PREMIER LEAGUE SUNDAY: We preview Sunday’s Premier League matches with a recommended BETDAQ bet and extended match stats. The action starts at 2pm with NORWICH v ARSENAL and WOLVES v SHEFFIELD UNITED, followed by LEICESTER v EVERTON and MAN U v EVERTON at 4.30pm.
NORWICH V ARSENAL
2pm Last weekend it was Spurs, this weekend it’s Arsenal! Unai Emery is gone and one has to wonder where do Arsenal go from here. As we seen with Manchester United, the grass is never greened after a manager leaves after so long in the job. Even look at where Everton are now after Moyes. Arsenal fans pushed Wenger out, and now find themselves in a worst position. You’d love to say it should be a lesson to other clubs but it won’t! Anyway, will we see the manager sacked bounce from the Arsenal players here?
The match odds at the time of writing currently trade; Norwich 4.3, Arsenal 1.82 and the draw is 4.5. Arsenal haven’t managed to win in their last five Premier League games, and the main reason why Emery was sacked was surely their poor form kept into their home form. We all know Arsenal have always been unreliable away from home. Norwich may have lost 2-0 against Watford here but they beat Everton last weekend and should be bang up for this game. We just can’t have Arsenal as short as 1.82 and we have to lay them.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Arsenal at 1.82.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQnorars
- After beating Arsenal 4-2 at Highbury on the first ever day of Premier League action in August 1992, Norwich have won just one of their last 15 against the Gunners in the competition (W1 D6 L8).
- Arsenal have lost just one of their last 14 top-flight away games against Norwich (W5 D8), going down 0-1 in October 2012.
- Since beating Manchester City 3-2 in September, Norwich have lost their last three home league games by an aggregate score of 2-10 (1-5, 1-3 and 0-2). Only once before have they lost four consecutive Premier League games at Carrow Road (April 2014- August 2015).
- Arsenal are winless in their last five Premier League games (D3 L2). They last went six without a win in the competition between April-August 2011, while they last went six without a win in the same season back in October-December 1994.
- Arsenal have lost their last two away league games against promoted sides (vs Wolves and Sheffield United), last losing three such games in a row between October 1983- November 1984 (vs QPR, Leicester and Sheffield Wednesday).
- Only bottom three sides Norwich (3) and Watford (4) have scored fewer away goals than Arsenal in the Premier League this season (5). The Gunners are without a goal in their last 212 minutes of football away from home, mustering just five shots on target in that run.
- In 51 Premier League games under Unai Emery, Arsenal have faced (717) 88 shots more than they’ve had themselves (629). In their final 51 games under Arsene Wenger, they outshot their opponents by 177 (771-594).
- Arsenal’s Mesut Özil scored his first ever Premier League goals against Norwich, netting twice in a 4-1 win at the Emirates in October 2013. To date, it’s the only time he’s scored more than once in a match in the competition.
- Emiliano Buendía has created more chances (28) and provided more assists (4) in the Premier League than any other Norwich player this season. The Argentine has provided more assists without finding the net himself than any other Premier League player this season (4).
- Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang has scored 80% of Arsenal’s away goals in the Premier League this season (4/5). The Gabonese striker has also netted eight goals in his 10 appearances against promoted sides for the Gunners.
WOLVES V SHEFFIELD UNITED
2pm This should be a very good game between two in-form sides. Sheffield United are having a dream run in the Premier League! They started the season favourites to go down and before this weekend’s fixtures they sat in 6th position. What an achievement and they will be hoping to continue their good form over the busy December schedule. Wolves had a very entertaining 3-3 draw in the Europa League on Thursday, and they have been in good form recently winning their three games prior to that.
The match odds at the time of writing currently trade; Wolves 1.98, Sheffield United 4.6 and the draw is 3.55. Sheffield United actually drew their last game 3-3 too, when 2-0 up against Manchester United. Wolves were also two goals ahead on Thursday and while laying the home side might offer some value at 1.98, we can’t get away from over 2.5 goals here. Both sides have seen plenty of goals this season and it looks massive at 2.36 – we feel that it should be closer to 2.0 and we’re very happy to back overs here.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Over 2.5 goals at 2.36.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQwolshe
- The last top-flight meetings between Wolves and Sheffield United came in the 1975-76 campaign – Wolves won 5-1 at home and 4-1 away as both sides were relegated to the second tier.
- Sheffield United have won just one of their last seven league meetings with Wolves (D2 L4), with these matches coming in the Championship and League One between 2008-2018.
- Wolves are unbeaten in their last eight Premier League games (W4 D4), last having a longer run in the top-flight in April 1973 (9 games).
- Coming into this weekend, only Liverpool (22) have scored in more consecutive Premier League games than Wolves (12). However, Wolves haven’t scored more than twice in any of those 12 games – the last team to have a longer run of scoring in consecutive Premier League games but never more than twice were Everton in January 2013 (15).
- Sheffield United are one of two sides still unbeaten away from home in the Premier League this season (W1 D5), along with league leaders Liverpool. The last promoted team to remain unbeaten in their first seven top-flight away games were Blackburn in 1992-93, while the last time Sheffield United did so in the top tier was in 1899-00.
- Sheffield United conceded as many goals in their 3-3 draw with Man Utd last time out as they had in their previous seven Premier League matches this season.
- Sheffield United have benefitted from more goals from substitutes than any other Premier League side this season (5). Indeed, they scored just four goals via substitutes in the entirety of their last Premier League campaign in 2006-07.
- Sheffield United boss Chris Wilder is the first manager to go unbeaten in his first six away Premier League games (W1 D5 L0) since Luiz Felipe Scolari in 2008-09 with Chelsea.
- Raúl Jiménez has scored in three consecutive Premier League games – the only Wolves player to score in four in a row in the competition is Henri Camara, who scored in five consecutive appearances in April 2004.
- Sheffield United’s Lys Mousset has been involved in seven goals in his last eight Premier League games (4 goals, 3 assists), having scored just three times (no assists) in his first 60 appearances in the competition.
LEICESTER V EVERTON
4.30pm Leicester kept their winning run going last weekend away to Brighton, and while they aren’t as good as Liverpool and Manchester City – they can definitely aim towards a top four finish and Champions League football. They would fully deserve Champions League football too as they have been much better than Manchester United, Spurs and Arsenal this season. Meanwhile Everton are having yet another poor season and there could be a chance David Moyes returns. A big loss here would fast forward that scenario but it’s hard to see Everton winning given how bad they’ve been playing.
The match odds at the time of writing currently trade; Leicester 1.68, Everton 5.7 and the draw is 4.2. Leicester look massive at 1.68 – they come into this clash full of confidence on a run of five straight wins. Everton started the weekend down in 16th position with seven losses from 13 games and while they managed to beat Southampton away from home, they have generally been poor on the road. We feel Leicester should be sub 1.6 and they look cracking value to pick up another three points.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Leicester to beat Everton at 1.68.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQleieve
- Leicester lost this exact fixture 1-2 last season – they’ve not lost consecutive home league games against Everton since December 1997.
- Everton have kept just one clean sheet in their last 13 Premier League meetings with Leicester (W5 D4 L4), a 2-0 win at the King Power Stadium in December 2016.
- None of the last eight Premier League meetings between Leicester and Everton have been drawn, with both sides winning four apiece. Before that run, Leicester had only won four of their previous 30 top-flight meetings with Everton (W4 D14 L12).
- Leicester are looking to win six consecutive top-flight matches for the first time since their club record run of seven in March 1963. They’ve won their last five in the Premier League by a combined score of 17-1, keeping a clean sheet in each of the last four.
- After losing five of their last six Premier League home games under Claude Puel, Leicester have lost just one of their subsequent 12 at the King Power Stadium (W9 D2), with the Foxes unbeaten at home so far in this campaign (W5 D1).
- Everton are looking to win consecutive away league games for the first time since September 2016. However, the Toffees are winless in their last 32 away league games against sides starting the day in the top four (D10 L22) since beating Manchester City 2-1 in December 2010.
- Despite facing the fifth fewest number of corners (55), and having faced the joint-second fewest number of shots from corners (14), no side has conceded more goals from such situations than Everton (4) in the Premier League this season.
- Leicester’s Jamie Vardy has scored 12 goals in his last 12 Premier League home games. In total he’s scored 48 goals in 94 games at the King Power Stadium in the competition, and could become the first player to reach 50 at the ground in the top-flight.
- Leicester manager Brendan Rodgers has only won one of his nine Premier League meetings with Everton (D6 L2), though is unbeaten in his last seven against the Toffees (W1 D6).
- There are 250 occurrences of a player scoring 20+ goals under a specific manager in the Premier League – of those, only Sergio Aguero under Manuel Pellegrini (one every 96 minutes) has a better minutes-per-goal ratio than Jamie Vardy under Brendan Rodgers at Leicester (one every 98 minutes).
MANCHESTER UNITED V ASTON VILLA
4.30pm Manchester United suffered another away loss midweek away to Astana in the Europa League and the pressure is building on Solskjaer. It must be a tough question to ask for the Manchester United board at the moment, do they stick with Solskjaer through this tough spell or go for Pochettino now that he’s available. You can’t imagine a manager of that class being available for long, and it’s well known United wanted him after they sacked Mourinho. It’s a very difficult situation for United, perhaps more losses will make up their mind.
The match odds at the time of writing currently trade; Manchester United 1.5, Aston Villa 8.0 and the draw is 4.6. United have won their last two games here, scoring three goals in each game. They should easily have the class to beat this Aston Villa side, but can you trust them enough to back 1.5? We feel that’s too short and with United conceding plenty of goals this season, we like over 2.5 goals at 1.74. Villa have seen overs win in five of their last six games and with the way United are in midfield and at the back, Villa can definitely score here. Overs looks good value, especially compared to the United price.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Over 2.5 goals at 1.74.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQmunast
- Manchester United have lost just one of their 24 home Premier League games against Aston Villa (0-1 in December 2009), winning 12 of the last 13 and the last six in a row against them at Old Trafford.
- After winning two of their first seven Premier League games against Man Utd (D1 L4), Aston Villa have won just one of their last 41 against them in the competition (W1 D10 L30).
- Manchester United have won 34 Premier League games against Aston Villa – the only team to win more against a specific opponent in the competition are Man Utd themselves, with 36 wins against Everton.
- Manchester United lost their last home league game against a promoted side, going down 0-2 against Cardiff on the final day of 2018-19. They’ve not lost consecutive such games at Old Trafford since a run of three in the 1986-87 season (vs Charlton, Norwich and Wimbledon).
- Manchester United have dropped 10 points from winning positions in the Premier League this season, just one fewer than they dropped in the whole of 2018-19 (11). Indeed, since Ole Gunnar Solskjær took charge of the club, only Southampton (24) and Tottenham (20) have lost more points from ahead than the Red Devils (17).
- Aston Villa have lost 12 of their last 13 away Premier League games against the six ever-present sides, with a 1-0 win at Spurs in April 2015 the only exception. They’ve conceded 37 goals in those 12 defeats, while scoring just seven in return.
- Both Aston Villa and Manchester United have conceded a joint league-low four first-half goals in the Premier League this season (level with Liverpool and Sheffield United). However, they are the top two clubs for highest ratio of goals conceded in the second half of games (Aston Villa 80%, Man Utd 73%), with the Villans conceding a league-high 16 such goals.
- At 25 years and 80 days, Manchester United have the youngest average starting XI in the Premier League this season. The Red Devils’ youngest over the course of an entire Premier League season was 25y 345d, in their 1995-96 title winning campaign.
- With seven goals and four assists, Marcus Rashford has been directly involved in 58% of Man Utd’s 19 Premier League goals this season – only Teemu Pukki at Norwich (69%) has been involved in more for his side this season.
- Aston Villa’s Jack Grealish has carried the ball further than any other Premier League player this season (3441 metres). He’s created 17 chances after carrying the ball (moving the ball five or more metres), more than any other player in the competition.
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