PREMIER LEAGUE SATURDAY: We preview Saturday’s Premier League matches with recommended BETDAQ bets and extended match stats. The action includes the Manchester derby at 5.30pm – City v United!
EVERTON V CHELSEA
12.30pm The fixtures just keep on coming in the Premier League! After a week fixture list midweek, we kick off the action this weekend with Everton hosting Chelsea after sacking their manager Marco Silva. Everton start this weekend sitting in the bottom three and to be honest, Silva’s days were always numbered after their start to the season. They have the talent in the squad to turn it around, but a tough period of battling their way away from the bottom of the table awaits.
The match odds at the time of writing currently trade; Everton 3.75, Chelsea 2.06 and the draw is 3.95. Perhaps we can expect a manager sacking bounce from Everton here, although that theory doesn’t always work as we have seen with Arsenal this week! Chelsea haven’t been at their brilliant best in recent games but the 2.06 on an away win here is just too big to turn down. Everton have been woeful and while Chelsea could have been better against West Ham and Aston Villa, they have been far more reliable than Everton and they should be odds on given the gulf in class between the sides.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Chelsea to beat Everton at 2.06.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQeveche
- Everton won this exact fixture 2-0 back in March, and are looking to secure consecutive league wins against Chelsea for the first time since November 1994.
- Chelsea have failed to score in their last three Premier League games against Everton (D2 L1) – they’ve never gone four consecutive games without a goal against an opponent in the competition, last doing so in the top-flight against Bolton (1958-1960).
- Everton have won six of their last 10 home league games against Chelsea (D1 L3) – more than they had in their previous 24 against them at Goodison Park in the top-flight (W5 D10 L9).
- After a run of six consecutive clean sheets at Goodison Park in the Premier League, Everton have recorded just one shutout in their last six at home in the competition, conceding at
least twice in four of those games.
- Everton will play a Premier League match in December starting the day in the relegation zone for the first time since December 2003, when they drew 0-0 with Manchester City.
- Chelsea have scored 19 goals in their seven away league games this season – they’ve never scored more after seven games on the road in a single league campaign (level with
1966-67 and 2008-09). The Blues are averaging 6.7 shots on target per away game this season, their highest in a Premier League campaign since at least 2003-04.
- Against no side has Everton’s Gylfi Sigurdsson scored more Premier League goals than he has against Chelsea (5).
- Chelsea’s Christian Pulisic has been directly involved in six goals in his last five Premier League away games, scoring four and assisting two.
- Everton have won just two of their last 32 Premier League matches against teams starting the day in the top four (W2 D9 L21), both home wins over Arsenal in December 2016 and April 2019.
- Chelsea striker Tammy Abraham has been involved in 14 goals in his 14 Premier League appearances this season (11 goals, 3 assists). Abraham has scored more goals in Saturday matches than any other player this season (9).
BOURNEMOUTH V LIVERPOOL
3pm Liverpool were the team that were reasonable for the sacking of Everton manager Marco Silva and what different fortunes both sides from Merseyside are having recently. It’s not a good time to be an Everton fan and work with Liverpool fans every day! Liverpool continue on their merry way to picking up the Premier League title and it’s hard to see them losing a game at the moment. They look unstoppable and even when they find themselves in trouble, they manage to pull it out of the fire like they did away to Aston Villa. Klopp’s men have been excellent this season and they have an excellent record against Bournemouth. They always thrash Bournemouth, winning their last four Premier League games by three goals or more. At 1.44, they are a banker for any multiple this week.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Liverpool to beat Bournemouth at 1.44.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQbouliv
- Bournemouth are winless in their last five Premier League meetings with Liverpool (D1 L4) since beating them 4-3 in December 2016. The Cherries have conceded at least twice in
each of their last seven against the Reds.
- Liverpool have won their last four Premier League games against Bournemouth by an aggregate score of 14-0, including two 4-0 wins at the Vitality Stadium.
- Liverpool have won their last four Premier League games against Bournemouth, by a margin of 3+ goals each time. They’ve never won five consecutive top-flight games against an opponent by such a margin before.
- Bournemouth have lost each of their last four Premier League games, all of them by a 1-goal margin. They last lost five consecutive league games back in March 2013 as a League One side.
- Liverpool have won 27 Premier League matches during 2019, matching their tally from 2018. They last won more top-flight matches in a single calendar year in 1987 (28 wins).
- Liverpool have won 18 of their last 19 Premier League games at 3pm on a Saturday (D1), including each of their last 16 in a row. It’s the longest winning run on that day and kick-off slot in Premier League history.
- Liverpool’s Mohamed Salah has scored in all four of his Premier League games against Bournemouth (six goals in total), the only side he’s got a 100% record against in the competition.
- After a run that saw him net five goals in four games, Bournemouth’s Callum Wilson is without a goal in his last eight Premier League appearances – his third longest run without a goal in the competition (10 between September 2015-August 2016 and 12 between February-May 2018).
- Bournemouth have lost all six of their previous Premier League matches against teams starting the day top of the league. The only team with a worse 100% losing record in games of this type are Watford (10 defeats in 10 games).
- Sadio Mané has been involved in more Premier League goals for Liverpool this season than any other Reds player (9 goals, 4 assists). Since scoring in a 4-3 defeat away at Bournemouth in December 2016, Mané has scored in 39 Premier League games and ended on the losing side in none (W35 D4).
TOTTENHAM V BURNLEY
3pm Jose Mourinho had to face the slight embarrassment of going back to Old Trafford and losing during the week but he has bigger problems that than. His Spurs side have conceded eight goals in the four games he’s been in charge of and while they were able to outclass Bournemouth, Olympiakos and West Ham; they couldn’t do the same to Manchester United. They will likely outscore Burnley today too, but Mourinho needs to improve this Spurs side at the back if he has any hopes of moving up the table. Burnley have been really hit and miss this season, they come here off the back of two losses although one of those came against Manchester City. Prior to that they had won two and before that they had lost two! With home advantage and the amount of goals this Spurs side are scoring, they look good value at 1.42. Burnley were poor at the back in the last week, and Spurs can outscore them.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Tottenham to beat Burnley at 1.42.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQtotbur
- Tottenham have won seven of their last eight home games against Burnley in all competitions (D1) since a 1-4 defeat in the League Cup in January 1983.
- Burnley won their last Premier League match against Spurs, 2-1 at Turf Moor in February. They last won consecutive top-flight games against them back in April 1975.
- Burnley have lost 21 of their 28 Premier League games in London (75%), winning three and drawing four. Since beating West Ham 3-0 in March 2018, the Clarets have lost seven of their eight such games (D1), conceding 23 goals in the process.
- Tottenham Hotspur have conceded twice in each of José Mourinho’s first four matches in charge in all competitions. They haven’t conceded two or more goals in five consecutive games since February 2004 under David Pleat.
- Burnley won their last away league game 3-0 against Watford – they’ve not won consecutive league games on the road since a run of three in April 2018.
- Burnley have completed just 38 sequences of 10 or more passes in open play this season – fewer than any other Premier League team and 150 fewer than Spurs have managed (188).
- Tottenham’s Son Heung-min has been directly involved in 13 goals in his 14 appearances at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in all competitions, more than any other player (8 goals, 5 assists). The Korean averages a goal involvement every 83 minutes at the ground, compared to one every 101 minutes at Wembley and one every 93 minutes at the old White Hart Lane.
- Tottenham boss José Mourinho has faced Burnley at home more often without winning than he has any other side in all competitions in his managerial career, though all three such games against them have ended level (1 with Chelsea, 2 with Man Utd).
- Burnley’s Robbie Brady is averaging a goal or assist every 68 minutes in the Premier League this season (1 goal, 2 assists in 203 minutes), with all three of his goal involvements coming against ‘big six’ teams (two assists v Chelsea, one goal v Man City).
- Tottenham’s Dele Alli is scoring a goal every 85 minutes under José Mourinho in all competitions this season, compared to one every 374 minutes under Mauricio Pochettino. Alli last scored in three consecutive Premier League games in March 2017.
WATFORD V CRYSTAL PALACE
3pm Watford lost against during the week away to Leicester, but it was last weekend when they suffered a bigger setback when losing to Southampton. They now sit nailed to the bottom of the Premier League, three points adrift from Norwich and a further three away from Everton. It’s highly likely that they’ll end up going down now, and after finishing towards the top half of the table last season not many would have seen that coming. Surely panic has set in now. As always when clubs are fighting to stay up, home points are so important. Watford haven’t managed to win in their seven home games this season though, losing four of those. They are woefully short at 2.5 here against a Palace side who have won their last two games after a really tough run of fixtures. Watford look the best lay of the weekend at the odds.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Watford at 2.5.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQwatcry
- Watford won all three of their meetings with Crystal Palace in all competitions last season, all by a 2-1 scoreline. The Hornets had only won two of their previous 16 against the Eagles (D4 L10).
- Crystal Palace have only lost one of their last eight away league games against Watford (W3 D4), though it was in this exact fixture last season. They’ve not lost back-to-back away league games against Watford since October 1961.
- Watford are looking to win four consecutive matches in all competitions against Crystal Palace for the first time.
- Watford are the only Premier League side still without a home win this season (P7 – D3 L4). Only once have the Hornets gone eight home games from the start of a league season without a win (9 in 1990-91 in the second tier).
- Watford are winless in their seven Premier League home games this season (D3 L4) – only eight sides have ever failed to win any of their opening eight in a season in the competition (most recently Aston Villa in 2015-16), with only one of those eight sides surviving relegation at the end of the campaign (Middlesbrough in 2000-01).
- Crystal Palace have won nine of their 16 away league games in 2019 (56%) – only in 2015 (61% – 11/18) have they ever had a higher win rate away from home in a calendar year in their league history.
- Crystal Palace have won their last two Premier League games without conceding – they last won three in a row in August 2018 (4), while they last won three in a row without conceding in March 2017.
- Watford are one of only two sides in the top four tiers of English league football yet to reach double figures for goals (nine) this season, along with League One’s Bolton Wanderers (also nine).
- Watford haven’t scored a home Premier League goal in open play since September against Arsenal – they’ve gone 397 minutes without a goal in open play since then, scoring two penalties in that time.
- Crystal Palace’s Jeffrey Schlupp has scored in consecutive Premier League games for the first time, with both these appearances coming as a substitute. His previous two goals for the club in the competition had come across a 27-game spell.
MANCHESTER CITY V MANCHESTER UNITED
5.30pm Liverpool might be running away with the Premier League but this is undoubtedly the highlight of the weekend and all eyes will be on Manchester Saturday evening. United Haven’t really challenged City since Ferguson left and these days that is reflected in the prices. City put four goals past Burnley during the week, but they continue to have trouble at the back and United will be hoping that they can outscore City. We’re bound to see drama and goals in this one.
The match odds at the time of writing currently trade; Manchester City 1.34, Manchester United 10.5 and the draw is 6.0. United did well to beat Spurs during the week and you get a sense with this United side that they are better in big games. Their players “turn up” and perform poorly against the smaller sides. City will more than likely get the job done here but they look too short at 1.34. They have had plenty of errors at the back this season and with United attack looking good at the moment we’re happy to take a punt and lay City.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Manchester City at 1.34.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQmcimun
- Only Chelsea (18) have won more Premier League games against Man Utd than Man City have (15), with 10 of those victories coming in the last eight years (67%).
- Man Utd have only lost one of their last four away league games against Man City (W2 D1), though it was in this exact fixture last season (1-3).
- Man City won 3-1 and 2-0 against Man Utd in the Premier League last season – the last team to beat the Red Devils by 2+ goals in three consecutive top-flight meetings was Liverpool, who did so in four in a row between 1978-1979.
- Manchester City have won 24 of their last 27 Premier League home games (D1 L2), with the Citizens netting 81 goals in that time, only failing to score on one occasion.
- Manchester United have won just one of their last 11 away league games (D4 L6), and are without a clean sheet in their last 12 on the road. They last conceded in more consecutive away league games in April 1986 (15 games).
- Manchester United are unbeaten in their last five Premier League games against ‘big six’ teams (W2 D3), including all four games in 2019-20 – they last went six consecutive such games without defeat back in March 2016 under Louis van Gaal.
- Manchester United have won seven away league games under Ole Gunnar Solskjær – however, the average starting league position of those seven clubs is 14th, with third placed Tottenham in January 2019 the only side they’ve beaten starting the day in the top half of the table.
- Pep Guardiola has won four of his six Premier League games against Man Utd (D1 L1) – in Man City’s top-flight history only Les McDowall (7/24) and Joe Mercer (5/10) have won more against the Red Devils in charge of the Citizens.
- Man City’s Gabriel Jesus hasn’t scored in any of his last 10 appearances at the Etihad in all competitions, since netting against Schalke in the Champions League in March. His last 11 goals for the club have all been scored away from Man City’s home.
- Marcus Rashford has been directly involved in 14 goals in his last 13 games in all competitions for Manchester United and England (12 goals, 2 assists).
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