PREMIER LEAGUE SATURDAY: We preview Saturday’s Premier League matches with a recommended BETDAQ bet and extended match stats. The action starts at 12.30pm with WEST HAM v TOTTENHAM and the return of Mourinho !!
WEST HAM V TOTTENHAM
12.30pm So, who saw us starting the weekend with Jose Mourinho as manager of Spurs? Not many! What an eventful International Break, and it will be fascinating to see how Jose gets on at Spurs. The reality is this Premier League season is already gone with Spurs sitting down 14th position and Jose would dearly love to win a trophy considering the lack of trophies at Spurs. He will have to target the Cups this season, but he’s hardly going to improve the side past Liverpool and Manchester City in the next few years anyway. One wonders how long this will last!
The match odds at the time of writing currently trade; West Ham 4.4, Tottenham 1.83 and the draw is 4.3. Based on what we’ve seen thus far this season, the 1.83 on Spurs is much too short. However, Mourinho coming in obviously changes things. It was obvious there was trouble in the camp with Spurs this season and with a change of manager, we have to see how it goes today. The one thing we’ve seen this season with these sides is goals, West Ham have had plenty of eventful games! With over 2.5 goals trading 1.63 we’re happy to back that to start the weekend.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Over 2.5 goals at 1.63.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQwhutot
- West Ham are looking to secure consecutive league wins over Spurs since beating them in both matches in the 2013-14 campaign.
- Tottenham have won three of their last five away league games against West Ham (L2), including the last two in a row. They’ve won never won three consecutive top-flight away games against the Hammers.
- In all competitions, the away side has won five of the last six meetings between West Ham and Tottenham (two wins for West Ham, three for Spurs), with the other ending 1-1.
- West Ham lost their last home league London derby, 1-2 vs Crystal Palace. They’ve not lost back-to-back such games at the London Stadium, last doing so in March 2015 at the Boleyn Ground (three in a row).
- Tottenham are winless in 12 Premier League away games (D3 L9), their third longest such run in the competition after runs of 14 between May 2000-January 2001 (under George Graham) and 13 between March-November 1997 (under Gerry Francis).
- Tottenham have dropped a league-high 12 points from winning positions in the Premier League this season – just two fewer than they dropped in the whole of 2018-19 (14).
- Tottenham have scored in both halves in just one of their 12 Premier League matches so far this season (2-2 vs Man City in August) – only Southampton (0) have done so in fewer games this term.
- Tottenham have gone 83 Premier League games without a 0-0 draw, the third longest such run in the competition’s history after Manchester United (114 games between May 1999-May 2002) and Ipswich Town (87 games between August 1994-September 2001).
- Tottenham’s Harry Kane has scored 28 goals in 45 Premier League London derbies – only Thierry Henry (43), Teddy Sheringham (32) and Frank Lampard (32) have netted more goals in such games. Kane averages a goal every 132 minutes in these fixtures, second only to Thierry Henry (one every 114 minutes, minimum 10 goals).
- Only against Liverpool (5) has West Ham boss Manuel Pellegrini lost more Premier League games than he has against Spurs (3).
ARSENAL V SOUTHAMPTON
3pm After Pochettino was sacked, many people were asking how was he sacked before Emery? Arsenal have definitely gone backwards this season, however they remain on course to finish 5th or 6th which is probably just about as good as they are these days. Arsenal have been poor away from home for years now, but under Emery this lack of backbone has been creeping into their home play too. Despite this, the 1.53 on them to beat this Southampton side is too big. Southampton sit down in 19th position and have lost eight of their 12 games so far. Arsenal have won 18 of their last 24 home Premier League games against them and with Southampton conceding 23 goals in their last seven games while losing six of the seven, Arsenal should win easily here. The 1.53 is at least ten ticks too big.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Arsenal to beat Southampton at 1.53.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQarssou
- Arsenal are unbeaten in their last 24 home league games against Southampton (W18 D6) since a 0-1 loss in November 1987.
- Southampton have played more Premier League away games against Arsenal without winning than any side has against another in the competition’s history (20 – W0 D5 L15).
- Arsenal are winless in their last four Premier League games (D2 L2) – they’ve not gone longer without a win in the competition since a run of six between May-August 2011, while they last had a longer run in a single season back in February 2009 (5 games, which were all draws during a 21-game unbeaten run).
- Arsenal have won their last 35 of their last 36 home Premier League games against sides starting the day in the relegation zone, including the last 32 in a row (D1). Their last such defeat came against West Ham in April 2007.
- Southampton have lost six of their last seven Premier League games (D1), conceding 23 goals while netting just six in return in this run. However, seven of their eight points earned in the Premier League this season have come in away games (88%).
- Arsenal have a negative goal difference (-1) 12 games into a top-flight season for the first time since the 1982-83 campaign (also -1). They didn’t regain a positive goal difference in that season until their 30th match.
- Arsenal have lost more Premier League games in November than they have in any other month in the competition (34). Indeed, November is the month in which the Gunners have their lowest win rate (44%), points-per-game (1.6), goals-per-game (1.5) and highest goals conceded-per-game (1.2) ratios in the competition.
- No side has scored fewer first-half goals in the Premier League this season than Southampton (3), while only Norwich (16) have conceded more in the opening 45 minutes of games than Saints (15).
- Gabriel Martinelli is Arsenal’s highest scorer at the Emirates in all competitions this season with five goals. However, he’s yet to score in the Premier League, and has played just 57 minutes at home in the league for the Gunners.
- Southampton’s Danny Ings has scored in five different Premier League games this season, but hasn’t been on the winning side in any of them (D1 L4). Indeed, Ings has ended on the losing side in more games in which he’s scored than any other Premier League player this season (4).
BOURNEMOUTH V WOLVES
3pm This should be an interesting game and it’s the most open market of the day in the Premier League. The match odds at the time of writing currently trade; Bournemouth 2.88, Wolves 2.72 and the draw is 3.45. Bournemouth have a good record against Wolves, unbeaten in their last four home league games and Wolves have actually only managed one clean sheet in the last 13 meetings. Wolves started their Premier League campaign poorly this year but they have hit form now. They are unbeaten in their last seven, including a win against Manchester City. Bournemouth were struggling prior to beating Manchester United here, and then lost away to Newcastle. We feel that Wolves have the class to deal with this Bournemouth side and with the home team trading 2.88, we’re happy to lay Bournemouth.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Bournemouth at 2.88.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQbouwol
- Bournemouth are unbeaten in all four of their home league meetings with Wolves (W2 D2), with both teams finding the net in each match.
- Wolves have only kept one clean sheet in their 13 previous meetings with Bournemouth in all competitions, though it was in the Premier League last season and a 2-0 win at Molineux.
- Bournemouth are looking to secure back-to-back Premier League home victories for the first time since January, following their win against Manchester United last time out at the Vitality Stadium.
- Wolves are unbeaten in their last seven Premier League games (W3 D4), last enjoying a longer run without defeat in the top-flight between December 1973-February 1974 (eight games).
- Wolves have won just one of their last seven away league games, though four of those have ended level (L2) and the victory came at reigning champions Manchester City.
- Bournemouth have scored a league-high 67% of their Premier League goals this season in the first half of games (10/15), while Wolves have netted the highest share after half-time in the division (81% – 13/16).
- 47% of Bournemouth’s Premier League goals this season have come from set-piece situations (7/15, excluding penalties), the highest ratio in the division. However, only Liverpool (1), Leicester (0) and Tottenham (0) have conceded fewer goals in this manner this season than Wolves (2).
- Only Liverpool (21) are on a longer current run of scoring in consecutive Premier League games than Wolves (11), with this the Midlands side’s longest such run in the top-flight since October 1972 (17).
- Bournemouth’s Callum Wilson is without a goal in five Premier League games, with the English striker last having a longer drought in the competition between February-May 2018 (12 games).
- Only Raheem Sterling (14) has scored more goals in all competitions among Premier League players this season than Wolves’ Raúl Jiménez. The Mexican has scored in five of his last six appearances in all competitions, with these goals either being the winning strike (3) or the equalising goal in a draw for Wolves (2).
BRIGHTON V LEICESTER
3pm Leicester moved into second after the results prior to the International Break and they are playing some excellent football this season. They comfortably dealt with Arsenal at home and they’ve won their last two three away games in all competitions coming into this game. Brighton are having a solid season and are much improved from the way they finished last season but we expect Leicester to have too much firepower for this Brighton side. Leicester have been banging in the goals for fun this season and look full of confidence under Brendan Rodgers – they look massive at 2.08. We feel that they should be odds on and at 2.08, they are one of the best bets of the weekend in the Premier League.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Leicester to beat Brighton at 2.08.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQbrilei
- Brighton are winless in all four of their Premier League meetings with Leicester (D1 L3), conceding exactly two goals in each of their three defeats.
- Leicester have won just one of their last six away league games against Brighton (D2 L3), winning 2-0 in March 2018.
- Leicester have had a player sent off in both of their previous away Premier League games against Brighton, though they haven’t gone on to lose either fixture (W1 D1).
- Brighton are looking to win four consecutive home league games for the first time since April 2017 in the Championship, and for the first time ever in the top-flight.
- Leicester have won six of their last seven Premier League games (L1), winning the last four by an aggregate score of 15-1 and keeping a clean sheet in their last three. The Foxes have won five Premier League games in a row twice before, in April 2016 and April 2017.
- Leicester have conceded the fewest goals in the Premier League this season (8), while only Manchester City (35) have netted more than the Foxes (29).
- This is the first time Leicester are playing a Premier League game when starting the day in the top two of the table since the final game of their 2015-16 title winning season (1-1 vs Chelsea). Brighton have lost seven of their eight Premier League games against sides in the top two, including the last six in a row since a 1-0 win over Man Utd in May 2018.
- Leicester’s Jamie Vardy has scored in his last four Premier League games, netting six goals in total. He last scored in more consecutive games in the competition in his record run of 11 between August-November 2015.
- Neal Maupay has scored four Premier League goals this season, twice that of any other Brighton player.
- Since the start of last season, Leicester’s James Maddison has scored more Premier League goals from outside the box than any other player in the competition (7), including three of his four strikes this term.
CRYSTAL PALACE V LIVERPOOL
3pm Liverpool dispatched Manchester City with ease prior to the International Break, and now the Premier League title is theirs to lose. It’s extremely difficult to see them losing from here given the way that they have been playing and how much of an advantage they have over Manchester City now. Klopp will become even more of a hero in Liverpool! The league leaders are currently unbeaten in their last 29 Premier League games, winning 24 of those! They have been excellent and it’s hard to see how Crystal Palace can stop them. Liverpool have a good record against Palace and that will continue here. 1.49 looks cracking value on an away win and a banker for BETDAQ Multiples this weekend.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Liverpool to beat Crystal Palace at 1.49.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQcryliv
- Crystal Palace have lost six of their last seven Premier League meetings with Liverpool (W1), including each of the last four in a row. They’d won the previous three in a row before this run.
- Liverpool have won their last four away league games against Crystal Palace, more than they had in their previous 12 against the Eagles in the top-flight (W3 D5 L4).
- Liverpool are unbeaten in their last seven Premier League games in London since a 0-1 loss at Chelsea in May 2018 (W4 D3). It’s their longest unbeaten run in the capital in the top-flight since a run of 16 between May 1987 and October 1989.
- Liverpool are unbeaten in 29 Premier League games (W24 D5) – only four times in the competition’s history has a side had a longer unbeaten run in the competition: Arsenal (49, May 2003-Oct 2004), Chelsea (40, Oct 2004-Oct 2005), Arsenal (30, Dec 2001-Oct 2002) and Man City (30, Apr 2017-Jan 2018).
- Crystal Palace have lost three of their last four Premier League games, all by a 0-2 scoreline. The other finished 2-2 at Arsenal with the Eagles also having been 0-2 down in that match.
- Liverpool have had more different goalscorers than any other side in the Premier League this season (13), while Crystal Palace have had the fewest (4). Indeed, Liverpool have used just 18 different outfield players this season, meaning 72% of them have found the net for the Reds this season, another league-high (21% for Crystal Palace, also a league-
- Crystal Palace haven’t lost three consecutive home league games since March 2018, with the third game in that run back then coming against Liverpool (1-2).
- Liverpool’s Sadio Mané has scored seven goals in nine Premier League games against Crystal Palace, more than he has vs any other side.
- Liverpool’s Sadio Mané has scored in each of his last four Premier League games against Crystal Palace – the only players to score in five consecutive games against an opponent for the Reds in the competition are Michael Owen against Newcastle and Luis Suárez against Norwich.
- Liverpool’s Mohamed Salah has scored more winning goals than any other player in the Premier League this season (4), including netting the decisive goal in their 3-1 win against Manchester City last time out.
EVERTON V NORWICH
3pm Norwich lost a huge match with Watford prior to the International Break and now they sit in last position in the Premier League table. That was Watford’s first win of the season in the league and a win for Norwich would have really put distance between them. Norwich had home advantage as well, so it was a massive setback. Everton are having a poor season by their standards coming into this clash however with Norwich really struggling at the back, we expect a home win here. Norwich have a woeful record away from home in the Premier League and the 1.43 on a home win is big enough to back. Just like Liverpool to beat Crystal Palace, it’s another banker for BETDAQ Multiples this weekend.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Everton to beat Norwich at 1.43.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQevenor
- Everton have lost just one of their last 12 Premier League meetings with Norwich (W5 D6), going down 1-2 at Carrow Road in February 2013.
- After winning their first two Premier League away games against Everton in January and September 1993, Norwich are winless in their last six top-flight visits to Goodison Park (D2 L4).
- Norwich have lost their last 10 Premier League games against the six ever-present sides in the competition, since a 2-1 win at Man Utd in December 2015. The Canaries have conceded 28 goals in those 10 games.
- Everton have lost their last three Premier League games against promoted sides, last losing four such games in a row in February 2001. The Toffees have already lost to Aston Villa and Sheffield United this season, last losing to all three promoted clubs in 2000-01 (Charlton, Ipswich and Man City).
- Norwich have kept a joint league-low one Premier League clean sheet this season, conceding at least twice in 10 of their 12 games. The Canaries have also failed to score in a joint league-high six Premier League matches this season.
- Norwich have lost 18 of their past 21 Premier League away games, picking up just seven points from 63 available (W2 D1 L18).
- Norwich are the only side to have neither won a single point from a losing position, nor lost a point from ahead in the Premier League this season, with the Canaries winning both games in which they’ve taken a lead and losing all nine in which they’ve been behind (drawing the other 0-0).
- Everton have conceded more goals from set piece situations than any other Premier League side this season (8, excluding penalties), with those goals accounting for a league-high 44% of their total goals conceded (8/18).
- Everton manager Marco Silva has lost all three of his Premier League home games against sides starting the day bottom of the table – 0-2 vs Sunderland in May 2017 (with Hull), 1-2 vs Swansea in December 2017 (with Watford) and 1-3 vs West Ham in September 2018 (with Everton).
- Norwich’s only away goal this season came in their opening game, scored by Teemu Pukki at Liverpool. The last player to score away at both Merseyside clubs for a promoted side was David Nugent with Leicester in 2014-15.
WATFORD V BURNLEY
3pm Watford finally got their first win of the Premier League season before the International Break when beating Norwich 2-0. We have to remember though that Norwich have also been poor this season, and it’s hard to read too much into a result between the 19th and 20th placed sides. Burnley have been solid this season and given that Watford are without a win in their last ten home Premier League games, they look very short here at 2.38. A worry would be Burnley’s away form, they lost their most recent away game 3-0 against Sheffield United. However Sheffield United have been playing some good football and based on Watford’s poor home record and their play this season we have to lay the home team at 2.38. We fully expect a closer game than the odds suggest.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Watford at 2.38.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQwatbur
- Watford remained unbeaten in both Premier League meetings with Burnley last season (W1 D1), having lost three of their first four against the Clarets in the competition (W1).
- Burnley have lost just one of their last five away league games against Watford, though three of those have ended level (W1).
- Watford’s win at Norwich last time out ended a run of 15 Premier League games without a win (D6 L9), and the Hornets are now looking to secure back-to-back league victories for the first time since February.
- Watford are winless in their last 10 Premier League home games (D4 L6) – they’ve never gone 11 consecutive home games without a victory in their league history.
- Burnley haven’t kept a clean sheet in any of their last 13 away league games, since a goalless draw at Watford in January. The Clarets are winless in their last eight on the road in the Premier League (D4 L4).
- Watford are the only side in the Premier League yet to score from a corner or free-kick situation, with all eight of their goals coming from open play (6) or the penalty spot (2).
- In a league table based on away results only, Burnley would be in 19th place, while the Clarets would be 4th in a league table based on home games. Watford would be 19th in the home table as one of two sides yet to win at home in the Premier League this season.
- No side has used fewer different players in the Premier League this season than Burnley (18), while only Sheffield United (9) have made fewer changes to their starting XIs this season than the Clarets (10).
- After a run of 10 games and 26 shots without a Premier League goal, Watford’s Gerard Deulofeu has netted with two of his last four attempts and is looking to score in three consecutive Premier League appearances for the first time.
- Since the start of last season, Burnley’s Chris Wood has scored more headed goals than any other player in the Premier League (9), with three of the New Zealand’s five strikes this season being scored this way.
MANCHESTER CITY V CHELSEA
5.30pm This is undoubtedly the highlight of the weekend! The pressure is really on Manchester City this weekend after losing to Liverpool prior to the International Break. Anything bar three points would be a killer blow to City today with Liverpool fully expected to beat Crystal Palace earlier in the day. Many people are saying the Premier League title has already been decided, but more dropped points from City would really put the title race to bed.
The match odds at the time of writing currently trade; Manchester City 1.47, Chelsea 7.4 and the draw is 5.2. Chelsea have come a long way since losing to Manchester United 4-0 on the opening day and they now look very settled under Frank Lampard. They come into this clash one point ahead of City and full of confidence. We can’t have this City price at 1.47; it looks at least ten ticks too short given how well Chelsea have been playing recently. City have major problems at the back this season and Chelsea can get a result here. We’re very happy to lay City at the odds.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Manchester City at 1.47.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQmciche
- Manchester City have won five of their last eight Premier League meetings with Chelsea (L3), as many as they had in their previous 21 against them in the competition (W5 D4 L12).
- Chelsea have lost three of their last four Premier League away games against Man City (W1), including suffering their biggest ever defeat in the competition in this exact fixture last season (0-6).
- This is just the fifth time in the last nine seasons that Manchester City are facing Chelsea in a Premier League game while below them in the table – the Citizens haven’t won any of the previous four in that time (D2 L2).
- Manchester City have already lost three Premier League games this season – just one fewer than they did in the whole of 2018-19, and one more than they did in 2017-18.
- Chelsea are looking to win eight consecutive away games in all competitions for the first time in their history.
- Manchester City (19) are the highest home goalscorers in the Premier League this season, while Chelsea (18) have scored more on the road than any other side. The Blues have scored at least twice in their last five away league games, last having a longer such run in December 2008 (7).
- In his entire managerial career, only against Liverpool (5) has Man City boss Pep Guardiola lost more games in all competitions than he has against Chelsea (4).
- Man City striker Sergio Agüero has scored more Premier League goals against Chelsea than any other player in the competition’s history (10). The Argentine has netted eight goals in his last six against the Blues, including a hat-trick in this exact fixture last season.
- Chelsea’s Christian Pulisic has scored five goals in his last three Premier League games, and is looking to become the first ever American player to score in four consecutive appearances in the competition.
- Chelsea’s Tammy Abraham has scored the first goal in five different Premier League games this season, at least two more than any other player. The England forward is also the highest away scorer in the league in 2019-20, netting as many or more goals on the road than 15 of the other 19 clubs in the division (7).
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