PREMIER LEAGUE SATURDAY: We preview Saturday’s Premier League matches with a recommended BETDAQ bet and extended match stats. The action starts at 12.30pm with CHELSEA v CRYSTAL PALACE.
CHELSEA V CRYSTAL PALACE
12.30pm We have six games in the Premier League on Saturday and we get underway with Chelsea hosting Crystal Palace. Chelsea had a rollercoaster ride here on Tuesday night when drawing 4-4 with Ajax! Frank Lampard’s men have been grinding out results in the Premier League and they’ve been scoring plenty of goals too. Palace did manage a 2-2 draw away to Arsenal two weeks ago, but Chelsea should get the job done here.
The match odds at the time of writing currently trade; Chelsea 1.37, Crystal Palace 10.5 and the draw is 5.6. After a poor start to the season, Chelsea have been impressive. They’ve won their last five Premier League fixtures and they’ve impressed in the Champions League too. Palace have conceded at least two goals in their last three fixtures and we feel that Chelsea can cover the handicap here. They’re trading 2.0 -1.5 goals which looks cracking value and a good bet to kick off the day.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Chelsea -1.5 goals to beat Crystal Palace at 2.0.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQchecry
- Chelsea have won six of their last eight home league games against Crystal Palace, losing the other two in August 2015 and April 2017.
- Since returning to the Premier League in 2013-14, Crystal Palace have won four of their 12 league games against Chelsea, double how many they’d beaten the Blues in their 22 previous top-flight encounters between 1969-2005 (W2 D9 L11).
- Chelsea have won their last three London derbies in the Premier League, their best run since winning five in a row between October and December 2014 under José Mourinho.
- Since the start of last season, only Liverpool (18), Manchester City (18) and Chelsea (14) have won more Premier League away games than Crystal Palace (11).
- Crystal Palace have won two of their last four away London derbies in the Premier League (D1 L1), as many as they had in their previous 15 such matches (W2 D3 L10). This will be their 100th London derby in the Premier League – only Fulham have a lower points-per-game ratio in such games (0.84) than the Eagles (0.93).
- Chelsea are looking to win six consecutive Premier League games for the first time since May 2017 under Antonio Conte, in their last title winning season.
- Chelsea’s Christian Pulisic has scored in each of his last two Premier League appearances – only three Americans have scored in three in a row; Clint Dempsey (three times – 2007, 2009 and 2012), Joe Max-Moore (2000) and Roy Wegerle (1993).
- Chelsea boss Frank Lampard could become the seventh English manager to win six consecutive Premier League matches, and the first since Alan Pardew in April 2012 with Newcastle United.
- Tammy Abraham has scored nine goals in 13 Premier League games for Chelsea. If he scores in this game, he’d be the second youngest player to reach double figures in the competition for the Blues (22y 38d) after Arjen Robben (21y 342d), while only Diego Costa (9) and Jimmy Floyd Hasselbaink (11) will have done so in fewer games.
- Crystal Palace’s Jordan Ayew could become the fourth player in Premier League history to score away against Arsenal, Manchester United and Chelsea within the same campaign, after Robbie Earle (1995-96), Darren Bent (2008-09) and Ashley Barnes (2018-19).
BURNLEY V WEST HAM
3pm This should be a very close affair between two evenly matched sides. Only one point separates them in the table as they sit in 13th and 14th. Both come into this clash on a poor run with disappointing results last weekend. Burnley were hammered 3-0 by Sheffield United while West Ham also conceded three goals and lost to Newcastle. Burnley have lost their last three while West Ham are without a win in their last six in all competitions. Both have conceded plenty of goals and perhaps today is a case of who can defend better over the course of 90 minutes. Burnley are a tempting lay at 2.38 because we can see the game being closer than those odds suggest, however over 2.5 goals looks the best bet at 1.8. It’s hard to see anything but plenty of chances in this game and at 1.8 the overs is worth backing.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Over 2.5 goals at 1.8.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQburwes
- Burnley have won two of their last three Premier League games against West Ham (L1), having won just one of their first seven against them in the competition (W1 D1 L5).
- West Ham’s 0-2 loss away at Burnley last season was the only one of the five Premier League meetings between the sides at Turf Moor that hasn’t seen both teams score.
- Burnley have lost each of their last three Premier League games, conceding nine goals in the process. They lost 2-4 against Chelsea in their last home match, conceding more goals in that game than they had in their previous four combined at Turf Moor (3).
- After a run that saw them lose just one of 11 Premier League matches (W6 D4 L1), West Ham have lost three of their last four in the competition (D1).
- Burnley have scored a league-high ratio 29% of their Premier League goals from outside the box so far this season (4/14), with their two goals in their last home game coming from distance.
- Despite only three sides having had more headed shots than West Ham in the Premier League this season (26), the Hammers are one of four teams yet to score a headed goal in the competition so far this term (along with Aston Villa, Manchester United and Watford).
- Burnley’s Chris Wood has scored in all four of his Premier League games against West Ham, averaging a goal every 45 minutes against the Hammers (5 goals, in 226 minutes). No player has a better 100% record of scoring against a specific opponent in the Premier League than Wood does against West Ham (4/4).
- West Ham’s Robert Snodgrass has scored in each of his last two Premier League appearances – the last Scottish player to score in three in a row was Steven Naismith for Everton in August 2014.
- After scoring in each of his first three Premier League games this season (4 goals in total), Burnley’s Ashley Barnes has failed to score in any of his last seven in the competition. He’s had as many yellow cards in those seven games as he’s managed shots on target (2).
- Only David McGoldrick (8) has had more shots on target without scoring in the Premier League this season than West Ham’s Felipe Anderson (7). Indeed, the Brazilian has scored with just one of his last 16 shots on target in the competition, having found the net with eight of his previous 16 such attempts.
NEWCASTLE V BOURNEMOUTH
3pm Newcastle got a much needed win last weekend away against West Ham, and now they have shot up the table to 15th. They have really battled hard in recent weeks after a poor start, and they’ve been collecting points against the likes of Manchester United and Wolves. They should do enough to avoid a battle to stay up. After a run without scoring and a longer run without winning a game, Bournemouth finally collected three points at home to Manchester United last weekend. Beating Manchester United with home advantage isn’t the feat it once was, but it should give them a nice confidence boost coming into this fixture. It’s not a surprise to see a very open market on this fixture and we like the draw here at 3.4. Both teams can easily cancel each other out here.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Draw at 3.4.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQnewbou
- The home side lost each of the first three Premier League meetings between Newcastle and Bournemouth, but are unbeaten in the last three (W1 D2), with Newcastle winning this exact fixture 2-1 last season.
- Bournemouth have won two of their three Premier League away games against Newcastle, though did lose 1-2 at St James’ Park last season.
- Newcastle’s five home league games this season have seen just six goals scored (F3 A3), with no side netting more than once in a single match. In contrast, there have been 20 goals scored in the Magpies’ six away games (F6 A14).
- Bournemouth have kept a clean sheet in each of their last three Premier League games. They’ve never gone four games without conceding in the competition, last doing so in league competition back in March 2014.
- Newcastle are looking to secure back-to-back Premier League victories for the first time since April – they scored more goals in their 3-2 win against West Ham last time out than they had in their previous five Premier League games combined (2).
- After a run that saw them saw score 17 goals across six away games in the Premier League, Bournemouth have failed to score in their last two on the road.
- In his managerial career in England, Newcastle boss Steve Bruce has taken charge of 915 games in all competitions – this will be his first ever meeting with Bournemouth, making them the 87th different side he’s faced.
- Five of Newcastle’s nine Premier League goals this season have been scored by defenders – both a higher total and a higher percentage (56%) than any other side so far this season.
- Ciaran Clark scored his 13th Premier League goal in Newcastle’s 3-2 win over West Ham – 11 of those 13 have been headers (85%), the second-highest percentage of any player to score 10 Premier League goals behind David Wetherall (13/15, 87%).
- Jonjo Shelvey has scored two Premier League goals for Newcastle this season (6 games), as many as he had in his previous three campaigns in the competition for the Magpies combined (61 games). He last scored more in a single top-flight season in 2014- 15 (3 with Swansea).
SOUTHAMPTON V EVERTON
3pm We have another very open market here and from a betting point of view, this is a fascinating game. Everton have been poor this season, but Southampton were recently embarrassed with a 9-0 defeat here. The home fans might still be a little nervous heading into this game, although Southampton did superbly well away to Manchester City at the weekend. They lead 1-0 until less than 20 minutes to go, but ultimately couldn’t hang on. Everton haven’t won in their last eight away games in the Premier League and they’ve recently lost away to Brighton and Burnley. This is a huge game given the sides sat in 18th and 17th heading into this weekend and a win for Southampton would see them level on points. We can’t have the Everton price at 2.56 here – that’s at least ten ticks too short given Everton’s home form and Southampton can bounce back from their 9-0 loss here and get a result.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Everton at 2.56.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQsoueve
- Southampton have won 11 Premier League home games against Everton – only against Newcastle (12) have they won more at the Dell/St Mary’s in the competition.
- Everton have lost five of their last six Premier League away games against Southampton, winning the other 3-0 in August 2015.
- 11 of Southampton’s 12 Premier League wins against Everton have come in home games (91.7%). Of all teams to have beaten an opponent at least 10 times in the competition, only Newcastle against Southampton (12/13) have won a higher percentage at home (92.3%).
- Southampton have won just one point in their opening five Premier League home games (W0 D1 L4) – only one team has ever picked up one point or fewer in their first six home games of a Premier League season, Birmingham in 2005-06 on their way to being relegated that campaign.
- Southampton have lost their last three home league games – they have never lost four in a row at St. Mary’s, last losing four between April and August 1998 at their old stadium, The Dell (five games).
- Southampton have conceded 19 goals in their first five home Premier League games this season – the most by a top-flight team since the 1930-31 campaign (Blackpool 19, Manchester United 21).
- Everton are winless in eight Premier League away games (D3 L5), losing each of the last four. However, 10 of their last 13 wins on the road in the competition have been against sides placed 15th or lower at the start of the day.
- There has been a 90th minute goal in each of Everton’s last three Premier League games (F2 A1), with two of those affecting the result. In total, Everton’s games have seen four goals after 90+ minutes this season (F2 A2), no other sides have seen more.
- In all competitions, Everton’s Theo Walcott has been involved in six goals in his last four appearances against his former side Southampton, scoring five and assisting one. Indeed, in his whole career he’s only scored more goals against Newcastle and Tottenham (7) than he has against Saints (6).
- Southampton’s last five Premier League goals have been scored by either James Ward- Prowse (2) or Danny Ings (3).
TOTTENHAM V SHEFFIELD UNITED
3pm Spurs had a good win midweek in the Champions League, winning 4-0 away to Red Star Belgrade. In their last six fixtures, they’ve won 5-0 and 4-0 in the Champions League but haven’t won a game in the Premier League. They were held against Everton last weekend and prior to that lost to Liverpool and Brighton. In their last home Premier League game, they were held to 1-1 against Watford who sat bottom of the Premier League heading into this weekend. Sheffield United actually sit above Spurs in the table, three points ahead and playing some good football. The reality is that Spurs just haven’t been good enough this season and although they can beat up the smaller teams in Europe; we like the home lay at 1.6 here. They were shorter against Watford and failed to get the job done; with Sheffield United in excellent form we can see them making the game much closer than odds of 1.6 suggest.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Tottenham at 1.6.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQtotshe
- Tottenham are unbeaten in four home games against Sheffield United in all competitions (W3 D1) since a 0-1 loss at White Hart Lane in November 1991.
- The home side has always scored at least twice and has never lost in the six previous Premier League meetings between Tottenham and Sheffield United (W4 D2).
- Tottenham are winless in four Premier League games (D2 L2), having last had a longer run earlier this year (5 games in February/March). In 2017 and 2018 combined, the Lilywhites only had one winless run of 4+ Premier League games (November/December 2017).
- Sheffield United are winless in their last 17 Premier League games in London (D6 L11) since beating Chelsea 2-1 in October 1992. On top of that, Yorkshire sides have lost 10 of their last 12 visits to Tottenham in the Premier League (W1 D1), with Hull winning 1-0 in October 2008.
- Sheffield United have lost just one away league game in 2019 (W6 D9 L1) – no team in the top-four tiers of English football have lost fewer (also Liverpool on one).
- Sheffield United have conceded just eight goals in their 11 Premier League games so far – no team has conceded fewer. The last newly-promoted team to concede fewer after 11 games were Wigan Athletic in 2005-06 (5).
- Tottenham have conceded more than once in just one of their 15 home Premier League games in 2019 (2-2 vs Everton in May).
- Sheffield United will be the 29th different side Tottenham striker Harry Kane has faced in the Premier League – he’s scored against all previous 28 clubs he’s played against, making him the only player to have scored against 100% of the opponents he’s faced in the competition (min. 2 opponents).
- Sheffield United striker Lys Mousset has been involved in five goals in his last three Premier League appearances (2 goals, 3 assists), one more than in his first 63 appearances in the competition (4 goals).
- Tottenham’s Dele Alli has scored in 39 Premier League games without losing (W31 D8 L0) – only Darius Vassell (46) and James Milner (53) have scored in more without ending on the losing side in Premier League history.
LEICESTER V ARSENAL
5.30pm If Liverpool weren’t hosting Manchester City on Sunday afternoon, this fixture would be the highlight of the weekend. Leicester have been excellent this season, and deservedly sit in third position heading into the weekend fixtures. They are six points ahead of Arsenal who seem to have gone backwards this season. They were never reliable away from home, but that seems to have creeped into their home form now too. The blueprint for beating Arsenal seems to be put them under pressure and they can’t handle it.
The match odds at the time of writing currently trade; Leicester 2.12, Arsenal 3.65 and the draw is 3.85. Leicester have won eight of their last 11 home Premier League games, while Arsenal come into this with only two clean sheets in their last 24 Premier League away games. Against a side who have been scoring goals for fun like Leicester, we can’t see Arsenal getting a result here. They have been too weak at the back this season and with Leicester absolutely flying; the home win looks great value at 2.12.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Leicester to beat Arsenal at 2.12.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQleiars
- Leicester City have won their last two Premier League home games against Arsenal – they’ve never beaten the Gunners in three consecutive home top-flight matches.
- Arsenal have lost two of their last three league games against Leicester (W1) – more than they had in their previous 30 against the Foxes (W20 D9 L1).
- Leicester have won eight of their last 11 home Premier League games (W8 D2 L1), including their last four in a row; the Foxes have only won five in a row once previously, doing so in May 2017 under Craig Shakespeare.
- Leicester have won seven of their last nine Premier League games (L2), netting at least twice in each victory. When failing to score more than once, Leicester are winless in their last 13 Premier League matches since beating Everton 1-0 in January (D4 L9).
- Since beating Man City at the Etihad in January 2015, Arsenal have failed to win any of their 11 away Premier League matches against teams starting the day in the top-three of the division (W0 D3 L8).
- Arsenal have kept just two clean sheets in their last 24 away league games, with both of those games finishing as 1-0 victories (vs Watford and Newcastle).
- This will be Arsenal boss Unai Emery’s 50th Premier League match in charge. None of his previous 49 have ended goalless – with only George Burley (67 games), Ossie Ardiles (54) and Joe Royle (53) going more games without a 0-0 draw from the start of a Premier League managerial career.
- Leicester’s Jamie Vardy has scored eight goals in his eight Premier League starts against Arsenal. This includes three braces against the Gunners – no player has scored 2+ goals in more different Premier League games against Arsenal (Didier Drogba also 3).
- Against Crystal Palace, Jamie Vardy became the first player to score 10 Premier League goals this season – it is the second season the Foxes striker has been the first player to 10 goals, along with 2015/16, when Leicester went on to win the title.
- Since his first away Premier League appearance in February 2018, Arsenal’s Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang has scored 16 away goals, the third most behind Harry Kane (17) and Jamie Vardy (21) – however, he is yet to score an away goal on a Saturday in seven attempts, with those 16 goals scored on Monday (2), Wednesday (2) and Sunday (12).
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