AUSTRALIA v INDIA: Our cricket tipster The Edge previews Friday’s 1st T20 between Australia v India with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
The Edge has been a professional cricket trader for over 12 years, and we are delighted to have his columns on BETDAQ Tips. He provides his best bets on a points scale between 1 and 5, with 5 being a rare max bet.
Because we see so much action in-running on cricket, he will also provide some in-running strategies that could develop in-play and lead to some excellent value bets. The Edge covers all forms of cricket: Test Matches, ODI’s and T20’s but his favourite competition is the Indian Premier League each season.
MATCH OVERVIEW:
Indian fans would have been delighted to see their side finally get a win in the final ODI and now they can go into the T20 series with a bit more confidence. Australia bossed the first two ODI’s and to be honest, they should have chased down India’s 302/5 in the final ODI – even with their early wobble and loss of wickets – but the T20 format should bring the sides closer together and we should get an excellent series.
For me the Indian batting still looks a little light without Rohit Sharma at the top of the innings, but there’s not much you can do about injuries. Kohli will of course play a huge part, but he needs to improve his strike rate moving into this format. He will be aware of the batting issues, and he batted like a man who needed to stay there rather than attacking. His strike rate of 80 for 63 runs was good enough to see India score above 300 and win – but he needs to try stay there and also bat faster in this format. India will be more suited to T20’s though, with the likes of Rahul, Pandya and Jadeja in great form after the IPL. They played superbly well in the final ODI, and if they can carry on that then India will go close to winning the series.
For Australia they won’t want to change much after the ODI series. We saw two superb batting performances but then they couldn’t chase 302. Perhaps a sign of what happens when Steve Smith gets out early, but the reality is Australia should have won. Even with Glenn Maxwell got out, they needed 35 runs off 5.3 overs. They had very limited wickets at that stage however, and perhaps Maxwell should have just stayed there and got them over the line – that said that’s not the way he plays the game! A great T20 series awaits.
WEATHER AND PITCH WATCH:
India will be played to stay in Canberra for the 1st T20 after winning the last ODI here. I don’t expect conditions to change much. We had two games here in the Big Bash last year and the first inning scores recorded were 161/5 and 172/4. I think we’ll more than likely see a bigger score here. In the ODI series, India crossed 300 in every innings, and Australia scored some massive scores batting first. I think we’ll see plenty of runs again.
RECOMMENDED BET:
I feel the T20 series will be closer than the ODI series, but nevertheless I like Australia here at 1.83 to start the series with a win. Even when things didn’t go well for them in the 3rd ODI they still came very close to winning. From a trading point view, they look likely to trade shorter but also from a match winning point of view you have to feel how far below their level do they need to play to lose. They had a terrible start in the 3rd ODI, and poor finish, but they still came close. I think they’ll get back to winning ways here.
The Edge Says:
Two points win Australia to beat India at 1.83 on BETDAQ Betting Exchange.
View the market here -> https://bit.ly/BDQausInd
IN-RUNNING STRATEGY:
The first two ODI’s weren’t great for trading on BETDAQ Betting Exchange as they were basically 1.01 trains however the 3rd ODI had plenty of twists and turns! We don’t have much of a sample from the Big Bash here to suggest batting first or second is an advantage, but I’d expect a pretty big score and conditions to favour the batting team so I would definitely lean trades towards that angle.
When India are batting, I noted before the 3rd ODI that Pandya and Jadeja could move the market a lot and they did just that. They can do that again, but this time the market will be ready and factor this in a little. It could still offer value but beware of that. The Australian batting looks very strong even with their failure in the 3rd ODI, and I’d be keen to support them batting first or even chasing a score again.
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