PREMIER LEAGUE SATURDAY: We preview Saturday’s Premier League games with a recommended BETDAQ bet and extended stats for each match. The late kick off is MAN CITY v SPURS at 5.30pm.
ARSENAL V BURNLEY
12.30pm It’s Matchday Two in the Premier League and we have a busy Saturday ahead! We start with Arsenal hosting Burnley after the Gunners got off to a winning start away to Newcastle last weekend. Obviously their form away is always going to be a talking point and something for them to improve upon; however they have been excellent at home and have a great record against Burnley so we don’t see any surprises here. Burnley started their campaign very positively though; comfortably dispatching Southampton 3-0. Ozil and Kolasinac are expected to return for Arsenal and we will see plenty of goals in this one. Over 2.5 goals is trading 1.68 at the time of writing and considering how impressive Burnley were last weekend we can see them getting on the scoresheet here as well – even over 3.5 goals looks good value at 2.66 but out best bet to start the day is over 2.5.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Over 2.5 goals at 1.68.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQArsBrl
- Arsenal have won their last 10 matches against Burnley in all competitions, a run stretching back to March 2010.
- Burnley have won just one of their last 19 away games against Arsenal in all competitions, winning 1-0 at Highbury in the top-flight in September 1974 (W1 D3 L15).
- In the Premier League, Arsenal have won their last nine games against Burnley – they have only had longer runs against Man City (11 between 1994 and 2004) and Newcastle United (10 between 2012 and 2017).
- At the Emirates, Arsenal have won all seven games against Burnley, scoring 21 goals and conceding just four; the only team the Gunners have faced more often at home since 2006-07 and won each game against is Stoke City (10 wins in 10 games).
- Arsenal have lost their first home Premier League match of the season in five of the last eight seasons (W2 D1 L5), losing 0-2 to Manchester City last season.
- Arsenal are looking to kick-off a Premier League campaign with two consecutive victories for the first time since 2009-10, when they beat Everton and Portsmouth.
- Burnley have never won both of their opening two matches to a Premier League season before, last doing so in the top-flight in 1973-74 and in any division in the 2006-07 Championship.
- Among all teams to have featured in more than two Premier League campaigns, Burnley have conceded more goals-per-game in away games vs London clubs than any other side (2.3 – 61 goals in 27 games). The Clarets have taken just one point from their last 21 available in the capital (W0 D1 L6).
- Burnley boss Sean Dyche has lost all eight of his Premier League matches against Arsenal – the only manager with a worse 100% losing ratio against an opponent is Gary Megson against Liverpool, who lost all nine of his games against the Reds.
- Arsenal forward Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang has scored a brace in all three of his Premier League games against Burnley – only two players have ever scored two or more in four consecutive games against an opponent; Michael Owen vs Newcastle United between 1998 and 2001 and Harry Kane vs Everton between 2017 and 2018.
- Among the 56 players who’ve played 10 or more Premier League games for Burnley, goalkeeper Nick Pope is the only one to have won more games than he’s lost for the Clarets in the competition (14 wins, 11 defeats).
ASTON VILLA V BOURNEMOUTH
3pm Aston Villa may have lost to Spurs on the opening weekend, but they gave them a scare in the first half and they will be pleased with how they played. If they can perform like that every week, they can get used to life in the Premier League as they’ll be nowhere near the bottom three. It will be very interesting to see how a game like this goes – at home to a midtable side; these are the types of games that they need to pick up points in. Bournemouth will fancy themselves to pick up three points, however Villa come into the game as market favourites. Bournemouth have had a woeful run away from home over the last season and they could only draw last weekend against Sheffield United – they may feel like they have the upper hand against a new side to the Premier League; however we can’t have Bournemouth away from home. They are a tempting lay at 3.25, however we’re going to go for the Villa win at a nice price of 2.4.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Aston Villa to beat Bournemouth at 2.4.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQAstBne
- This is the third Premier League meeting between Aston Villa and Bournemouth – the away side has won the previous two, with the Villans winning 1-0 at the Vitality Stadium and the Cherries winning 2-1 at Villa Park in the 2015-16 season.
- In all competitions, this is just the eighth match between Aston Villa and Bournemouth, with Villa winning four of the previous seven (D1 L2).
- Aston Villa faced 31 shots in their first Premier League match of 2019-20 against Spurs – the most of any club on MD1 and the most they’ve faced in a league game since February 2010, also against Spurs (34 shots).
- Since joining the Premier League in 2015-16, Bournemouth have collected just eight points in 11 away matches against newly-promoted sides (W2 D2 L7).
- Bournemouth are the eighth team to start a Premier League campaign with two games against newly promoted sides. The most recent were Swansea City in 2016-17, while the only one of the previous seven not to win either match were Wigan in 2011-12.
- Aston Villa have taken just one point from their last 42 available in the Premier League (W0 D1 L13), with their last victory in the competition coming against Norwich in February 2016 (2-0).
- Bournemouth have scored at least three goals in each of their last three away league games, though have only gone on to win one of those (W1 D1 L1). There have been just six instances of a team scoring 3+ goals in 4+ consecutive Premier League away games, with Liverpool’s run of five between November-December 2017 the most recent.
- Aston Villa manager Dean Smith has won three of his five league games against Bournemouth (W3 D1 L1) – all with Walsall in League One – including a victory in his only previous meeting with Eddie Howe in January 2013.
- Aston Villa midfielder John McGinn could become the first Scottish player to score in his first two Premier League appearances, while only two players have found the net in their first two appearances in the competition for Villa – Dalian Atkinson in August 1992 and Dion Dublin in November 1998.
- Bournemouth striker Callum Wilson has been directly involved in eight goals in his last five away games in the Premier League (4 goals, 4 assists).
BRIGHTON V WEST HAM
3pm Unfortunately for West Ham they sit bottom of the Premier League table after conceding five goals to Manchester City on the opening weekend; however they won’t be the first team to concede five goals or more to City this season so there’s no real shame in it for the midtable sides. City are just that good and they have to accept it. They will feel like they have a good chance of getting three points here, although Brighton were absolutely superb in their opening fixture against Watford. They blew them away to win 3-0 away from home which came as a slight surprise given how poorly they finished last season and how solid Watford have been in recent years. It’s unfair to judge teams on one game, however after seeing Brighton last weekend, we like them to win here at 2.64. It looks a good value price with home advantage after starting the season so well.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Brighton to beat West Ham at 2.64.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQBriHam
- Brighton and Hove Albion have won three of their four Premier League games against West Ham (W3 D1 L0), winning more games against the Hammers than any other team in the competition.
- In the top-flight, West Ham have lost all four of their away visits to Brighton, losing twice in 1982 and twice in 2018.
- In their seventh season as a top-flight club, Brighton are looking to win their first two top-flight games of a season for the first time.
- West Ham have lost each of their last eight Premier League games in August, conceding 27 goals across those defeats; their last win in the month was in 2016-17 against Bournemouth.
- Brighton haven’t scored more than once in any of their last 12 Premier League home games, failing to score in five of their last nine at the Amex Stadium.
- Both Brighton and West Ham had the fewest shots of any Premier League side on MD1 (5 each), though Brighton won their match 3-0 while West Ham lost 0-5.
- Brighton striker Glenn Murray has scored six Premier League goals against West Ham – more than against any other club, netting four with the Seagulls in four appearances.
- West Ham manager Manuel Pellegrini has never beaten Brighton in the Premier League in two attempts (W0 D1 L1) – the Seagulls are one of only three teams he has failed to register a win against, along with former side Man City (three games) and Wolves (two games).
- Pascal Groß has assisted in each of his three Premier League appearances for Brighton against West Ham; the last player to assist in four consecutive games against an opponent was Christian Eriksen against Stoke City in February 2017.
- Brighton manager Graham Potter’s second Premier League game as a player was against West Ham, featuring for 22 minutes for Southampton in August 1996 in a 1-2 defeat at Upton Park.
EVERTON V WATFORD
3pm This will be a very interesting game between two evenly matched sides. They’ll both be trying to push for the Europa League spots this season and both got off to a disappointing start last weekend. Watford were tonked 3-0 at home against Brighton, while Everton failed to beat Crystal Palace away from home. Palace are going through a little transfer saga with Zaha but Watford had no excuses and they haven’t got a good record coming to Everton either. Another loss for Watford will definitely set the alarm bells ringing after a brilliant season last year and they are winless in their last 13 visits to Goodison in all competitions. Despite that stat we still feel there is value in laying Everton – at the time of writing they are trading 1.76 which looks very short considering there isn’t much between these sides. Watford had a bad start, but Everton hardly set the world on fire and we just feel this one will be closer than odds of 1.76 on Everton suggest. We’re happy to lay them from a value point of view.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Everton at 1.76.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQEvrWtf
- Everton won six of their first nine Premier League games against Watford (W6 D2 L1) but are winless in their last three against the Hornets (W0 D1 L2).
- Watford are winless in all 13 away matches against Everton in all competitions (W0 D2 L11), leading in three of their last four matches at Goodison Park but failing to win any.
- Everton kept five consecutive home Premier League clean sheets at the end of the 2018-19 season – they’ve only had a longer such run in the competition once previously, keeping seven in a row between March and September 2013.
- Everton haven’t lost their first home game of a Premier League season since 2011-12 (0-1 vs QPR), winning three and drawing four since then.
- Watford have lost their last four Premier League games – they haven’t lost five in a row since losing their final six games of the 2016-17 season under Walter Mazzarri.
- Everton are looking to win five consecutive Premier League home games for the first time since a run of eight under Ronald Koeman in April 2017.
- In the top-flight, Watford have collected five points from a possible 72 in 24 away games against the two Merseyside clubs (Everton and Liverpool), winning one, drawing two and losing 21 of those games.
- 14 of the last 15 goals scored in Premier League games between Everton and Watford have been scored in the second half; at Goodison Park, 16 of the 23 goals scored in this fixture in the Premier League have been netted in the second half (70%).
- Against Crystal Palace, Everton’s Morgan Schneiderlin became the 12 th different player to be sent off under Marco Silva in the Premier League – five more than have been sent off under any other manager since Silva’s first game in the competition on January 14 th , 2017.
- Everton’s Gylfi Sigurdsson has played eight Premier League games against Watford without registering a single goal or assist. The Hornets are the side he’s faced the most in the competition without a goal involvement.
NORWICH V NEWCASTLE
3pm Norwich fought so hard to get to the Premier League, only to be handed Liverpool away on the opening weekend! Talk about a tough start and their hopes of a good start came crashing down very quickly. They will be looking at this fixture as a good chance to get three points and if we are being serious – these are the type of games that they have to be picking up points in if they are to stay in the Premier League next season. We expect a pretty close game here and Norwich look too short at the current 2.28. Newcastle had a tough summer and came up short against Arsenal last weekend, and while Norwich look like a side who can score goals – Newcastle are a very tough side to beat and we can’t have the home side at 2.28 from a value point of view. We’re happy to lay Norwich.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Norwich at 2.28.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQNrwNew
- Norwich are unbeaten in their last six home Premier League games against Newcastle United (W4 D2 L0) since losing their first match against them in the competition at Carrow Road in January 1994 under Mike Walker.
- In 2015-16 – the last time the sides met in the Premier League – the two games between Norwich and Newcastle produced 13 goals, the most of any fixture that season.
- Newcastle have won their first away league match of the season in just two of the last 21 seasons (W2 D8 L11), winning in 2007-08 against Bolton Wanderers and 2011-12 against Sunderland.
- Newcastle have won just two of their last 28 Premier League away games in August (D10 L16). They’re winless in their last seven such games, failing to score a single goal in that run since beating Sunderland 1-0 in 2011, when Steve Bruce was in the opposite dugout.
- Newcastle have won two of their last three Premier League away games (D1), as many as they had in their previous 19 on the road (W2 D7 L10). The Magpies are looking to secure back-to-back away league wins for the first time since January 2018.
- None of the last seven managers to take charge of Norwich in the Premier League (Deehan, Megson, Worthington, Lambert, Hughton, Adams, Neil) have won their first home match in charge of the Canaries in the competition; the last to do so was Mike Walker in August 1992 in their first home match in the Premier League against Chelsea.
- The last four Newcastle managers have all lost their first away Premier League match in charge of the club – Alan Pardew, John Carver, Steve McClaren and Rafael Benitez.
- Newcastle manager Steve Bruce’s three away Premier League matches against Norwich have all ended in defeat with different clubs – May 2005 with Birmingham, September 2011 with Sunderland and January 2014 with Hull City.
- Norwich striker Teemu Pukki has scored with his first shot on target in each of his last eight league seasons, with Schalke 04, Celtic, Brøndby IF & Norwich City. The Finnish forward has scored with three of his last four shots on target in league football.
- Only three previous Newcastle managers have lost both of their first two Premier League games in charge of the club – Kevin Keegan, Ruud Gullit and Chris Hughton.
SOUTHAMPTON V LIVERPOOL
3pm Prior to 2016, Southampton had proven to be somewhat of a bogey side for Liverpool; however Klopp has corrected that in in recent years and Liverpool have won the last four meetings while scoring 11 goals along the way. Liverpool have started the season superbly too – they impressed when drawing against City, banging in goals for fun against Norwich and then lifted the Super Cup against Chelsea during the week. Southampton were tonked 3-0 away to Burnley on the opening weekend and we can’t see past a comfortable Liverpool win here. At 1.52 they look at least ten ticks too big and we expect it won’t be long before we start seeing prices on Liverpool that are similar to the prices that Man City are going off. Perhaps that will long this season when everyone sees just how far away the top two teams are from everyone else. Liverpool at 1.52 looks banker material today.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Liverpool to beat Southampton at 1.52.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQSouLvp
- Southampton have lost their last four Premier League matches against Liverpool, conceding 11 goals and scoring just once in this run.
- Liverpool have only lost one of their last 11 Premier League meetings with Southampton (W7 D3), going down 2-3 in March 2016. The Reds had lost five of their previous seven against Saints prior to this run.
- Southampton have won their opening home Premier League game of the season in just one of their 20 previous seasons (W1 D10 L9), winning 3-2 against Blackburn Rovers in 2004-05.
- Liverpool could equal their best ever Premier League winning run of 11 consecutive victories if they beat Southampton, with their previous run coming between February and April 2014 under Brendan Rodgers.
- Liverpool ended the 2018-19 season with a run of four consecutive away Premier League wins – they haven’t won five in a row on the road since a run of six between February and April 2014.
- Southampton have both scored and conceded in 13 of their last 14 Premier League home games, with the exception being a 2-0 win against Fulham in February.
- This is the third meeting between Ralph Hasenhüttl and Jürgen Klopp in all competitions – Klopp has won the previous two, with Borussia Dortmund against VfR Aalen in the DFB-Pokal in October 2012 and a 3-1 win for Liverpool against Southampton last season.
- Under Jürgen Klopp, Liverpool have faced Southampton 11 times in all competitions (W5 D3 L3) – against no side has the German lost more often with the Reds than against Saints (also three defeats against Leicester and Swansea).
- In 12 Premier League games against opponents from the south coast (Brighton, Bournemouth and Southampton), Liverpool’s Mohamed Salah has found the net in 11 of those, scoring 14 goals and assisting another three.
- Liverpool’s Trent Alexander-Arnold has registered an assist in his last five Premier League appearances – in Premier League history, only two players have assisted in six games in a row; Cesc Fàbregas (six between April 2011 and September 2014) and Mesut Özil (seven between September and November 2015).
MANCHESTER CITY V TOTTENHAM
5.30pm This fixture is definitely the highlight of Matchday Two! City have won the last four Premier League clashes with Spurs; however who could forget the Champions League meeting between the pair! The game here was absolutely epic, with goals coming from everywhere. We don’t see the same amount of action this evening, however it’s hard not to see goals in this fixture looking at the sides.
The match odds at the time of writing currently trade; Manchester City 1.4, Tottenham 9.2 and the draw is 5.6. City will probably steamroll a lot of sides at home this season, however you have to say that 1.4 looks a little short against a side like Spurs. There’s no doubt that Spurs are better than Arsenal, Chelsea and United these days so we can expect a pretty close affair here. Spurs went down 1-0 against Villa, but bounced back well and if they set up correctly from the start today they can cause City problems. We’re happy to lay the 1.4 from a value point of view – we can just see the game being closer than those odds suggest.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Manchester City at 1.4.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQMncTot
- Manchester City have won their last four Premier League games against Tottenham Hotspur – they have never won five consecutive league games against them, with this their 141st meeting.
- Spurs have taken just four points from their last nine Premier League visits to the Etihad Stadium against Manchester City (W1 D1 L7).
- Manchester City haven’t lost their opening home league match in a top-flight season since 1989-90 against Southampton – they are unbeaten in 24 matches since (W16 D8 L0).
- Spurs lost their last six away Premier League matches of the 2018-19 season – they haven’t lost seven in a row since December 2000 under George Graham.
- When conceding no more than one goal in a Premier League match, Manchester City are unbeaten in 83 Premier League games since a 0-1 loss at Liverpool in December 2016. However, when conceding more than one goal, the Citizens have lost their last six Premier League matches.
- Tottenham had more shots than any other Premier League side on MD1 (31). 18 of these efforts came in the 26 minutes Christian Eriksen was on the pitch (58%).
- Man City’s Sergio Aguero has scored 96 Premier League goals at the Etihad Stadium. One more will see him go joint-third with Alan Shearer and St James’ Park for most Premier League goals scored at a specific stadium.
- Raheem Sterling – who scored a hat-trick on the opening weekend – has been directly involved in six goals in his last six games for Man City against Spurs in all competitions (5 goals, 1 assist), including netting four in his last three against them at the Etihad.
- Mauricio Pochettino was the first manager to win away from home against Pep Guardiola in a league match, doing so in February 2009 with Espanyol against Barcelona – the only manager to win two away league games against him is José Mourinho.
- Spurs striker Harry Kane failed to score in any of his first 14 Premier League games in August but has since netted in his last three games in the month (four goals), scoring with four of his last five shots on target after failing with his first 10.
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