MONDAY PREMIER LEAGUE: The Striker previews Monday’s Premier League game between EVERTON v BURNLEY at 8pm with a recommended BETDAQ bet and extended match stats.
EVERTON V BURNLEY
8pm Monday Night Football comes from Goodison Park this week as Everton host Burnley. It’s a tale of two different starts to the season here with Everton unbeaten in their three games while Burnley are still waiting for their first win. Burnley have definitely shown signs of promise in their three games so far, and I’m sure there will be some confident opinions either way on BETDAQ Betting Exchange on the Everton price at around 1.78.
Burnley might only have one draw from three games, but their xG figures show they are playing well. I’m happy to look past the Liverpool loss an Anfield because that is to be expected, and then they created an xG of 1.99 in a 2-1 loss to Brighton and created more than Leeds in a 1-1 draw prior to the International Break. Burnley generally always struggle to create chances and score goals – they are more a grinding type of side where they do nothing flashy but just collect enough points to stay up each season – it’s early days but they seem to have improved going forward. Let’s see what they do in this fixture.
Everton have had two wins and three draws, but it’s fair to say they have yet to be really tested. Leeds fans will argue with that statement as they played Leeds away – but you could argue Everton should have won that game. The game finished 1.86 to 1.06 to Everton on xG. They played rock solid away to Brighton and at home to Southampton – creating chances in front of goal and conceding less than an xG of 1 too. I’d be very happy with their start to the season, especially considering they lost a big name manager during the summer.
There’s no getting away from the fact that this should be a very tight game. Neither side will open up early, and we could see quite a cagey start to the game. Everton have seen plenty of goals in their early games, and Burnley have been creating more than they have scored so perhaps if we see an early goal we could see a crazy score line; however under 2.5 goals looks too big at 1.89. If I was having a bet in the match odds market, I would side with Everton at 1.78 – I know Burnley have performed well, but Everton have played rock solid football and they should grind out a win here. I can see Burnley setting up to defend, and as I said above a very quiet start so under 2.5 goals looks a fantastic play here.
The Striker Says:
Two points win Under 2.5 goals at 1.89 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE
You can view all markets here -> https://bit.ly/BDQEvebur
● After winning four of their first six Premier League meetings with Burnley (L2), Everton have won just three of the last eight against the Clarets in the competition (D1 L4).
● Burnley have won two of their last four away league games against Everton (L2), as many as they had in their previous 16 visits to Goodison Park (D4 L10).
● Just one of the last 15 league meetings between Everton and Burnley has been drawn, with each side winning seven each. The one draw in that run came at Turf Moor last season (1-1).
● After losing four of their first five Premier League away games on a Monday (D1), and conceding 15 goals in the process, the Clarets have won two of their last three on the road (D1), keeping a clean sheet in all three games.
● Everton have scored seven goals in their three Premier League games this season, as many as they had in their last 10 games last term. The Toffees are looking to win three consecutive home league games for the first time since a run of six between March and September 2019.
● Burnley have lost nine of their last 12 Premier League matches (W2 D1). However, each of the Clarets’ last four wins in the competition have all come away from home.
● Burnley have played the highest percentage of their passes long in the Premier League this season (24%), while the Clarets have also had the fewest sequences of 10+ passes (4).
● Dominic Calvert-Lewin has scored in all three of Everton’s Premier League games this season, having also netted in their first five matches last term. He’s the first player in Premier League history to score in his side’s first three games in consecutive campaigns.
● Everton’s Demarai Gray has scored in each of his last two Premier League games, having scored in just two of his previous 32 in the competition. It’s only the second time he’s scored in consecutive appearances in the Premier League, also doing so in December 2017.
● Dwight McNeil has played 99 Premier League games for Burnley – he would be the youngest player to reach 100 appearances in the competition for the Clarets (21y 295d on the day of this game).