PREMIER LEAGUE SUNDAY: We look ahead to Sunday’s Premier League fixtures with a recommended BETDAQ bet for each game together with extended match stats. The action starts at 1.30pm with BRIGHTON v CHELSEA, at 1.30pm we have SOUTHAMPTON v ARSENAL and then the highlight of the weekend LIVERPOOL v MAN U at 4pm.
BRIGHTON V CHELSEA
1.30pm We kick off Super Sunday in the Premier League with Brighton hosting Chelsea and the home side won’t be looking forward to this fixture. Brighton have lost their last eight against Chelsea in all competitions while conceding 18 goals along the way! Chelsea come into this fixture off the back of two losses in the Premier League and they will need a big response – we aren’t reading too much into their midweek game in the Europa League as they were already certain of top spot in that group.
Chelsea are odds on favourites with the match odds at the time of writing currently trading; Brighton 8.4, Chelsea 1.48 and the draw is 4.8. Brighton’s home form is very interesting, on face value it is very impressive – they’ve lost just once in their last ten games; however 80% of the Premier League home losses have come against the ‘Big Six’ and perhaps that just highlights that they struggle against the big sides here. Chelsea have an excellent record against them too and we’re happy to back them at the odds to outclass Brighton.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Chelsea to beat Brighton at 1.48.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQBriChl
- Brighton have lost each of their last eight games against Chelsea in all competitions, conceding 18 goals and scoring just once in return.
- Chelsea have won each of their six games against Brighton in league competition; their best 100% record against a single opponent in league history.
- Brighton are looking for their first victory against Chelsea in any competition since January 1933, when they won 2-1 in an FA Cup third round tie.
- Chelsea have won their first two Premier League games against Brighton without conceding (2-0 and 4-0) – the only other team they have won their first three games against in the competition without conceding is Portsmouth (won the first six without conceding).
- Brighton have lost just one of their last 10 home Premier League games (W5 D4). However, 80% of their home defeats in the competition have been against ‘big six’ opposition (4/5).
- Chelsea have lost their last two Premier League away games, last losing three in a row in March. They’d only lost one of their previous nine before this run (W7 D1 L1).
- While only Wolves (18) have used fewer players in the Premier League than Chelsea this season (20), no side has had more different goalscorers than the Blues (12). A league-high 60% of players to play for Chelsea in the Premier League this season have scored.
- Brighton manager Chris Hughton won his first ever game against Chelsea in September 2010 (4-3 in the League Cup while in charge of Newcastle), but has gone winless in eight meetings in all competitions since then (D2 L6).
- Chelsea’s Eden Hazard has provided an assist in each of his last three Premier League games (4 assists in total). He’s never assisted a goal in four consecutive games in the competition before, with Cesc Fabregas in September 2014 the last player to do so for Chelsea.
- Glenn Murray’s goals have been worth nine points to Brighton in the Premier League this season – no player’s goals have been worth more for their side (level with Aubameyang for Arsenal and Richarlison for Everton).
SOUTHAMPTON V ARSENAL
1.30pm Arsenal have been very impressive in recent weeks and have definitely stamped their “New Arsenal” approach on games. They’ve kept their unbeaten run while playing Spurs and United and they grinded out a 1-0 win against Huddersfield last weekend too. They seem to be grinding out a lot of good results this season and that’s something which they haven’t been doing in recent years. Southampton have a good record against Arsenal; however Arsenal appear to be improving and Southampton are going backwards.
The match odds at the time of writing currently trade; Southampton 4.0, Arsenal 1.98 and the draw is 3.95. Arsenal have only won once in their last seven visits here however we still feel that they look massive at 1.98. Prior to this weekend’s fixtures; Southampton were sitting in 19th position having only won once all season. Southampton are still struggling to score goals and Cardiff managed to beat them 1-0 last weekend. In the past you would worry about Arsenal going here but not this Arsenal team – they look to have a backbone this season and they have the talent to brush Southampton away today. 1.98 looks at least ten ticks too big.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Arsenal to beat Southampton at 1.98.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQSpnArs
- Southampton are winless in their last four games against Arsenal in all competitions (D1 L3), since a 2-0 victory in the League Cup quarter-final in November 2016.
- Arsenal have lost just two of their last 17 games against Southampton in the Premier League (W9 D6), with both of those defeats coming in 2015 with Ronald Koeman in charge of the Saints.
- Among teams they have faced at least five times in the Premier League, Southampton’s win percentage against Arsenal is their lowest against any opponent in competition history (15.8% – 38 games, six wins).
- Arsenal have won only one of their last seven away games against Southampton in the Premier League (D4 L2), with that lone victory coming in May 2017 (2-0).
- Southampton are winless in their last 14 matches in all competitions – only once have they ever had a longer run (20 games in March 1989).
- Arsenal have scored at least twice in their last seven away Premier League games – only once in the top-flight have they had a longer such run (9 between April-October 1930).
- Arsenal have lost just one of their last 37 Premier League games against sides starting the day in the relegation zone (W30 D6 L1), losing 1-3 at Swansea in January.
- Southampton manager Ralph Hasenhüttl lost his first Premier League game in charge. The last time a manager’s first ever Premier League win came against Arsenal was in August 2015 (Slaven Bilic).
- Southampton’s Charlie Austin has scored in all four of his Premier League games against Arsenal. Only Raheem Sterling versus Bournemouth (6 games) has a better 100% record of scoring against a specific opponent in Premier League history.
- Arsenal boss Unai Emery has made more substitutions before the start of the second half of Premier League games than any other manager this season (14). The Gunners have also had their substitutes score a league-high eight goals in 2018-19.
LIVERPOOL V MANCHESTER UNITED
4pm Only Barcelona and Real Madrid have a rivalry like this one going back decades – however Manchester United aren’t exactly competing for league titles anymore. It is a sign of the times to see Liverpool so short in a big game like this; however there’s no getting away from the fact that Untied just aren’t as good as they once were and they are struggling to win games this season – even a spot in the top four looks gone already. A win here would obviously be a huge boost to the club but what tactics will we see from Mourinho – will he go for the win or take a draw?
The match odds at the time of writing currently trade; Liverpool 1.6, Manchester United 6.6 and the draw is 4.3. Liverpool have no doubt been the better side this season; however they look very short at 1.6. They haven’t won against United in the Premier League in the last eight meetings and Mourinho has really been able to shut down Liverpool’s attackers in recent meetings. That has made for very poor viewing – we are due a classic – however we have to lay Liverpool at 1.6 here as it simply looks too short. Mourinho will make the teams look closer than those odds suggest with his tactics, and don’t rule out a surprise United win; they have played well against the bigger sides this season.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Liverpool at 1.6.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQLvrMun
- This will be the 201st meeting between Liverpool and Manchester United in all competitions, with the Merseysiders winning 65 and suffering 80 defeats (55 draws).
- Manchester United are looking to win back-to-back league games against Liverpool for the first time since January 2016, when they won four in a row.
- Liverpool are winless in their last eight Premier League games against Manchester United (D3 L5) – they haven’t gone longer without a win against the Red Devils in league competition since April 1988 (12 games).
- The last two games between Liverpool and Manchester United at Anfield have finished level (both 0-0) – only once previously have these sides drawn three consecutive games in all competitions on Merseyside (in January 1921).
- This is the most points Manchester United have been behind Liverpool in the league table before Christmas since Christmas Eve 1990 (16 points), while it’s the most points Liverpool have been ahead of Manchester United ahead of a top-flight meeting between the sides since March 1990 (21 points).
- Liverpool are currently on their joint-best Premier League unbeaten run (17 games). They last had a longer run in the top-flight between March-November 1990 (23 games).
- Liverpool haven’t conceded more than once in any of their last 19 Premier League games (seven conceded in total), their longest such run in the top-flight since a run of 38 between April 1978 and April 1979.
- Manchester United have conceded 26 goals in 16 Premier League games this season – just two fewer than they conceded in the whole of 2017-18 (28 in 38).
- Manchester United manager Jose Mourinho has won 50% of his Premier League away games at Anfield (4/8); the best win percentage among managers with 5+ such games in the competition.
- Liverpool’s attacking trio of Roberto Firmino, Mohamed Salah and Sadio Mane are all yet to score or assist in a Premier League game for the club against Manchester United (combined total of 855 minutes played).
- Manchester United’s Juan Mata has been involved in seven Premier League goals against Liverpool (3 goals, 4 assists), including three in his three at Anfield. Only against Newcastle (8) has the Spaniard been involved in more goals in the competition.
- As well as being the joint-top scorer in the Premier League this season (10), Liverpool’s Mohamed Salah has scored the opening goal in more Premier League games (7) and the winning goal in more Premier League games (6) than any other player this term.
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