THE STRIKER: previews Monday’s two Premier League games between EVERTON V CRYSTAL PALACE and WOLVES V WEST HAM both with extended stats and a recommended BETDAQ bet.
The Striker is a professional football punter who focused solely on football in the UK. He has over ten years of experience using exchanges and he’s been a full-time professional punter for more than five years. UK football is his edge and he sticks to it!
Thankfully The Striker has agreed to share his best bets with BETDAQ Tips! He will use a staking system between one and five points to give readers a clue as to how confident he is with each individual bet. He uses his own analysis to price up matches and loves advanced stats like xG, goal stats and current form.
EVERTON V CRYSTAL PALACE
6pm We have two fascinating fixtures for Monday Night Football in the Premier League, and we have two fascinating markets on BETDAQ Betting Exchange too! We kick off the evening with Everton hosting Crystal Palace in a must win game for the Toffees. They have fallen out of the race for Top Four, but with Chelsea losing against West Brom on Saturday that opens the door for everyone to catch up. A win for Everton here would put them just two points behind Chelsea with a game in hand. I know they have blown some chances already this season, but they can give themselves another with a win here! They went into the International break with three losses, the most disappointing one coming against Burnley, although they were unlucky to lose.
Crystal Palace have been very average this season, but in fairness to them they do grind out results. They didn’t deserve to draw with Fulham, but they deserved their 0-0 draw with Man United and the win against West Brom. Palace’s problem has been going forward for a number of years now and that has continued this season. Everton might have been disappointing at times this season, but they do create enough to beat sides like Crystal Palace. As I said above, this is a huge opportunity for Everton to get back into the mix after falling out – I believe they’ll take their chance and the 1.86 is too big on the home win. They should outclass this Palace side.
The Striker Says:
Three points win Everton to beat Crystal Palace at 1.86 with BETDAQ Betting Exchange
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQevecrl
- Everton are unbeaten in their last 12 Premier League meetings with Crystal Palace (W6 D6), though they’ve not done the league double over the Eagles since the 2004-05 campaign.
- Crystal Palace have lost their last three away league games against Everton, more than they had in their previous 10 visits to Goodison Park (W4 D4 L2). They’ve never lost four consecutive away games against the Toffees before.
- Four of Crystal Palace’s five Premier League wins against Everton have been at Goodison Park, with their most recent victory there coming in September 2014 (3-2).
- Everton have lost seven of their last 11 Premier League home games (W3 D1), having lost just one of their 15 previously (W7 D7). Their seven-home league defeats this season is their most in a single Premier League campaign since 2015-16 (8).
- Crystal Palace have kept just one clean sheet in their last 18 Premier League away games (W5 D2 L11), with that coming in a goalless draw at Arsenal in January. Only Sheffield United (0) have kept fewer clean sheets on the road than the Eagles this season.
- Crystal Palace have conceded a league-high 13 Premier League goals in the final 15 minutes of games this season, one more than they did in the whole of 2019-20.
- Everton are averaging just 9.8 shots-per-game in the Premier League this season, their second lowest total on record in a single campaign in the competition (since 1997-98). However, their shot conversion rate of 14.7% is their highest in a single top-flight season since 1997-98.
- Five of Everton striker Richarlison’s six Premier League goals this season have been the winning goal of the game. The only player to score more winning goals for the Toffees in a single Premier League campaign was Paul Rideout in 1994-95 (6).
- Everton’s Dominic Calvert-Lewin has scored 14 Premier League goals this season, his best return in a single campaign in the competition. Six of his 14 goals have been headers, with Tim Cahill the last Everton player to score more headed goals in a single league campaign (7 in 2009-10).
- Crystal Palace manager Roy Hodgson has never won away against Everton in the Premier League (D1 L8), losing each of his last seven visits. Indeed, Goodison Park is the ground Hodgson has managed at the most without ever winning in the competition.
WOLVES V WEST HAM
8.15pm We finish Monday Night Football with a fascinating game from a betting point of view. We have a very open betting heat as you would imagine, but I’m a big fan of West Ham here at 2.7. The Hammers have offered a huge amount of value this season – they have been excellent going forward and you couldn’t say that they aren’t in the race for a Top Four finish after Chelsea lost to West Brom at the weekend. A win tonight would see them go ahead of Chelsea and into the Top Four. They should be there already, as they threw away a 3-0 lead against Arsenal before the International break but they can beat this average Wolves side.
Wolves are having a poor season. They are without a win in their last four, although they have had to play Liverpool and Man City in that run. I would be more concerned with the 1-1 draw against Newcastle and although they beat Leeds 1-0, they conceded an xG of 2.73 and were very lucky to win. Wolves haven’t been themselves this season – they usually keep games tight and grind out results. They have conceded too many goals this season and against a side so good going forward, I really fancy West Ham to get the job done. West Ham’s xG figures have been very impressive this season, and for me the 2.7 is far too big. It has to be a Max Bet for me – I wouldn’t usually have a Max Bet at prices like 2.7 but this is worth it. Wolves are there for the taking, and West Ham can easily outscore them.
The Striker Says:
Five points win West Ham to beat Wolves at 2.7 with BETDAQ Betting Exchange
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQwolwhm
- Wolves have lost just one of their last eight home league games against West Ham (W5 D2), going down 0-2 in a Premier League game in August 2009.
- West Ham are looking to complete their first league double over Wolves since the 1922-23 second division campaign, with this the 28th different season in which they’ve met since then.
- This is Wolves’ seventh Monday game in the Premier League this season, more than any other side (W2 D1 L3 so far). Only twice has a team played more Monday games in a single campaign in the competition, with West Ham playing nine in 1995-96 and eight in 2005-06.
- West Ham have won three of their four Premier League games played on Mondays this season (L1), more than they had in their previous 11 such games in the competition (W2 D3 L6).
- Wolves have opened the scoring in just seven Premier League games this season, with no side scoring the first goal in fewer games so far. However, Wolves are the only team to be unbeaten in games in which they’ve scored first this term (W6 D1).
- West Ham have lost their last two Premier League away games, as many as they had in their previous 11 on the road (W6 D3).
- West Ham led 3-0 against Arsenal in their last match before being pegged back to a 3-3 draw, with the Hammers inflicting the same result on Tottenham earlier in the season – it was just the third occasion of a team both failing to win from 3+ goals ahead and avoiding defeat from 3+ goals behind in a single Premier League campaign, with both Newcastle and West Brom doing so in 2010-11.
- Wolves’ Rúben Neves has scored five Premier League goals this season, his best return in a single campaign in the competition. All five of his goals in 2020-21 have been since January, with the Portuguese the only player to net more than once for Wolves this calendar year.
- There are six players to have had at least 24 shots without scoring a single goal in the Premier League this season, with two of those playing for Wolves – Leander Dendoncker (27) and Adama Traoré (24).
- Jesse Lingard is averaging a goal or an assist every 88 minutes for West Ham in the Premier League this season, scoring five times and assisting two more in 617 minutes. It’s the best ever ratio by a Hammers player in a single campaign in the competition (min. 500 minutes).
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