PREMIER LEAGUE TUESDAY: We preview Tuesday’s Premier League game between BRIGHTON v CARDIFF with a recommended BETDAQ bet and extended stats.


7.45pm All eyes may be on the Champions League Quarter Finals tonight but this is a massive game at the bottom of the Premier League table. Brighton are in very poor form at the wrong time, but they are still five points ahead of Cardiff and a win for Brighton here would put Cardiff back in the Championship. Cardiff have good reason to believe they can win this game, despite losing six of their last seven Premier League games, as Brighton have only managed eight points in 2019 – only Huddersfield and Fulham have netted less; and we know what has happened to them!

The match odds at the time of writing currently trade; Brighton 2.06, Cardiff 4.6 and the draw is 3.35. Obviously Cardiff come into this fixture in poor form and their league position shows that they haven’t been good enough this season – however Brighton look desperately short at 2.06. As we noted above, only Fulham and Huddersfield have recorded less points than Brighton in 2019 and we can’t have a side at 2.06 with that record.

Brighton come into this fixture having lost their last two home games against Southampton and Bournemouth – Southampton are only one spot above them in the table and Bournemouth have been dire away from home recently. To concede five goals at home against them was very surprising and we can only see a very close game here. Cardiff have been playing poorly too, we just expect a closer game here than odds of 2.06 on Brighton suggest and from a value point of view, we’re very happy to lay the home side at the odds.

Lay Brighton at 2.06.

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  • Brighton have only lost one of their last nine home league games against Cardiff (W3 D5), and are unbeaten in five (W1 D4) since a 1-2 defeat in the Championship in October 2005.
  • Cardiff haven’t done a league double over Brighton since the 1998-99 fourth tier campaign; they won 2-1 in the reverse meeting in November.
  • Brighton are unbeaten at home to newly promoted clubs in the Premier League (P4 W2 D2 L0), and have only lost two of their 15 previous top-flight matches overall against such opposition on home soil (W7 D6 L2).
  • Brighton have lost consecutive home Premier League games for the very first time. They last lost three in a row at home in league competition in January 2016.
  • Cardiff have lost six of their last seven Premier League games (W1), and five of their last six away from home. Indeed, each of the Bluebirds’ last three Premier League away games have ended in a 0-2 defeat.
  • Only already relegated Fulham (6) and Huddersfield (4) have won fewer Premier League points in 2019 than Brighton (8).
  • 50% of Cardiff’s away wins in the Premier League have come on the south coast (2/4), beating Southampton in both 2013-14 and this campaign.
  • This will be the seventh managerial league meeting between Brighton’s Chris Hughton and Cardiff’s Neil Warnock; Hughton has seen his sides keep a clean sheet in five of the previous six (W4 D1 L1), but lost this season’s reverse fixture 2-1 in November.
  • Brighton striker Glenn Murray has failed to score in seven of his eight league matches against Cardiff City. However, the one game he did find the net was his last such appearance at home against the Bluebirds, scoring a hat-trick for Crystal Palace at Selhurst Park in the Championship in September 2012.
  • Brighton’s Glenn Murray has failed to score in his last nine Premier League home games. Despite this, he’s still scored five more league goals at the Amex Stadium this season than any other Brighton player (7).

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