a side starting the day in the relegation zone since November 2008 (1-2 vs Tottenham), winning 24 and drawing three since.
- Just one of Manchester City’s last 40 Premier League games has finished in a draw (W33 D1 L6). Of the 104 managers to have taken charge of 50+ Premier League games, Pep Guardiola’s have seen the lowest ratio finish level (12.9% – 16/124).
- Both of Southampton’s wins in the Premier League this season have been away from home. However, in their top-flight history they’ve only won two of their 42 away games against reigning champions (W2 D10 L30), beating Leeds 3-1 in 1969-70 and Chelsea 3-1 in 2015-16.
- Raheem Sterling has been involved in eight goals in his last five home league games against Southampton for Man City and Liverpool combined (4 goals, 4 assists). Against no side has he been involved in more home goals in the Premier League (also 8 vs
- Despite less than a third of his total shots being on target (9/30), Man City’s Sergio Agüero has netted eight goals from his nine shots on target in the Premier League this season.
- Kevin De Bruyne has nine assists in Man City’s 10 Premier League games so far this season, more than double that of any other player in the competition. The earliest a player has reached double figures for assists in a single campaign in the competition is after their team’s 12th game, with Cesc Fàbregas in 2014-15 (Chelsea) and Mesut Özil in 2015-16 (Arsenal) doing so.
- No player at a non ‘big six’ club has scored more Premier League goals against such sides since the start of last season than Southampton’s Danny Ings (6).
SHEFFIELD UNITED V BURNLEY
3pm Sheffield United continued to enjoy life in the Premier League last weekend when picking up a draw away from home against West Ham. After beating Arsenal in the fixture before that, they are comfortable in 8th position and definitely don’t look like they should have been favourites to go down. It will be very interesting to see the result of this fixture, with Burnley being a very solid side. They only sit one point behind Sheffield United, and are usually a tough team to beat. They lost their last away game, however that came against the high flying Leicester and prior to that they picked up two draws. We just feel that Sheffield United are too short here 2.3. That price looks at least ten ticks too short and we can see Burnley making life much harder for Sheffield United than odds of 2.3 would suggest. We’re happy to lay the home side.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Sheffield United at 2.3.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQshebur
- This will be the first ever Premier League meeting between Sheffield United and Burnley, with the sides last facing each other in the top-flight in February 1976 (Burnley winning 3-1 at Turf Moor).
- Burnley have won three of their last four league meetings with Sheffield United (D1), most recently winning a Championship game 4-2 in January 2011. They had won just one of their previous 11 against the Blades (D2 L8).
- Burnley have played more Premier League games in Yorkshire without losing than any other side in the history of the competition (5 – W3 D2 L0). Their last top-flight defeat in the county came at Leeds back in April 1976 (1-2).
- No side has scored fewer home goals in the Premier League this season than Sheffield United, with the Blades netting twice as many goals away from home (6) as they have at Bramall Lane (3).
- Burnley have both scored and conceded in all five of their away league games this season, though they remain one of five sides yet to win on the road in the Premier League so far this term (D3 L2).
- Burnley are winless in their last seven away Premier League games, their longest such run since their first 17 on the road in 2016-17. The Clarets have also failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 12 away league games, since a goalless draw at Watford in January.
- This will be just Sheffield United’s 10th Premier League game when they’re starting in the top half of the table, with six of them now coming this season. They’ve failed to win any of the previous nine such matches (D3 L6).
- Sheffield United will be the 54th different side Burnley manager Sean Dyche has faced in his English league career – he’s beaten 50 of the previous 53 he’s faced, failing only so far against Arsenal (9 games), Man Utd (8 games) and Coventry (2 games).
- Sheffield United’s Lys Mousset has scored with three of his last four shots in the Premier League, having found the net with just three of his previous 39 in the competition.
- Since the start of last season Burnley’s Dwight McNeil has been involved in 12 Premier League goals (4 goals, 8 assists), at least four more than any other teenager in the competition.
WEST HAM V NEWCASTLE
3pm This is an interesting fixture. Newcastle have battled hard in recent weeks, and they would have bit your hand off for four points from three games against Manchester United, Chelsea and Wolves after losing 5-0 against Leicester. They have pulled themselves out of the bottom three and with West Ham throwing in some inconsistent performances; Newcastle must think that they have a realistic chance of winning here. The Hammers beat Manchester United here recently; but they have lost a game since. They have only managed two draws from five games in all competitions with two of those games coming here. Newcastle haven’t set the world alight this season – we all know that; however we can’t have West Ham odds on here. They have drawn with Sheffield United and been beaten by Palace in their last two here, and we’re very happy to lay them at 1.86.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay West Ham at 1.86.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQwesnew
- West Ham won both Premier League meetings with Newcastle last season – they last won three in a row against the Magpies in March 1999.
- Newcastle have lost three of their last four Premier League away games against West Ham (W1), failing to score in each defeat.
- West Ham have dropped more points from winning positions than any other Premier League side this season (9), with the Hammers opening the scoring but failing to win their last two home games in the competition (D1 L1). They last failed to win three consecutive top-flight home games having scored the first goal in each one in August 1995.
- Newcastle have lost their last three Premier League away games, last losing more consecutively on the road in the competition in April 2016 (nine in a row).
- Newcastle have lost more away Premier League games in London than any other side in the competition (77), though they have won two of their last three in the capital.
- Newcastle haven’t scored more than once in any of their last 10 Premier League games – they last had a longer such run between December 2007-March 2008 (12 games).
- West Ham boss Manuel Pellegrini has faced Newcastle without defeat more often in the Premier League than he has any other side (P8 W7 D1 L0). His sides have scored 25 goals in these matches, while conceding just twice.
- Newcastle striker Andy Carroll has scored in both of his Premier League appearances against West Ham United, though these matches were back in January 2009 and October 2010.
- West Ham’s Andriy Yarmolenko has been involved in a goal in three of his last four home Premier League games (2 goals, 1 assist), having failed to score or assist in any of his first five at the London Stadium.
- No Newcastle player has scored more than once in the Premier League this season, with all six of those goals coming from different players. Only Watford have also had no players score more than once so far this season.
WATFORD V CHELSEA
5.30pm We end the day with Watford hosting Chelsea after both sides lost in the Carabao Cup during the week. Frank Lampard would have been disappointed to lose his winning run, especially given the troubles of Manchester United this season. One wondered if a change to Cup football might suit Watford but they lost 2-0 to Everton. They still sit bottom of the Premier League and they really need to turn things around quickly. Anything from this fixture would be a boost; but can they get a result?
The match odds at the time of writing currently trade; Watford 5.3, Chelsea 1.68 and the draw is 4.5. Chelsea have an excellent record against Watford, only losing once in the last 11 league meetings. Watford are in real trouble this season looking at the stats – they have only managed five goals in ten games. Without that stat improving; how can they get out of trouble? Goals win games! With Chelsea playing much better football now since the start of the season, Frank Lampard’s men can get another three points here.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Chelsea to beat Watford at 1.68.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQwatche
- Watford have won just one of their last 11 Premier League meetings with Chelsea (D2 L8), winning 4-1 at Vicarage Road in February 2018.
- Chelsea won this exact fixture 2-1 last season – they’ve never managed to win consecutive away games against Watford in the top-flight.
- Watford are winless in their 10 Premier League games this season (D5 L5), scoring fewer goals than any other side (5). They’ve never failed to win any of their opening 11 games to any league campaign before, while the last side to do so in the Premier League were QPR in 2012-13.
- Chelsea have won their last four away Premier League games, netting at least three goals each time. In top-flight history, only Everton have won five consecutive away games while netting 3+ goals each time, doing so back in December 1927 en route to winning the league title.
- Chelsea have won 16 of their last 20 Premier League games against sides starting the day bottom of the table (L4), with their last such defeat coming at Crystal Palace in October 2017 – it was the Eagles’ first victory that campaign.
- Watford are winless in their last 14 league games (D6 L8) – only between November 1971-April 1972 have they gone longer without a win in their league history (19 games).
- Watford are winless in their last nine Premier League home games (D4 L5) – if they fail to win here it will equal their longest winless home run in their league history (10 between September-December 2004).
- Despite sitting fourth in the table with 20 points, only the three clubs starting the day in the relegation zone have conceded more Premier League goals this season than Chelsea (16).
- Watford’s Gerard Deulofeu has had more shots (24) and shots on target (10) without scoring than any other Premier League player this season.
- Chelsea’s Tammy Abraham has scored six goals and assisted one more in his last four away Premier League games – he’s scored more away goals than any other player in the competition this season, and already more than any Chelsea player hit on the road last season.
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