PREMIER LEAGUE SUNDAY: We preview Sunday’s two Premier League games between ASTON VILLA v TOTTENHAM (2pm) and ARSENAL v NEWCASTLE (4.30pm) with a recommended BETDAQ bet and extended match stats.
ASTON VILLA V TOTTENHAM
2pm This is a massive game for Aston Villa in their fight to stay up. Watford and Brighton could only draw with each other last weekend, meaning Villa have stayed in 17th and now have a game in hand on Watford. A win here would see them jump past Brighton and Bournemouth into 15th and have an extra bit of cushion. Spurs come into this fixture with a woeful away record, so the home side will surely be confident of getting a result. This should be a decent game to watch.
The match odds at the time of writing currently trade; Aston Villa 4.3, Tottenham 1.94 and the draw is 3.95. Spurs have managed just two wins from their last 18 away Premier League games and with stats like that; you can’t back prices likes 1.94. They do have a good record against Aston Villa though and they also managed to beat Manchester City recently. That came in London though and with Villa fighting for survival we’re happy to lay the away side at 1.94 here. Spurs have conceded far too many goals this season to back them here and we can’t have them at odds on.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Lay Tottenham at 1.94.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQasttot
- Aston Villa are winless in their last eight Premier League home games against Spurs (D2 L6), losing each of the last four in a row. They last beat Spurs at Villa Park in January 2008 (2-1).
- In all competitions, Spurs have won 10 of their last 11 meetings with Aston Villa, losing the other 0-1 at White Hart Lane in April 2015.
- Tottenham are unbeaten in their last 22 Premier League away games against promoted sides (W18 D4) since a 0-1 loss at QPR in April 2012.
- Aston Villa’s seven Premier League victories this season have come on six different days of the week, with Sunday the only day the Villans have yet to win on in 2019-20. Victory here will see Aston Villa become just the second team in English top-flight history to win a league game on all seven days of the week within the same season, after Spurs in 1986-87.
- Tottenham are looking to secure three consecutive Premier League victories for the first time since a run of four in January/February 2019. However, the Lilywhites have won just two of their last 18 league games on the road (D5 L11).
- Aston Villa have faced more shots than any other Premier League side this season (441). Their record of 17.6 shots faced per game is their highest in a single campaign in the competition since we have this data available (2003-04).
- Tottenham have had fewer shots on target (110) than they have faced (125) in the Premier League this season – the last time they faced more than they had in a single season in the competition was in 2003-04 (194-179).
- Of away grounds he’s visited at least five times in the Premier League, only at St James’ Park (0/7) has Spurs boss José Mourinho won fewer games than he has at Villa Park (1/6).
- Jack Grealish has created 63 chances for his teammates in the Premier League this season, more than double that of any other Aston Villa player. He’s also the first player to register 50+ shots and 50+ chances created in a single top-flight campaign for the Villans since Christian Benteke in 2012-13.
- In Spurs’ 2-0 win against Man City, Steven Bergwijn became the 250 th player to score on his Premier League debut, and the 13 th Dutchman – no Dutch player has ever scored in both of their first two appearances in the competition.
ARSENAL V NEWCASTLE
4.30pm There’s no doubt that Mikel Arteta has improved Arsenal since coming in, but he has yet to really get them over the winning line. They continue to draw too many games and still look shaky under pressure. The signs are good, but of course we have been here before with Arsenal and the reality is that they need to start winning games. They are sitting in mid-table and unless they finish the season very strongly they won’t even make the Europa League next season. They have an excellent record against Newcastle though and we will expecting to win today.
The match odds at the time of writing currently trade; Arsenal 1.45, Newcastle 9.0 and the draw is 4.9. Newcastle have lost 13 of their last 14 Premier League meetings with Arsenal, including the last seven in a row. With that being said, we still can’t back Arsenal at 1.45. It’s just too short for this Arsenal side who are drawing too many games. The problem since Wenger left is their unreliableness are crept into their home form as well as their away form and we just can’t have them at prices like 1.45. Although they’ve drawn three of them, Newcastle come here unbeaten in four and we’re happy to take a chance on the draw here at 4.9 which looks good value.
BETDAQ BEST BET:
Draw at 4.9.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQarsnew
- Arsenal have won 13 of their last 14 Premier League games against Newcastle, losing the other 1-2 at St James’ Park in April 2018.
- Newcastle have lost each of their last seven Premier League away games against Arsenal, since winning 1-0 at the Emirates thanks to an Andy Carroll goal in November 2010.
- Arsenal are unbeaten in all competitions so far in 2020 (W3 D4), though they have drawn their last four league games after beating Manchester United on New Year’s Day.
- Arsenal have dropped nine points from winning positions in home Premier League games this season – only in 2001-02 (14) and 2004-05 (11) have they lost more at home in a single campaign in the competition.
- Newcastle are unbeaten in their last four Premier League games (W1 D3), last having a longer run without defeat in the competition between April-May 2016 (6 games).
- Newcastle are averaging 9.9 shots per game in the Premier League this season, their lowest average in a season in the competition we have on record (since 1997-98).
- Arsenal haven’t lost a home league match in February since 2006, when West Ham became the last side to beat the Gunners at Highbury. They’ve won 20 and drawn five of their 25 such games since.
- Mikel Arteta (W1 D5 L1) is just the second Arsenal manager to win only one of his first seven league games in charge of the club after Steve Burtenshaw in 1986.
- Newcastle striker Joelinton has gone 22 Premier League games and 1766 minutes without scoring, since netting away in north London versus Spurs in August. The Brazilian has netted two goals in the FA Cup in this period, although both strikes came against League One opposition.
- 25 of Arsenal striker Alexandre Lacazette’s 32 Premier League goals have been scored in home games, including each of his last eight. Of all Arsenal players to have scored at least 15 goals in the competition, Lacazette has scored the highest ratio in home games (78%).
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