THE STRIKER: previews Monday’s Premier League game between BRIGHTON v CRYSTAL PALACE with extended stats and recommended BETDAQ bet.
The Striker is a professional football punter who focused solely on football in the UK. He has over ten years of experience using exchanges and he’s been a full-time professional punter for more than five years. UK football is his edge and he sticks to it!
Thankfully The Striker has agreed to share his best bets with BETDAQ Tips! He will use a staking system between one and five points to give readers a clue as to how confident he is with each individual bet. He uses his own analysis to price up matches and loves advanced stats like xG, goal stats and current form.
BRIGHTON V CRYSTAL PALACE
8pm Monday Night Football comes from the Amex Stadium this week as Brighton host Crystal Palace in the M23 Derby! Most casual football fans might look at this fixture and think it’s a routine mid-to-low table clash, but it’s a massive game for both sets of fans. It’s a shame they can’t be in the stadium. With Fulham winning at the weekend, there is slightly more pressure on Brighton. They are four points ahead of Fulham which is a reasonable cushion, but it’s only two bad weekends from being in the bottom three too if Fulham went on a winning run.
Despite being within touching distance of a relegation fight, Brighton have actually played some very nice football this season. They have dominated games at times but have been unable to convert their chances into goals. Expected Goals would actually place Brighton fifth in the table, which is incredible when you think about it. That just highlights how good they have been going forward at times this season, and also highlights how poor they have been at taking their chances!
While xG is kind to Brighton, it isn’t so kind to Crystal Palace. It actually puts them into the bottom three on the Expected Goals table. I feel that’s pretty easy to understand as Palace have had a lot of trouble going forward. It’s a problem they have had for a while, and they haven’t solved it this season. Palace come into this fixture off the back of two losses too against Burnley and Leeds, and they were extremely lucky to beat Newcastle 2-1 with Newcastle creating an xG of 2.43.
Looking at the figures heading into this game and also how the teams are performing at the moment, I can only see one winner here. Brighton are a confident bet on BETDAQ Betting Exchange at 1.81 or anywhere around that price. They will definitely create more chances than Palace, and the way Palace have been defending lately it’s hard to see them stopping Brighton from scoring. Couple that with the fact Palace don’t score many goals and I can only see one way traffic tonight.
The Striker Says:
Three points win Brighton to beat Crystal Palace at 1.81 with BETDAQ Betting Exchange
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQbhacry
- Brighton have kept just one clean sheet in their seven Premier League meetings with Crystal Palace (W2 D3 L2), with that coming in a goalless draw in their first such meeting in November 2017.
- Crystal Palace have won three of their last six away league games against Brighton (D1 L2), as many as they had in their previous 35 such visits (D10 L22).
- Brighton have never won a Premier League game on a Monday (D6 L2) – only Hull City (10) have played more games on this day of the week without ever winning in the competition’s history.
- Crystal Palace are without a win in each of their last nine Premier League games played on a Monday (D2 L7), since beating Arsenal in April 2017 (3-0).
- Brighton and Hove Albion (W3 D3) have gone unbeaten in six consecutive top-flight games for the first time since a run of eight ending in November 1981. The Seagulls have kept as many clean sheets in this current six-game run (5) as they did in their previous 25 Premier League matches.
- Crystal Palace have lost 18 of their last 20 Premier League games in which Wilfried Zaha hasn’t played, with the Eagles failing to score in 16 of those 18 defeats.
- Crystal Palace have failed to score in a higher share of their away games in the Premier League this season (58% – 7 of 12) than they have in any other campaign in the competition’s history.
- Brighton have kept a clean sheet in each of their last three home Premier League games – they have never registered four home shutouts in a row in the top-flight.
- Crystal Palace’s Wilfried Zaha has scored more goals in all competitions against Brighton than he has versus any other opponent in his English club career (7) – however, the Eagles could be without him owing to injury.
- Robert Sánchez has kept a clean sheet in 46% of his 13 Premier League games for Brighton (6 of 13), while former goalkeeper Mat Ryan registered just two shutouts in 11 PL games for the Seagulls this term (18%).
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