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PREMIER LEAGUE SUNDAY: We preview Sunday’s Premier League games between BOURNEMOUTH v WATFORD and ASTON VILLA v MAN CITY with a recommended BETDAQ bet and extended match stats.


2pm It’s a massive day at the bottom of the Premier League with the 17th, 18th and 19th placed teams all in action. Aston Villa will more than likely lose against Manchester City later, so that makes this fixture huge. A win here for either side would see them leave the bottom three. That would be a massive achievement for Watford who looked very likely to go down only a few weeks ago.

The match odds at the time of writing currently trade; Bournemouth 2.72, Watford 2.86 and the draw is 3.45. It’s not a surprise to see such an open market between these two sides – we should have a very close affair here. They’ve actually drawn in seven of their nine Premier League matches which is remarkable. Bournemouth had a confidence boosting 4-0 win over Luton in the FA Cup last weekend but Watford come here in great form. Since losing to Liverpool they have beaten Manchester United, Aston Villa and Wolves while also drawing away to Sheffield United. They might be the away side here, but we fancy them to get a result and we’re very happy to lay Bournemouth at 2.72. We make Watford shorter than Bournemouth here given the recent form of both sides.

Lay Bournemouth at 2.72.

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  • Seven of the nine Premier League meetings between Bournemouth and Watford have finished level (78%), the highest ratio of any fixture to be played more than twice in the competition.
  • Watford have played more away Premier League games without defeat against Bournemouth than they have vs any other side in the competition (W1 D3).
  • Bournemouth have lost 75% of their Premier League games played on Sundays (18/24) – the highest loss rate for any team on a single day of the week in the competition (minimum 20 played).
  • This will be Watford’s 500th top-flight match, becoming the 43rd team to reach the total and first since Crystal Palace in October 2004. The Hornets have lost 227 of their 499 so far, with only Stoke (242) and Fulham (231) losing more in their first 500 games.
  • Bournemouth will start a Premier League match in the relegation zone for the first time since December 30th 2017 (18th), when they beat Everton 2-1 at the Vitality Stadium.
  • Since beating Manchester United on November 2nd, Bournemouth have collected fewer points than any other Premier League team, taking just four points from 10 matches (W1 D1 L8).
  • Watford have won 10 points from five Premier League matches under Nigel Pearson (W3 D1 L1) – only Liverpool and Manchester City have won more in the Premier League since he was appointed as Hornets’ boss (12).
  • In the Premier League this season, Bournemouth have attempted the fewest shots in open play (128) and are the only team to have not reached double figures for open play goals (9).
  • Watford have received a red card in their last two Premier League games – the last team to receive a red card in three games in a row in the competition were the Hornets themselves back in December 2017.
  • Watford manager Nigel Pearson has won 32 points from his last 14 Premier League games with Leicester and the Hornets combined (W10 D2 L2) – among all current managers in the competition, only Jürgen Klopp (40) has won more points from their last 14 games coming into the weekend’s games.


4.30pm With Bournemouth and Watford playing today, it’s highly likely if we see a winner there that Villa will end the weekend in the bottom three. Manchester City have had some odd results this season but it’s hard to see them slipping up against this Villa side. Villa are definitely more comfortable at home compared to away but City should really outclass them. They did a number on Manchester United midweek in the Cup and we can see a similar outcome today.

The match odds at the time of writing currently trade; Aston Villa 19.5, Manchester City 1.17 and the draw is 9.6. Villa haven’t been in the Premier League for a while, but they always had a terrible record against City. What might give Villa a little hope though is City have been conceding plenty of goals away from home this season – they have conceded 14 goals in 10 games. It’s more than likely though that Villa will try to get 11 men behind the ball here and hopefully get a draw. We can see City winning, but Villa keeping the scoreline respectable. With that in mind, Any Other Away Win (Manchester City to score four or more goals and win) looks very short at 2.6 in the Correct Score market and we’re happy to lay those odds.

Lay Any Other Away Win at 2.6.

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  • Aston Villa have lost nine of their last 11 Premier League meetings with Manchester City, winning 3-2 in September 2013 and drawing 0-0 in November 2015.
  • Manchester City have kept a clean sheet in eight of their last 10 Premier League meetings with Aston Villa, including each of the last three. Indeed, they’ve won their last two league games against the Villans by an aggregate score of 7-0.
  • Aston Villa have picked up six points in their last three Premier League games (W2 D0 L1), two more than in their previous nine games in the competition (W1 D1 L7).
  • Aston Villa have won only three of their 49 Premier League matches against the reigning champions (D14 L32), losing each of their last 11 in a row.
  • Under Pep Guardiola, Man City have lost three of their four Premier League away games in January, winning only against Huddersfield last year (3-0).
  • Manchester City have been trailing for five hours and seven minutes in the Premier League this season – 22 minutes more than they had in their previous two campaigns combined (four hours, 45 minutes).
  • Manchester City have conceded 14 goals in their 10 away league games this season, three more than they did in 19 games on the road last term. They’ve conceded 3+ goals in three different away league games this season, as many as they had in their first three seasons under Pep Guardiola combined.
  • Manchester City striker Sergio Agüero has scored six goals in his last four Premier League starts against Aston Villa.
  • Since the start of the 2011-12 season, no player has more Premier League goals against newly-promoted teams than Sergio Agüero (31); the Argentinian has 174 goals in total in the competition, one behind Thierry Henry on 175, who is the top scoring non-English player in Premier League history.
  • Manchester City’s Fernandinho is the only Premier League player with more ball carries (463) than Aston Villa’s Jack Grealish (439) in the division this season. However, Grealish has carried the ball a league-high distance of 5624 metres & has created more chances following a ball carry than any other player (24) in the competition in 2019-20.

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